If someone told you that Baylor was playing a team that had beaten Louisiana-Lafayette and UMass but lost to North Dakota State, would you take Baylor and give 17 points? You bet your behind. K-State hasn't really improved much since getting off to such a shaky start.
vegas is giving absolutely no respect to Baylor here...
of course playing at Kansas St is tough, but Kansas St is not the same team this year. And the close loss at Ok St was a mirage, because Ok St is not very good either. the WVU barely cover of 31 on a 29.5 half spread was also a mirage. Baylor was winning 56-10 at the half and did "everything" it could to hold scoring less than 70 in the 2nd half.
Initial total came out at 72. This is a joke! Baylor has scored 69 or better each week. Why waste your time picking a side in this game and sweating out 60 minutes. Given the -17, Baylor's Team Total will come in at less than 45 points. Two equal plays on this game: Baylor TT over 45 and game total over 72. Wish I had a million dollars to put on this game.
K State has one of the best coaches in the nation who does a great job of recruiting junior college transfers. That is why his program has fallen so far so fast from last year. The turnover in players happens twice as fast in this system as in players recruited for five years (one year redshirted typically) Vegas doesn't care about where the line should be, they just want 50% on each side of the bet. People see the name Kansas ST and they think ooooooh! good team! Well they aren't this year and Baylor should roll. Stevopa has a great point about the over hitting as well. Normally I would wait till my book 5 dimes reduces it's odds to 5% and take the Baylor ML if it is below the key number 21, but I don't get reduced odds on parlays so why wait. A Baylor over 72 and Baylor-17 for a medium play.
QUOTE Originally Posted by NTW1972: Baylor (-17) rolls K State 52-24!! ...just hope their backups dont make it a hairy situation again this week @ the end of game in mop up time!!
I don't think that will be a problem. the only reason Baylor backers had to sweat last week was because briles did not want to put more than 70 on wvu. if Baylor were playing at full speed, no way they get even close to that spread or 42. Kansas st is a better team and the spread is 17 and not 30...
i feel like such a schmuck.... I jumped on the spread as soon as I saw it up on Sunday evening and thought I was getting a steal at -20. I knew it would get blown up. WTH! Oh well, I really don't believe it will matter. I certainly will be taking advantage of O/U as well as TT for Baylor.
Line perfect. I think if over keeps going up it might get close...but if kst doesnt score you might get a 56-10 deal. If they do hang youll get your over. ahh eff it BAY and OV till the total is 110!!!!!
Nhenley, you clearly don't know what you are talking about. NDSU is not horrible and they could beat many BCS schools if given the opportunity. Winning the last 2 FCS championships and currently ranked #1 does not quite constitute being horrible. Now is Baylor a better team? Of course. It's called college football where you rely on 18 year old kids that just sometimes lack the discipline to be prepared on any given week. Obviously KSt would love a mulligan. With all that said I'm not sure how KSt can hang with Baylor as fore mentioned but I also thought that last wknd on the road in Stillwater
Baylor has scored 282 points on the season, 17 of which of have come in the fourth quarter. Translation, if you take out the fourth quarter, Baylor is averaging over 22 points per quarter. Granted, they have played a very weak schedule but they haven't even had to try in the second half. They are going to score at least 50 and I don't think K-State has a prayer at keeping up with that pace. I see Baylor scoring early and often. K-State likes to run a balanced, run first, methodical offense. If they get behind, which they will, watch out. It could get out of hand quick. I'm taking the Bears in a blowout.
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