Green Bay @ Seattle

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Posted: #1

Seeing a lot of Packer backers on the forum. While I understand the love for Aaron Rodgers, I just think Seattle is in a different category. This team isn't just really good. They have a chance to be dominate.

Despite their beating of the Broncos, I'm just not sure the Hawks are getting the respect they deserve. I saw where ESPN insider had Green Bay with a better chance to win the Super Bowl this season and to me that is laughable. I know part of it is based on schedule, but this Seattle team is laced with superior talent. Only 25% of the ESPN clowns predicted them to repeat as champs, which is a surprisingly low number. 

"Too hard to repeat" gets thrown around a lot when discussing why defending champs often come up short the next season. While it certainly is hard to repeat in this league, if any team has positioned themselves to do so it is these Seahawks. Most Super Bowl champs get purged of coaches and key players who take more money to go elsewhere. That is not the case here as apart from losing replaceable players like Golden Tate and Chris Clemons, the Hawks return all their key players and coaches/coordinators. There was very little upheaval with this team during the offseason - a rarity for a Super Bowl champ. The Hawks are also young and hungry. This isn't a veteran team that is satisfied with a ring. They have a chance to be great and they know it. I have not seen a single shred of evidence that this team is fat and happy after last year. Russell Wilson won't let them have that mindset.

They should also be better on the field. There's no reason at all to expect a dropoff from the best defense in the league. I'm not buying that the stricter contact rules are going to cause this defense to collapse. I think it's nonsense. This isn't a defense you can crack with prep time either because they do nothing exotic. They line up 11 guys man on man and say "beat us". Lost last year was the fact the Hawks had a banged up offensive line with almost every starter suffering an injury. This group is healthy this season and I expect the offense to be very, very good. Not that they need to be significantly better anyway as they were Top 10 in PPG, YPP, and DVOA...surprising to most I'm sure. Having a #1 WR in Harvin with also be a boost.

I love Aaron Rodgers as much as the next guy, but on paper this is the worst group of receivers he's ever had entering a season. Cobb and Nelson are the only established players and one of them will be taken out of the game by Sherman. The rest are all unproven vets or rookies. When I look at this Packers roster I ask myself where are the playmakers? Who is going to go into Seattle and beat that defense here? Randall Cobb?!?! GB also starting a rookie center after their regular got hurt. This kid has not taken a single snap with Aaron Rodgers this preseason and now goes into the loudest stadium in the league on prime time. Good luck. GB's defense has a hell of a lot to prove as well. No doubt they will be better than last year, but that's not saying much because they were putrid last season. I will believe the turnaround when I see it. 

Even against a guy like Rodgers (Seattle has made the "elite" QB's look like minced meat the last few years...they have a combined rating against SEA's D that Ryan Fitzpatrick and Mike Glennon had last year), laying less than a TD at home with Seattle in primetime seems like a great bet. These guys are young, hungry and out to prove they can win several championships. They are also quite peed off that they only got one primetime home game this season. I expect them to give it all they've got.

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Posted: #2

 
 
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Posted: #3

Packers allday.  I'm buying packers up to +7 to +7.5 and betn 2k
 
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Posted: #4

Solid read


With that said, do see value in Seattle to repeat as SB champs at +550 and NFC Champs at +325? Odds seem a bit short, but I like your stance on Seattle. Hard not to see them in the playoffs; and not making a deep run.


Thanks. 
 
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Posted: #5

can't believe they only have one primetime game this year. thats stupid.


gl this season andy 
 
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Posted: #6

 
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Posted: #7

Andarmac, best of luck.  I'm with you 100%.  I was leaning GB just by reading this forum blindly before I thought about it to myself and realized that Seattle should and likely will roll.  They're so incredibly deep it's unbelievable.  
 
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Posted: #8

Thanks Andarmac.  Always look for your posts.  Will you be posting regularly this year?
 
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Posted: #9

home dog getting the most points angle from.the past few yrs(besides jville) hit at an amazing clip the past few yrs. any thoughts on miami or dallas this wk?
 
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Posted: #10

I would say I see a lot of action on Seattle here 
 
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Posted: #11

gl
 
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Posted: #12

THANKS GL

$2+ MILLION POOL, WEBSITE PROMOTIONS ROOM HAS INFO

LAST CALL FOR THE LAS VEGAS FOOTBALL SUPERCONTEST

5 PICKS A WEEK AGAINST THE SPREAD, DEADLINE IS SATURDAY MORNING SEPT. 6TH

YOU CAN SIGN UP EVEN IF YOU CANNOT FLY OUT.
 
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Posted: #13

 
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Posted: #14

 Good luck. 
 
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Posted: #15

Good to see your posting again Andy...

Good luck this season and am looking forward to your write-ups...

 
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Posted: #16

Not one mention of Eddie Lacy smfhhh .... Going over and sparing headaches
 
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Posted: #17

[link from unapproved source] - I would take a small shot. Hard to keep money tied up that long though. I've only bet one season total this year because it seems much wiser to keep reinvesting that money on a week to week basis than having it tied up for 6 months. Looks like value though.

[link from unapproved source] - Probably not going to be posting much this year. Life is too busy nowadays. I'll post when I get the chance, especially the first few weeks.

[link from unapproved source] - Good to see you, bud. No opinion on the MIA game. Very high on NE this season and don't want to fade them early. 

Would have already taken DAL if they had any NFL players on defense. Really down on SF this year. This team looks like 2014's implosion team. There is major dysfunction in the front office. They almost traded their coach this offseason. The defense has suffered through waves of attrition and teams will move the ball on them with a fair amount of ease IMO. Kaep may not develop into much more than he has. The pressure is on this team big time and they look a bit beaten up after three wars the past three years. They've missed their window. 1 or 2 early losses and there will be fingers pointing all over what may already be a toxic environment. May be nuts for saying this, but I would not at all be shocked if this team went 6-10. All the ingredients are there for this team to bomb out fast. Trouble is, I just can't trust the DAL D at this point.
 
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Posted: #18

Great stuff, Andy!
 
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Posted: #19

That's the kind of write-up I'm lookin' for.  Always appreciate your insights and good research.  Probably tail you on this one. 
 
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Posted: #20

Good read!!!....allots of vital pieces of infor.....also...Seattle Sea-hawks Money line is best way to do it....or tease it down PK and - to OVER 40.....6 points teasers!!!....Have a feeling 10 or less wins....GL!!!
 
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Posted: #21

Thanks, I'll dabble. Luckily my local extends a good deal of credit with no money up front. I have to often lay a poorer number on futures, but it is well worth it to not have money tied up.

What season total are you on? :popcornguy:
 
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Posted: #22

Quote Originally Posted by WussieMan:

home dog getting the most points angle from.the past few yrs(besides jville) hit at an amazing clip the past few yrs. any thoughts on miami or dallas this wk?
How beisbol treating you?
 
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Posted: #23

Quote Originally Posted by DinoLV:

Good read, SEA should win this game by 10 or more.  GB just does not match up well with power running teams with monster secondary's. Easy pick in my opinion. Good luck 


Easy?  I've seen threads like this before Careful what you wish for 
 
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Posted: #24

Same page. Seattle covers the spread. Can't wait!
 
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Posted: #25

Seattle -6 and Under 47
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