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"The Good, the Bad, the Ugly" (6/30)

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Posted: #1

Sunday's Results:  4-0 

Monday's  Picks:  

"The Good": Archer;  TB (+100)

Archer is 4-0 vs. NYY with a 1.26 ERA, 0.63 WHIP, .150 BAA in 100.0 IP.  TB has scored 5+ runs in 8 of their last 11 games.  TB is 8-2 (.800) in their last 10 games @ NYY.  TB has the highest OPS vs. NYY in the league (.862 OPS).

"The Bad": Peavy; CHC (+120)

BOS is 1-8 (.111) in Peavy's last 9 starts, and Peavy is still winless in 8 HOME starts this season.  Peavy has a 5.87 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 22:11 K/BB ratio in June. Arrieta is 3-0 in June with a 1.14 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 38:5 K/BB ratio in 31.2 IP. BOS is averaging 1.8 runs/game in their last 5 HOME games.  CHC is averaging 4.6 runs/game in their last 5 AWAY games.

"The Ugly": Zimmerman vs. COL; WAS (-1.5)

Since 2011, Zimmerman is 4-0 vs. COL with a 1.06 ERA in 34.0 IP (all winning by the RL).  COL has allowed 4+ runs in 15 of their last 16 games.  WAS is #2 in the MLB vs. LHP (.282 AVG).  Of COL's last 24 losses, 21 of them have been by the RL (.875).  

Totals:

OVER:  CLE/LAD O7.5

The OVER 7.5 is 12-2 (.857) in Haren's last 14 starts, 7-3 (.700) in Kluber's last 10 starts, 5-2 (.714) in Kluber's last 7 AWAY starts.  Haren has a 5.20 ERA and just one quality start in five June starts.  In the state of CA this season (@OAK, @LAA), Kluber has a 9.00 ERA, 2.86 WHIP, .419 BAA, 7:7 K/BB ratio in 8.0 IP.  

UNDER: CIN/SD U6.5

The UNDER 6.5 is currently 11-2 (.846) in the last 13 games @ SD and 7-1 (.875) in the last 8 games of the series @ SD.

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Posted: #2

I swear we have similar styles.  I have my Monday list narrowed down to about 6 plays to choose from and at the top of the list are Nats -1.5 (maybe even -2.5) and the Cubs.  Both teams were the only teams with a day off yesterday...

BOL, and nice sweep on Sunday!
 
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Posted: #3

Whats ur fav twoplays
 
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Posted: #4

Bol rmb..ur a topcapper
 
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Posted: #5

thanks for sunday !!!!!

you are very goog !!!!

thanks from fat bald guy from wi.

 
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Posted: #6

thanks for sunday !!!!!

you are very goog !!!!

thanks from fat bald guy from wi.

 
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Posted: #7

thanks for sunday !!!!!

you are very goog !!!!

thanks from fat bald guy from wi.

 
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Posted: #8

Quote Originally Posted by pacdaddy69:

Whats ur fav twoplays

All of my picks have an 85% or better success rate -- they are highlighted and BOLD.  Pick any two.
 
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Posted: #9

Yankees losing back to back ESPN night games

still looking over the card BOL
 
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Posted: #10

Hey RMB ! I was checking out on other sites and blogs about the COLvsWAS matchup.  WAS really dominates COL specially Zimmerman on the mound for WAS, plus, CarGO, cuddyer and arenado is a loss for rockies.  BUUUTT I'm having 2nd thoughts on getting them on RL, I will try to play Rockies +1.5 tomorrow. I think Troy and the rest of the gang should step up . what do say about that?

Btw, What do you think about the Mets tomorrow?
 
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Posted: #12

Like em. BOL 
 
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Posted: #13

 
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Posted: #14

Like them all. 5-0 today. Let's get them Rmb.
 
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Posted: #15

85%?
 
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Posted: #16

Quote Originally Posted by URZ262:

85%?


If you're really batting 85% rmb5w, what are the rest of us all doing??
 
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Posted: #17

nicely done yesterday

bol rmb

 
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Posted: #18

Quote Originally Posted by Liturgy_of_Fade:



If you're really batting 85% rmb5w, what are the rest of us all doing??

I didn't say I was 85%.  I said each of my picks today had a > 85% success rate, based on significant trends.

1.)  TB (+100) -- Archer is 4-0 vs. NYY (100% trend)TB is 8-2 (.800) in their last 10 games @ NYY (80% trend)
2.)  CHC (+120) -- BOS is 1-8 (.111) in Peavy's last 9 starts (89% trend)
3.)  WAS (-1.5) -- Zimmerman is 4-0 vs. COL (80% trend) (he had one ND where WAS's bullpen lost) + Of COL's last 24 losses, 21 of them have been by the RL (.875) (88% trend)
4.)  CLE/LAD O7.5 -- The OVER 7.5 is 12-2 (.857) in Haren's last 14 starts (86% trend)
5.)  CIN/SD U6.5 -- The UNDER 6.5 is currently 11-2 (.846) in the last 13 games @ SD (85% trend) and 7-1 (.875) in the last 8 games of the series @ SD (88% trend)

That's not at all predicting I will go 5-0 today.  I could easily have another losing day because there is still a 15% chance that these trends go the other way.  After all, they are "trends," not "locks."  I was just saying, don't ask me to pick my favorite two picks because all five of my picks IMO have an equal shot of winning.

 
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Quote Originally Posted by thatshot:

Hey RMB ! I was checking out on other sites and blogs about the COLvsWAS matchup.  WAS really dominates COL specially Zimmerman on the mound for WAS, plus, CarGO, cuddyer and arenado is a loss for rockies.  BUUUTT I'm having 2nd thoughts on getting them on RL, I will try to play Rockies +1.5 tomorrow. I think Troy and the rest of the gang should step up . what do say about that?

Btw, What do you think about the Mets tomorrow? 

Only 3 of their last 24 losses have covered (+1.5) = 12.5% win pct.  Laying (+110) on a 12.5% shot of covering (+1.5) is way undervalued.  You might as well just lay the (+210) on the COL ML because at least COL has won 2 of their last 13 games = 15% win pct.  This way, you have 2.5% better odds AND you would get paid 2x instead of even money.
 
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Posted: #20

Oh ok. Kinda like your picks here Arrieta is an interesting pitcher. He had incredible upside but the Orioles just gave up on him and traded him to the Cubbies for a rental on Feldman. Incredible talent and a brilliant pitcher who just tended to overthink his stress pitches, but absolute filthy movement and above average velocity. Ground ball pitcher too so if the wind blows out it should help the Cubes.

 
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Quote Originally Posted by thatshot:

 

Btw, What do you think about the Mets tomorrow?

NYM is 4-1 when Wheeler starts vs. ATL, 2-1 when facing Wood.  BUT in all six victories, NYM had to score at least 4 runs to win.  In both losses, NYM was held to 3 runs or fewer.  Do you think NYM can put up 4 runs today vs. Alex Wood/ATL bullpen?  If so, bet it.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by URZ262:

Oh ok. Kinda like your picks here Arrieta is an interesting pitcher. He had incredible upside but the Orioles just gave up on him and traded him to the Cubbies for a rental on Feldman. Incredible talent and a brilliant pitcher who just tended to overthink his stress pitches, but absolute filthy movement and above average velocity. Ground ball pitcher too so if the wind blows out it should help the Cubs.


I was also surprised to learn that CHC's bullpen actually ranks #2 in the MLB with a .210 BAA.  
 
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Posted: #23

Quality info as always...
 Continued success....
 
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Posted: #24

rmb5w -- absolutely fabulous stuff. was all over your selections yesterday and will be all over your stuff again today. keep up your great work. thx
 
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Posted: #25

Great Info!!---Keep the info coming!! 
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