Packers only -4 vs the Cowboys next week, Lacy or Nelson have to be injured, Surely????

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I couldn't find any injury news but i am shocked at how low that line is, Yes the Cowboys look good but you do have to remember they have a ROOKIE QB. Am i over looking something in this match up for it to be a legit line or is this a 'trap' line especially since the Packers have a TNF game the following week and teams who have TNF, Don't do well the game before it, There must be an injury.


 
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I would love it if the line got bet to -4.5!

Cowboys are 5-0 ats. Packers, I kid you not, are 0-4 ats. These spreads account for the thought that the Packers are infallible and the Cowboys historically efficient rookie qb is undervalued.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by porcelainfist:

I would love it if the line got bet to -4.5!

Cowboys are 5-0 ats. Packers, I kid you not, are 0-4 ats. These spreads account for the thought that the Packers are infallible and the Cowboys historically efficient rookie qb is undervalued.

Saying all of that, The Cowboys got beat by a pathetic Giants team led by Ben Cuckoo, Beat a jekyll and hyde Redskins team, Then beat the pathetic Bears and the 49ers followed by a Marvin 'Imbecile' Lewis team, I'd wait a bit before we call them a legit side, Rodgers at home is money. 
 
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The packers failed to cover against the lions, the Cowboys covered against the Bears. Let me put it to you this way, if an 0-4 team played a 5-0 team, who would you expect to win?
 
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How is that low with how great Dallas been playing. Why should it be any higher. 
 
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Yeah, this one looks mighty tasty to me. I've already played some Dallas -2 in reverse teasers. Aaron Rodgers had the most time in the league of any QB last week and still managed just 51% completions. Something is not right there, love the Boycows here.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by SwishSwish1234:

Quote Originally Posted by porcelainfist:

I would love it if the line got bet to -4.5!Cowboys are 5-0 ats. Packers, I kid you not, are 0-4 ats. These spreads account for the thought that the Packers are infallible and the Cowboys historically efficient rookie qb is undervalued.
Saying all of that, The Cowboys got beat by a pathetic Giants team led by Ben Cuckoo, Beat a jekyll and hyde Redskins team, Then beat the pathetic Bears and the 49ers followed by a Marvin 'Imbecile' Lewis team, I'd wait a bit before we call them a legit side, Rodgers at home is money.


Rodgers & Co. didn't look all that impressive Sunday night. Personally I think there's a lot of value +4
 
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cowboys beat themselves because of terrence williams against the giants...did you not watch that game?  and plus that was daks FIRST career start..ever since then him and zeke been getting better and better.  

and in addition to porcelain fists comment..did you not see the SNF game against the giants?? A rod had all the time in the world in the pocket but couldn't accurately hit his receivers. and again packers are 0-4...how r they money this season? packers D line is the main reason they beat the giants last sunday night....NYG O line is some serious trash. 

are you even watchin these games or just looking at the "scores" section on espn page
 
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responding to sixburghs comment
 
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Quote Originally Posted by usikbasterd:

cowboys beat themselves because of terrence williams against the giants...did you not watch that game?  and plus that was daks FIRST career start..ever since then him and zeke been getting better and better.  

and in addition to porcelain fists comment..did you not see the SNF game against the giants?? A rod had all the time in the world in the pocket but couldn't accurately hit his receivers. and again packers are 0-4...how r they money this season? packers D line is the main reason they beat the giants last sunday night....NYG O line is some serious trash. 

are you even watchin these games or just looking at the "scores" section on espn page

How are the Packers 0-4 ATS this year?  They beat the Jags 27-23 with the line being at -3.5 2 hours before game time, It was at 4.5 during the week i admit but it dropped to 3.5 before game time, Even the game against the Lions, The 7 dropped  to 6.5 before game time despite being at 7.5/7 during the week, They are technically 2-2 ATS.
 
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I'm shocked at how many Cowboys backers there are out there, Not at all impressed with Prescott, He's had a cupcake schedule and they've taken advantage of it, Typical Dallas Cowboys.
 
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Just one team fav from week 1 to now not cover is GB . That's why the line just minus 4 !
 
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Quote Originally Posted by usikbasterd:

responding to sixburghs comment


You're misreading it friend. I was quoting the OP. I really like Dallas +4
 
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You guys are missing the key to this game. Dallas wont be able to run the ball like they have been. GB #1 against the run. So, Dak will have to win on the road....on grass....throwing to Beasley & Williams.....

Linemakers are telling you thats a tall task.
 
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Not only does Dallas cover here, they win straight up.  Elliot will rush for 130 yards for the 4th consecutive game, and add 2 scores.  GB may have a good run defense, but Jones basically built a pro bowl offensive line that is stupid good.  Packers look like trash all year, something wrong with Rodgers.  It's laughable how close their games have been this year, chalk this one up boys!
 
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Quote Originally Posted by SwishSwish1234:

I'm shocked at how many Cowboys backers there are out there, Not at all impressed with Prescott, He's had a cupcake schedule and they've taken advantage of it, Typical Dallas Cowboys.

They had a cupcake schedule, yeah? So you've obviously taken them every game this year, right? Won big money, right? 

To Train69, who has Green Bay faced? To me they seem like Paper Tigers, just like the Bengals rush D. Last week everyone said the Cowboys couldn't run on that Bengals front, pretty sure that was proven false. 

Green Bay has faced all teams in Jacksonville, Detroit, Minnesota, and New York that are at the bottom of the league in Rushing. Minnesota is 32nd, Jacksonville is 30th, New York is 27th, and the Lions are 23rd. These teams are awful at running the ball. 

Yet here come the Dallas Cowboys, number one in almost every Offensive Efficiency metric, with a stingy scoring Defense ranked 8th in the League in PPG at 18 and you're getting a 4 point swing in your favor. For me, I see a Dallas SU win, so I'll take those points. 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by porcelainfist:


They had a cupcake schedule, yeah? So you've obviously taken them every game this year, right? Won big money, right? 

To Train69, who has Green Bay faced? To me they seem like Paper Tigers, just like the Bengals rush D. Last week everyone said the Cowboys couldn't run on that Bengals front, pretty sure that was proven false. 

Green Bay has faced all teams in Jacksonville, Detroit, Minnesota, and New York that are at the bottom of the league in Rushing. Minnesota is 32nd, Jacksonville is 30th, New York is 27th, and the Lions are 23rd. These teams are awful at running the ball. 

Yet here come the Dallas Cowboys, number one in almost every Offensive Efficiency metric, with a stingy scoring Defense ranked 8th in the League in PPG at 18 and you're getting a 4 point swing in your favor. For me, I see a Dallas SU win, so I'll take those points. 


2 strong teams at home play same time . Dallas win SU that's why i bet Seatle . Maybe the line down 5.5 or 5 !
 
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Packers were just favored by 7 against the Giants who are terrible so the line makes sense to me. Not saying the cowboys cover but no denying they are a love dog here.
 
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If you haven't noticed...Jordy ain't getting open this year. 31 years old and off of an ACL tear.

They have less depth at WR than past years.

They have zero TE presence.

Aaron Rodgers is having to thread the needle on a lot of throws. I have seen a lot of contested passes from an eye test.
 
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For sure this packers offense is ok but they are nowhere near a top tier offense. Dallas is on the rise and packers are on the decline. 
 
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I agree Rodgers and the whole offense have been bad, out of rhythm all season. Dallas should be able to score on GBs defense easily also, we will see what they're made of but definitely think they can cover the 4 if not win outright.
 
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Is this a serious post ? If anything this should be closer to a PK. +4 is stupid value but there has to be a letdown at some point for the cowboys. Tread carefully.
 
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Mannnn its all about whether Rodgers gets time to throw against the Boys line... if he does, game goes craxzy over 35-28
 
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This is a GENERAL idea not the whole story but you can fill in your own blanks.

week 1 L Giants. Giants have scored 89 points on the year and given up 108. Giants record 2-3

week 2 W @ Skins. Skins have scored 115 and given up 122.  Record 3-2

week 3 W Bears.  Bears have scored 85 and given up 126.  Record 1-4.

week 4.  @ 49ers W.  49ers have scored 111 and given up 140.  Record 1-4.

week 5.  Bengals W.  Bengals scored 92 and given up 110.  Record 2-3.

Week 6 @ Packers.  Packers (4 games)  have scored 98 and given up 83. record 3-1.

Break all the numbers down and yea you have to look at the other schedules to get a big picture detail of what all this means.

The bottom line to me is this.  The only team that beat the cowboys was the Giants.  And according to the points given up the Giants were the best team so far on this list that the Cowboys have played at 108.

The other thing that I notice from all of this is point scored margin of their schedule.

Their opponent's on the season have scored 492 and given up 606.  -114.  Again the Packers 98-83.  The only team so far with a positive margin. and above .500 record. 

I could care less if you enjoy these, but to me it just confirms my play on the Packers. 

Good luck!


 
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The problem with backing the Packers is Mike McCarthy is the most snoozy coach in NFL. There's a reason they blew a massive lead to Seattle a few years ago in NFC Title. When he gets a lead he just goes into ultra conservative mode and tries to kill clock, flip field, and it often leaves them exposed to being Backdoored.
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