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You are looking live!! 2017 Week 2 plays

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Legend
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Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 30186
Posted: #1

YTD:  1-0 +$200

Week 1:  1-0 +$200


Irma took away a few I liked..   waiting on more points for Nevada and MTSU.  A few totals on the radar also.   Treating Week 2 as Week 1 The Sequel...  still lots of questions out there.   Bad teams will improve.  Teams that looked great last week aren't really that good.  No need to bet too many games this week.  

SMU -13.5 $200    Who'da thunk it?  SMU was one of my favorite fades for a few years and now here they are, laying 2 TD's and I'm playing them.   Neither SMU or North Texas had problems dispatching FCS opponents in Week 1 and nearly had the same score (59-14, 58-14).   Going on talent and potential here with the Mustangs who spread the ball around with 6 players getting at least 6 rush attempts and 7 players catching passes.  Focus on TOP, as North Texas held the ball for 39 minutes.  SMU has won the last 2 meetings by 18 and 13.   This is a case of me getting on a promising ATS team early, rather than being a few weeks late to the party (see Old Dominion last year)

Utah -3  $200    Holy War in Provo and the Cougars may need some divine intervention to get their sputtering offense moving.  Only averaging 24 minutes of possession through 2 games, the Cougars did not pass midfield against LSU.  Cougars sit at 6-23 in 3rd down conversions through 2 games.   Utes defense will not be kind to a struggling offense...   BYU is also beating itself with 6 penalties/game.   Utah should be able to take advantage of BYU defense that allowed 296 on the ground to LSU.  The last 2 years of this rivalry have been decided by 1 and 7 points, I think this one could get out of hand.  BYU does have their backs against the wall here and I expect them to be improved but exactly how much is the question.
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Captain
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Posted: #2

good luck, brother
 
Captain
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Posted: #3

Always enjoy the write ups. Good luck this week. 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #4

Great insight your one of the best my fellow Ohioan. 

GL
 
Prospect
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Posted: #5

How you feel about OHIO tonight?

Georgia and Nebraska tomorrow?
 
Legend
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Posted: #6

Quote Originally Posted by capper4ever:

How you feel about OHIO tonight?

Georgia and Nebraska tomorrow?

Like Ohio, not sure who Purdue is yet...  is Louisville horribly overrated (probably)?  Is Purdue improved (probably)?   Won't touch it....

Like Georgia.... I love old school running teams, should hammer it right at Irish D.   Loves UGA's defense too...  Kirby Smart knows what to do.   Want to see what the line does... could get +6 right now.  QB is the only thing holding me back.  Not sure how much of the playbook he has.   Thinking Under, ball control and tough defense.

Ask me about Nebraska on Sunday morning   

Gonna play Stanford also...   waiting for that LA money to come in late.   Same idea with Hawaii.   Might end up with 6+ plays for the week.... we'll see.    
 
Prospect
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Posted: #7

Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:


Like Ohio, not sure who Purdue is yet...  is Louisville horribly overrated (probably)?  Is Purdue improved (probably)?   Won't touch it....

Like Georgia.... I love old school running teams, should hammer it right at Irish D.   Loves UGA's defense too...  Kirby Smart knows what to do.   Want to see what the line does... could get +6 right now.  QB is the only thing holding me back.  Not sure how much of the playbook he has.   Thinking Under, ball control and tough defense.

Ask me about Nebraska on Sunday morning   

Gonna play Stanford also...   waiting for that LA money to come in late.   Same idea with Hawaii.   Might end up with 6+ plays for the week.... we'll see.    

thanks buddy
 
Veteran
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Posted: #8

Like the Utah play. BYU looking pretty ugly this year.

Can see why you say wait til Sunday for Nebraska. Are they really that bad on D? Is Oregon really suddenly good?
Came close to teasing Oregon in a two-team parlay but didn't even like -7.5 pts.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #9

I agree on Utah. BYU will definitely show up to play in the rivalry game, but I don't think BYU can overcome Utah's defense with their ass piss offense.
 
Captain
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Posted: #10


bol 


pal
 
Hall of Fame
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Posted: #11

Very solid card
 
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Posted: #12

Good Luck Bud

I am looking at

Northwestern -2

Iowa St+3

Wake Forest  pick

Tulane +11.5

NC State - 23



 
Captain
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Posted: #13

This is a case of me getting on a promising ATS team early, rather than being a few weeks late to the party .......................

wish I was that smart......I seldom do that....I like 'em vs NT....but being 'cautious'...( NT an undervalued / under the radar team ya' know)......Ponies cover maybe 6-7 / row.....maybe stumbling vs UCF.....probably kill NT
Humble when ambitious - Gracious when successful - Resilient when we fail
 
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Posted: #14

GLUCK Alabaster 
 
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Posted: #15

I've been looking at Utah for a couple days now myself.

Best of  Luck BWS
 
Legend
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Posted: #16

BEST OF LUCK BROTHER 

LOve the UTAH play 


Might add SMU TT Over 


APPRECIATE THE THREAD 
 
Captain
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Posted: #17

BWS77

Roll with it...looking at a solid Saturday.

I detect  prosperity

 
MVP
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Posted: #18

Utah plays good run defense. Not as good as LSU, mind you, but should be able to stop the sputtering Cougars...........GL
 
Legend
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Posted: #19

Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

This is a case of me getting on a promising ATS team early, rather than being a few weeks late to the party .......................

wish I was that smart......I seldom do that....I like 'em vs NT....but being 'cautious'...( NT an undervalued / under the radar team ya' know)......Ponies cover maybe 6-7 / row.....maybe stumbling vs UCF.....probably kill NT

It's something I've noticed over the past few seasons from looking back at my spreadsheets...   examples are San Diego State in 15, ODU last year...  These teams go 8-4, 9-3 or better ATS but by the time I pick up on them it's only for 3-4 games.  I want to get 6-7 or more of those ATS wins.  
 
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Posted: #20

Good luck BWS. With you on Utah
 
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Posted: #21

 
Legend
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Posted: #22

Add:

Georgia/Notre Dame Under 58  $150    The more I think about what this Bulldogs defense is and what it can be the more I like it.   15 of the top 17 tacklers back in another year of Kirby Smart's system.  Great athletes...  better than anything Notre Dame has seen in a while.   Gameplan for Georgia?  Heavy on the run... Chubb up the middle, Michel everywhere else.   Eat up clock on offense, get stops on defense.  ND offense should get their yards and probably a few calls in typical South Bend fashion.  Keep it between the 20's here and I'll be happy.  You think the winner will hit 30 here in regulation?  I don't...  


A wise man once said "the Under is always winning, until it isn't"  




Laying off of MTSU...  not comfortable buying low on them.  Still a maybe on Nevada...   Stanford looking better.   How does Oklahoma/Ohio State not go Over?    Hoping Colorado sleepwalks 1st half then hit them with a 2H play when Texas State starts wearing down at altitude
 
Legend
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Posted: #23

Add:

Notre Dame TT Under 31.5 -120    $120/100     See post #22
 
Captain
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Posted: #24

Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:


It's something I've noticed over the past few seasons from looking back at my spreadsheets...   examples are San Diego State in 15, ODU last year...  These teams go 8-4, 9-3 or better ATS but by the time I pick up on them it's only for 3-4 games.  I want to get 6-7 or more of those ATS wins.  


Steele used to do that ALL the time....

" bet a team every week on a nice run (early).....after all you can only lose ONCE" 
Humble when ambitious - Gracious when successful - Resilient when we fail
 
Rookie
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Posted: #25

Love the card. Following you again this year BWS. I am in Columbus this week for vacation, will be out for the Ohio State vs OK game tonight, let me know if you like anything on that game. 

 to hopefully another profitable year. 
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