MLB: San Francisco vs. Washington
- July 5, 2015 - 8:08 PM
- AAA Sports
- Offered at:
- betonline @ -152 Washington
1* Free Play Nationals.
The visitors turn to veteran Ryan Vogelsong (6-6, 4.19 ERA) who was shelled for four runs in Tuesday's 5-3 loss to the Fish; Vogelsong is now just 4-4 with a ballooned 5.40 ERA on the road this season (also note that Vogelsong owns a pedestrian 4.29 ERA in all "night" games). The home side counters with Jordan Zimmermann (6-5, 3.16 ERA) who was dominating in Tuesday's 6-1 win over the Braves, not allowing a single run over 7 2/3's innings of work; note that Zimmermann has now given up a total of three runs over his last 22 2/3's innings of work and he has to be feeling pretty confident that he can keep the momentum rolling today as he's posted a highly respectable 2.39 ERA at home so far this season. Recent performance plays a part in my MLB handicapping process, I'm going to give Zimmermann the clear nod in this match-up, if you don't mind laying some juice for a high percentage shot at a winner, then you should definitely take a second look at the NATIONALS in this one.
Buying low and selling high also plays a part in sports wagering. I'm going to excuse Vogelsongs last outing. He was pitching better than anyone on the Giants staff prior to his last outing. The Giants have not won a game in what seems ages but I feel they represent value in this matchup and am going to make them a play. Good luck AAA but I'm going the other way.