Thanksgiving Theory

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Posted: #1

Is there such a thing?

There are 6 teams playing on Thanksgiving: Vikings, Lions, Chargers, Cowboys, Giants and Redskins.

They are all going to be on a short week and I feel they might not give 100% effort this weekend as they might be looking ahead.

Maybe it would be a good idea just to fade all 6 of these teams tomorrow.

Can someone run a query on how teams typically perform the Sunday before their thanksgiving game? Thanks in advance! 
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Posted: #2

Over over over. 

 
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Posted: #3

DK - I agree, I'll be on all 3 overs and worse case scenario I see it going 2-1.

But I was wondering if there are plays we can make tomorrow against these teams.
 
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Posted: #4

I THINK...


Last year all teams won and covered the week before
 
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Posted: #5

Yes all teams covered the week before... last year...
 
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Posted: #6

Parlay lol
 
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Posted: #7

And dont forget a parlay going agaisnt all just in case...
 
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Posted: #8

Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:

And dont forget a parlay going agaisnt all just in case...

What is your personal success rate doing this.  Thanks
 
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Posted: #9

They all will play it safe so they can all be with the family on Thanksgiving. Over is the best bet.
 
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Posted: #10

Quote Originally Posted by diondimucci:


What is your personal success rate doing this.  Thanks

I hit a 6 team parlay last year that paid $5000 
 
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Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by diondimucci:


What is your personal success rate doing this.  Thanks

I lose probably 90% or more of 3+ team parlays...

It’s more for fun, but when I hit I hit big...
 
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Posted: #12

n:day=Thursday

SUP: 215-182-3 
ATS: 187-202-11
 OU: 203-191-6

n:day=Thursday and month=9

SUP: 24-18-0
ATS: 18-23-1
 OU: 20-22-0

nday=Thursday and month=10

SUP: 30-48-0
ATS: 26-49-3
 OU: 40-36-2

n:day=Thursday and month=11

SUP: 127-88-3
ATS: 106-105-7
 OU: 112-104-2

n:day=Thursday and month=12

SUP: 34-28-0
ATS: 37-25-0
 OU: 31-29-2

n:day=Thursday and F

SUP: 151-81-2 (4.42, 65.1%)
ATS: 97-132-5 (-1.32, 42.4%)

n:day=Thursday and n:DIV and F

SUP: 81-49-1 (4.69, 62.3%)
ATS: 53-75-3 (-0.95, 41.4%)

n:day=Thursday and n:DIV and F and month<=10

ATS: 13-35-0 (-3.24, 27.1%)

n:day=Thursday and n:DIV and F and month>=11

ATS: 40-40

n:day=Thursday and n:DIV and D

SUP: 33-57-1 (-3.30)
ATS: 52-34-5 (1.65, 60.5%)

n:day=Thursday and n:DIV and D and month>=11

ATS: 34-19-2 (2.60, 64.2%)

n:day=Thursday and n:DIV and D and line>7

ATS: 10-4-0 (3.36)

n:day=Thursday and n:DIV and D and line>10

SUP: 0-6-0 (-7.67)
ATS: 5-1-0 (4.58, 83.3%)

n:day=Thursday and p:margin<=-10

ATS: 53-37-1 (1.92, 58.9%)

 
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Posted: #13

Quote Originally Posted by BallingLikeNE:

Is there such a thing?

There are 6 teams playing on Thanksgiving: Vikings, Lions, Chargers, Cowboys, Giants and Redskins.

They are all going to be on a short week and I feel they might not give 100% effort this weekend as they might be looking ahead.

Maybe it would be a good idea just to fade all 6 of these teams tomorrow.

Can someone run a query on how teams typically perform the Sunday before their thanksgiving game? Thanks in advance! 


Don't fade them man. Personally I don't think they look ahead to Thanksgiving games at all. If memory serves me right, games on Thanksgiving SUCK balls. It's not enough time for players to heal/rest...we know how bad TNF is.

I think what you should expect from these 6 teams on Sunday is:

- a team with full rest
- a team with a full weeks of practice
- a team with a full week of game planning

After the game is over, then they go ahead and do whatever a team does to prepare for a short week. I would think that most players really won't be looking forward to playing on a holiday where the rest of America is spending time with family and pigging out. That's most likely what they'd be wanting to do as well.

Good Luck
 
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Posted: #14

appreciate the feedback everyone! 

I won't fade these teams, but will play the overs on Thanksgiving. GL everyone this weekend.
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