Richmond!!!

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Sat. night short track racing under the lights!!!   I really am having a problem finding 4 drivers that i am playing early i know 4 sure i will b on kyle,jeff,and bowyer when the #'s are released 4th would have been hamlin 4 sure but even if he comes back i am not playing him....  leaning 2wards kahne or carl, carl had this race won last year with 50 to go and nascar black flagged him 4 jumping a restart leading the race     can't wait 2 c who is racing in the n.wide race fri. night expect a lot of big names kyle,kevin,brad,kasey. hopefully kyle opens at 3-1 or better

 
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I think Kyle will be a man on mission after last week 

That caution destroyed all my bets yesterday. Thankfully I had a little on Kenseth to save my behind 
 
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maybe another kyle sweep
 
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Oh yea, headed up to RIR sat nite for some short track action! Stats my top 4 would be Kyle, Jimmie, Kahne & Harvick, but I haven't hit a race winner yet, so can you say FADE! Looking forward to the race & popping the tops on some cold miller Lites- might need the hoodie though, gonna be a little cool sat nite if I can get a early matchup with Paul Menard that I think is favorable, gonna jump on it. Menard & his crew are clicking right now & has a decent history @ RIR. Anyone else on this forum headed to Richmond?
 
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kouz, enjoy yourself this weekend and b safe  lol    if u look at the #'s over the past 5 years jimmy isn't as good here as he is at a lot of other tracks    agree 100% on menard and i will b fading truex for sure he is horrible here along with mcmurray
 
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menard has been great this year very under the radar.

i like kahne as well 

maybe kurt if value is there 
 
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weather could b an issue sat. night    and sunday looks even worse  
 
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Allmendinger is finally back in the #51 after a rough couple weeks for Regan Smith. This was supposed to be Ryan Truex, but he's injured.

I'm a bigtime believer in Menard, and I love what he's done so far this year, but you may want to check his Richmond numbers again. Historically, it's actually been pretty dismal. Finishes in order starting with most recent: 23 13 34 37 26 27 28 30 34 31 26 16 

That's not to say he can't buck the trend, however. We'll see the #27 matched up against either McMurray, Ambrose, or Almirola most likely. 
 
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I don't know Stenhouse's history at this track...has he raced here before in Nationwide, and if he has how well has he done?
 
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Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

I don't know Stenhouse's history at this track...has he raced here before in Nationwide, and if he has how well has he done?
  last april in n.wide race finished 4th behind kurt who 1 hamlin 2nd and harvick 3rd  in sept. he finished 2nd behind harvick  not sure i would b fading him real quick      the guy 2 fade is truex he is HORRIBLE at richmond!!!
 
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Pixel you are correct on Menard, just feel he's coming into his own this year & his finishes are proving it. He's also keeping the car clean & staying out of trouble! Alan I was also eyeballing who stent house would be matched up with. Stats lets hope the rain stays away til the 
 
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Going with Edwards 12-1  Johnson 8-1  JR. 12-1
GL
 
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Quote Originally Posted by art-frost:

Going with Edwards 12-1  Johnson 8-1  JR. 12-1
GL
    no winner there
 
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thegreek posted some stuff but no odds 2 win must b waiting on word about hamlin     posted a few match ups only 1 that jumped out at me was stewart-truex -120 truex is terrible here!!!  how about a d.ragan-d.blaney -120  wtf     might play martin-biffle even  going 2 wait and c what match up's sportsbook ends up posting 2morrow or thur..
 
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just checked back thru some of my old notes and some stats on the pc martin-biffle is a play for sure
 
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Dimes just posted there matchup's 3 plays for me and I am done with matchup's till sat. Night 
Stewart-truex -130
Martin-biffle -110
Gordon- jr -110     Hurry up and release your damm odds 2 win
 
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Quote Originally Posted by kouz:

Pixel you are correct on Menard, just feel he's coming into his own this year & his finishes are proving it.  

You bet. And if you're banking on Menard to have another impressive run, his weak performance here in the past actually benefits you as you'll get better odds on him.

5dimes has Menard -105 vs. Ambrose (-125). 

I'm going to jump on a couple plays early:
(to win) 1u Gilliland -115 vs. Kvapil. 
1u Stenhouse +110 vs. Logano 
2u Mark Martin +3300
1u Stenhouse +6600
 
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saw where dimes just posted there odds 2 win   4 early drivers 2 win 

kyle 4.5-1  kasey 11-1 clint 12-1  gordon 14-1 that gordon line is BAD he should b 8 or 9 at richmond   my next driver 2 win would have been martin at 35-1    still might throw a little 30 spot on him to win a dime!!!!     wish books would hurry up and post n.wide, race is only 2 days away!!!! have a feeling kyle will b 2-1 with those shitty 4.5-1 in sprint cup  hope harvick is 6-1 or better

 
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Quote Originally Posted by yourpixelarmy:


You bet. And if you're banking on Menard to have another impressive run, his weak performance here in the past actually benefits you as you'll get better odds on him.

5dimes has Menard -105 vs. Ambrose (-125). 

I'm going to jump on a couple plays early:
(to win) 1u Gilliland -115 vs. Kvapil. 
1u Stenhouse +110 vs. Logano 
2u Mark Martin +3300
1u Stenhouse +6600
  really like the martin play    gordon has great value
 
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Quote Originally Posted by stats1:

  really like the martin play    gordon has great value

I like where your head is at. Gordon is the only other name I'm considering this race to win straight up. In fact, I'll just pencil it in now and hold off on any others. Busch is your obvious favorite, but I think there's a lot of value elsewhere.

Mark Martin at 33:1 is awesome value here. There is a very good chance he unloads with a rocketship, goes out and has the fastest car in practice, and grabs the pole. 


 
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Martin won't win another race unless there's something weird with fuel mileage or a late pit stop.  He doesn't have the stamina and motivation to stay in the lead for a whole race.  If he has a great qualifying run, I'll be looking to fade him on race day.  He's in great shape for a guy his age, and it's amazing how good he still is, but his days of winning are behind him. 
 
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Surprised they finally have Blaney lines. Did you notice Gordon was following Blaney to the front before Blaney blew the tire? Litterally started last and were up to 20ish spot when it happened. That team is improving and running all ecr engines. This team will be a top 20 team in next 2-3 years. Baldwin doning a hell of a job in my opinion.
 
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holy garbage wait till u c some of the match up's sportsbook has posetd!!!   kenseth over jj,kahne and bowyer all -135 wtf kenseth isn't good at richmond!!!    martin-truex -110       books have posted some bad lines this week 4 sure!!!!!
 
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stats, hit a few already.
 
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Funny thing about JJ here, he has 3 wins and im pretty sure they all came in rain delayed races that ended up racing during the day. I think kenseth will be strong sat night, the main reason hes not been good on some tracks like martinsville and richmond and new hampshure is fords just aren't good there. I will be fading JJ unless its a day race

You guys using sportsbook do they payout pretty good? seems like a while back i remember reading they were slow paying out or sometimes not at all.
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