Texas at Texas Christian (10/26/2013)

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Away:  Texas [3-3 ATS]
Home:  Texas Christian [2-5 ATS]

Game Time: 7:30 PM
Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium

Recent Meetings:
11/22/12 - TCU 20 vs. TEX 13
09/08/07 - TCU 13 vs. TEX 34
11/18/95 - TCU 19 vs. TEX 27

Team Leaders:

Texas:
Passing: Case McCoy (764)
Rushing: Johnathan Gray (562)
Receiving: Jaxon Shipley (347)

Texas Christian:
Passing: Trevone Boykin (1152)
Rushing: B.J. Catalon (359)
Receiving: David Porter III (186)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

 
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T  C  U     -   1

 
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The Horns is the play.  They've had plenty of time to prepare since the Red River Rivalry and don't want to lay an egg after such a big win where NO ONE gave em a shot to cover much less beat OU.  Put me down for the dog to win outright over a weaker than usual TCU D.  Texas controls the ground game and gets the W.

Texas +110 ($ line)

GL to all!!
 
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texas ml  
 
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 texas ml     -    Agreed - BOL
 
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Only wins over KU, SMU, and SE LA makes TCU hard to side with in this one.  They do creeate probs for a Case McCoy led Texas offense. The TCU defense is solid overall, yet 2nd in the conference against the rush...115 ypg and 3.1 ypc.  Despite what took place in Dallas against OU, shouldering Case McCoy with the task of winning with his arm is a very bad idea.  Even in the OU win while looking his best all season, he threw a pick-6, missed 2 wide-open TD's, and wildly overthrew a crucial defenderless first down toss of 5 yards.  I watched the game 3 times, the pressure was not bad enough to airmail the 2 TD's and 1st down misses.  Had that game been close, Case would not have done what was needed to win it, leaving 14+ points on the board and handing over an easy 7.

On the opposite side, TCU's strength is rushing although they are middle of the pack in the Big 12.  I attribute that to starting a 2nd string QB that is a weak passing threat.  Teams were able to play the run most of the time.  If Pachall plays in this one, and it looks like he will, the passing game should improve leaps and bounds and create space for TCU runners. Bad news for Texas.  

I expect TCU to use their 2 QB's like KSU does...rotate the passer and the runner for different packages and situations.  Could be trouble since Boykin runs well (293 yards, 3 TD's) and Pachall was an extremely dangerous passer in 2010 and the 4 games he played in 2011.  He's a very efficient and mistake conscious QB over his 26 game career.  On 479 attempts he completed 65.8% for 4,122 yards...and an excellent 36 TD / 9 INT ratio.

I expect both teams to play this one close to the vest not wanting to make the crucial game losing mistake.  If TCU contains the UT run game, Pachall rotates in with Boykin, and Texas lowers their level of play some like they surely will (not awful, just not rivalry effort)...Texas gets edged out.  Don't forget the game is in Fort Worth and been sold out for many months.  It's a small stadium and will be extremely loud.

If Texas can establish the run, Case avoids any turnovers resulting in quick points or on Texas' own side of field, and the defense slows down the run (not expecting OU type run stuffing)...Texas slides by closely.

I'm siding with TCU on this one as the addition of Pachall to the passing game, knowing Texas played way above their heads against a sedated OU effort, and the road angle will be huge.

Gonna take 7 points in a tease for padding, too many wildcards.  TCU +5.5
 
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Texas +2 Easiest pick of the day!?!? Hit it hard!?!? 
 
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tcu is one of the toughest teams to cap IMO. They can typically hang with anybody, but rarely blow out anyone. Gonna just watch my boys here and hope for good things.
 
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texas + 3
 
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Under 51
 
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Quote Originally Posted by W8LIFTER:

Texas +2 Easiest pick of the day!?!? Hit it hard!?!? 

BINGO
 
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  • Accepted:
    10/26/2013 3:58:49 PM
    Description:
    Mobile - FOOTBALL - 165 Texas +3 -110 for GAME
  • Type
    Risk
    To Win
    Spread
    $1400.25
    $1272.95
 
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Hope everyone hit it hard!?!?  I did!?!?
 
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Nevertheless... Congrats all Longhorns backers!