Temple -2 over S. Carolina 76-60 (win)
SMU -2.5 over USC 72-55 (win)
Mo. State over N. Dakota State 71-58 (win)
TCU -4 (-115) over SMU
I think this is a bad spot for SMU in this cross-town match-up.
SMU is off of a huge revenge game against USC on Saturday, the team that knocked the Mustangs out of the NCAA Tourney last year in a game where SMU was favored by 8. I just can't see them coming into this game with the much emotion and see this as a let down situation after their big win by 17 over USC after trailing at half-time.
TCU is 8-0 with two nice victories away from home against New Mexico and St. Bony. I also like the fact that you are getting a ranked team at home at a small number of -4.
This is also a strong revenge situation for TCU as they have lost the last 2 meetings against what were much more talented SMU teams.
I also see some considerable value in the -4 line. Both teams played ULM at home this year. The Books had TCU favored by 24.5 and SMU favored by 17. This would indicate that TCU would be favored by 7.5 on a neutral court.
Other than the let down spot for SMU, another significant reason I do not like the Mustangs in this situation is their performance on the road against W. Ky (lost 61-63 as a 10 pt. favorite) and N. Iowa (lost 58-61 as a 9 point favorite). If this is any indication of what type of team they have, I think TCU could get a double digit win tonight.