NHL Double Trouble

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Posted: #451

Today's 1(a) play would be LAK ML risking 2.3U to win 1U

 
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Posted: #452

Quote Originally Posted by BlueStar57:

Today's 1(a) play would be LAK ML risking 2.3U to win 1U

yesterdays 1a play would’ve been on the ducks and they lost so today would be the second game of the chase and also the Kong’s have a losing record so they would be a fade as wel because they are the highest fav as well

 
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Posted: #453

Quote Originally Posted by jaime2309:

Quote Originally Posted by BlueStar57:

Today's 1(a) play would be LAK ML risking 2.3U to win 1U
yesterdays 1a play would’ve been on the ducks and they lost so today would be the second game of the chase and also the Kong’s have a losing record so they would be a fade as wel because they are the highest fav as well
How did you come up with that?  The Ducks didn't even play yesterday.

From the rules... Play-1 is a 3 game chase on the strongest fav (ML between -150 and -300)

LAK were -240 yesterday, and TBL went off at -225.  That makes LAK the strongest fav for yesterday. Am I missing something here?

 
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Posted: #454

See post #274: fade heavy favorite with losing record (play 3)

 
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Posted: #455

Bluestar57, what I am saying is that the Ducks were the highest favored team on Wednesday and they lost. Thursday’s game would’ve been the second game in the chase, but the Kings didn’t apply because they were also the highest favored team but had a losing record which is makes them a fade. If you want to rest your chase, you would go with Calgary as your play tonight. 

 
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Posted: #456

Okay, thanks for clearing that up.

 
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Posted: #457

Quote Originally Posted by dimegoat:

See post #274: fade heavy favorite with losing record (play 3)
How do we define the term "heavily favored"?  -150 or more?

VAN qualifies for Play 3 today if we're only looking at favorites, and not necessarily >= -150, as they're currently -116.

 
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Posted: #458

Wednesday 1/15:

Play-3:(a) OTT  ML      risking      1U to win 1.5U (fade COL)

 

As always, someone please verify this... SQDL:

http://killersports.com/nhl/query?sdql=season%3D2018+and+tA%28W%29%3C0.5+and+line%3C%3D-150&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

*** Play-3 is a 5 game fade-chase against a heavily favored team with a losing record ***

 
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Posted: #459

Colorado doesn’t have a losing record though. 

 
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Posted: #460

Are you looking at ties?  They're 21-26 overall.

 
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Posted: #461

[Quote: Originally Posted by BlueStar57]Are you looking at ties?  They're 21-26 overall.[/Quote

looking at overall records. I don’t think ties has anything to do with it. I could be wrong 

 
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Posted: #462

They're 21-18, but they've lost 8 games in OT, which makes it 21-26.

 
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Posted: #463

We also aren't playing for the end of regulation time either.  We playing for a final result: W or L.  There wasn't a single PL wager in this system this season.

 
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Posted: #464

Quote Originally Posted by BlueStar57:

We also aren't playing for the end of regulation time either.  We playing for a final result: W or L.  There wasn't a single PL wager in this system this season.

yep your right. We should be counting them as losses towards the record. 

 
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Posted: #465

Sure looking forward to next season when chaser15 picks this back up again.  I didn't think this would be so difficult. surprised

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