Pete NBA thread #3

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Posted:

1/21, 5-3, +.25u
Posted, 36-34, -1.9u

1u; 21-25, -$665
2u; 12-6, +$1,020
3u; 3-1, +$555
5u; 0-2, -$1,100 


Only four games on the card tonight, but there will definitely be some plays.  I will post later.  

AP
 
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1/22

Cavaliers +4, 1 unit 

Really like fading the Celtics on the road in this spot (Boston is 7-12 SU on the road this season.. and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 road games).  This is a big public fade also; 80% of bets are on Boston spread.  

AP

 
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1/22

Clippers +1, 2 units 

This game is very interesting as two of the best teams in the league face off, both coming into this game off a loss.  Chris Paul is listed as questionable, but you have to figure he will be on the court tonight.  A few reasons I like the Clippers;

 #1 they are the deepest team in the league and should get tons of help from their bench tonight  

#2 they need a statement game to prove they can win the big games

#3 they are 14-1 SU in their last 15 home games.  The Clippers are a very good home team.  

Prediction:  101 - 97 LAC 

AP
 
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Hey what do you think about the site I sent you? Still investigating?
 
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Boston are not the old C's which they used to be with Ray Allen. I agree and got to go with the Cavs here.

Oddsmaker are begging bettors to get LAC+1. Much respect to you and like you've said, 3 factors why picking LAC, but why are they a 1-point dog here from a favorite? I just don't get it.


 
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bol pete on your plays tonightyou are a stellar guy and capper. I know already I am on the clippers with you

5-2 MONDAY

+5100.00  MONDAY  

                                                                

 

 

 
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You made very good money HD  Congratulation!
 
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thomaschau  It's friggin awesome.  I think i've almost watched every tutuorial video..  The main thing I like is that it consolidates a ton of information that I can use with my own spreadsheet I have..  it is definitely helpful.   

Bantam  Currently 70% of bettors are on OKC..  the line went from -2 clippers.. to now +1.. that is a huge adjustment..  The public loves Durant.. he is obviously sick.. but the Clippers are too deep and too good at home.

holydiver  Nice day yesterday man.  I really thought the Spurs would put up 100+ pretty easily.  I was wrong.  That was definitely a terrible 4th qtr though.. I wasn't too far off pace going into the 4th.
 
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Good to hear you like. Try to use the advance button. 
 
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I am not convince if it's just about the public. Like in this forum, I see LAC and likewise OKC picks. The only thing concerns me, OKC is 0-4 ATS the 4 last matchup with and at LAC. I have just one good reason why I love OKC tonight and I don't want to reveal it yet coz I might jinx it. Lol!
 
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1/22

Magic / Pistons Under 195.5, 1 unit 

I have this total falling around 186.  Both teams are under the league average in # of possessions per game (93.7 & 92.7..  average is 94.4).   Both teams are pretty streaky offensively.. we may see 1 decent quarter.. but most likely we will see at least 1 quarter where each team at one point in the game scores in the mid to upper teens

For example.. I could see the game being played like this..

Q1, 27 - 16
Q2, 18 - 23
Q3, 23 - 28
Q4, 25 - 19 

Prediction, 93 - 86 Pistons 

AP
 
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Clippers are good in revenge game this year...I like it.

BOL.
 
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Bantam  My 2u plays are hitting at 67%..  might be a decent time to fade 

football_007 
 
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Haha! Yeah, I saw that too so called up your attention. I'll play small on OKC then. It is really OKC or no play for me here. BOL dude!
 
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Bantam  You need Durant and Westbrook to score 55-60+ ...  Durant will show up, he always does, by far one of the sickest players in the league..  Westbrook can be streaky..  
 
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1/22 Final Card

Clippers +1, 2 units 

Magic / Pistons Under 195.5, 1 unit 

Cavaliers +4, 1 unit 


NCAAB

Illinois / Nebraska Under 124, 2 units 
This game will be in the 50's (both teams).. Nebraska struggles offensively.. Illi is good on defense..  and Nebraska is great at slowing the pace..  59 - 53 Illi probably takes this.. should go way under the total

AP
 
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LAC is already deadly team being a favorite and what more being a home dog. But it really concerns me LAC as a home dog, neglect the public play, bettors will hit hard on LAC more. Just my thoughts.
 
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holy sh*t boss my friends top pick in cbb is the nebraska under too. Now both you and him are on it I will make that my top play tonight and will unload on it I actually just got off the phone with hime 5 min ago and logged on here to see your posting on it

As far as the clippers I personally am afraid of lightning and especially THUNDER and do understand where Bantam is coming from. On the other hand Pete your write-ups seduce me (lol) and will side with you here. Lets face it the thunder are not going to win everyone of there remaining games on there schedule and no better time than getting one of there loses tonight in L.A.

 
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HD if your friend top pick in cbb match with peter's pick.  Let ham heavily on this bet  
 
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Best of Luck 
 
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holydiver  I've been to many Husker bball games (I live in Nebr)..  we really really really struggle offensively.. but some how we are actually very good defensively.. I think Tim Miles goal this first year is to not get blown out by every team.. so he tries to slow the game down to make it manageable.. which is actually pretty smart..  we almost beat ..  (i use the term 'almost' pretty loosely here) Michigan a few games ago using this strategy..  I wouldn't be surprised if the half time score was 24 - 19 Illi on top.  

thomaschau 

SportsFreak69 
 
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Under Orlando now is dropped to 194.5 
 
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I also added Nebraska under 59.5 team total for another unit..  No way they get to 60 tonight 
 
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Hey pete I have my cbb up here is what I got and still waiting on the nba

ADDING:

NEBRASKA +6 -120 (BUYING THE HALF) (1000*)

NEBRASKA UNDER 125 (2000*)

MISSOURI -13 (3000*) (POD)

WagerType:REVERSE ACTION
Date: Team:
Jan 22 CBB [518] MISSOURI -13-110 
Jan 22 CBB [526] NEBRASKA u125-110 
Risking 1100.00 USD To Win 2000.00 USD

 
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Posted:

like it

 

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