Has anyone made any money betting on sports steadily throughout the past year? 'cause I did! See how

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PETeacher
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Posted:
Quote #1666
QUOTE Originally Posted by SportsMavin:
OK, today is NFL as well and I will try to sync between the two threads (I have a thread in NFL Forum as well).
Yesterday: I know we almost covered that Laker game. Contrary to other picks that I can dislike even if winning - I still like the bet on Lakers although it lost. That is Los Angeles basketball. Because of the game being a popular event and betted live - the game is always strange and sucks lots of money from people who are sure that the "Clips" are slaughtering the Lakers, and then the Lakers staging a comeback etc. I am happier with my 1-3 today than 3-1 on some other days as today I unlocked few more trends that will cash me (us) in future and our goal of creating steady monthly income based on methodology and not just luck is just around the corner.
GL to all, keep positive mind set, and remember - this is no grocery store here you just drop in for picks. If you want to learn how to handicap for yourself - you'll have to go through the thread.

 You are the man Mavin keep up the good work! TY

uste_13
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Posted:
Quote #1667
QUOTE Originally Posted by SportsMavin:
OK, today is NFL as well and I will try to sync between the two threads (I have a thread in NFL Forum as well).
Yesterday: I know we almost covered that Laker game. Contrary to other picks that I can dislike even if winning - I still like the bet on Lakers although it lost. That is Los Angeles basketball. Because of the game being a popular event and betted live - the game is always strange and sucks lots of money from people who are sure that the "Clips" are slaughtering the Lakers, and then the Lakers staging a comeback etc. I am happier with my 1-3 today than 3-1 on some other days as today I unlocked few more trends that will cash me (us) in future and our goal of creating steady monthly income based on methodology and not just luck is just around the corner.
GL to all, keep positive mind set, and remember - this is no grocery store here you just drop in for picks. If you want to learn how to handicap for yourself - you'll have to go through the thread.



oh, so no leans on the NBA today Mavin? BOL!!
oreooreo1
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Posted:
Quote #1668
uste_13, he'll post them when he has them!
CP74
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Posted:
Quote #1669
Ponder is playin hurt. Webb got majority of snaps this week
SportsMavin
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Posted:
Quote #1670
Saturday Leans:
Something to pay attention to: the most attractive game today seems to be the Rockets in Cleveland. I mean - look at the Rockets and look at the Cavs. One team is flourishing into the 9-1 ATS in last 10 games team. While the other is heavily undermanned and is able to beat only teams like Charlotte that could beat themselves if left alone on the court. The line opening at Houston -5.5? Are you kidding me? The Cavs have lost their last 5 home games by combined 41 points which is average of -8.2 points. The Houston rockets are 4-1 in their last 5 games away showing +45 points margin ratio which is +9 points per game. In that course they beat the teams like Milwaukee, Minnesota, Chicago and the Knicks - losing only to the Spurs by 6 points.
So, now let's check the week day factor. May be that is why the line that opened at Houston -6 is at -5.5 only now while by all the indications this should be a close to DD Houston win.
The Rockets are 3-3 on Saturdays since the beginning of the season and 1-2 in the last 3 games while the win was at Minnesota. Two losses were both at home against OKC and Dallas.
And how the Cavs are doing on Saturdays. I have a feeling we're gonna be surprised here.
Well, they are although 1-7 SU, they covered most of the games on Saturdays. They lost to the Nets in Brooklyn by only 3 points the most recent one, beat(!!!) the Bucks in Milwaukee by 12, lost by 1 to the Knicks in MSG. Those are the recent 3. All covered. Each time in a convincing manner.
So. here's a discussion topic: are the Cavs covering tonight? Covering only the first half? And is the game going Over as we're dealing with the teams that both are 7-3 in the last 10 (14 Overs in the last 20 combined).

And if you wanna get serious about the capping - contribute with the same way of research about each and every game
uste_13
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Posted:
Quote #1671
@mavin

U telling something is fishy with hou line? There must be a reason why the line is set that way. Unless the line was set to trap bettors.. ?????
oreooreo1
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Posted:
Quote #1672
Mavin, the Dallas NO line seems to be set the same way as Houston Cleveland. New Orleans must do alot of covering on Saturdays!
kulprit
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Posted:
Quote #1673

I like your write up Mavin.

A couple more notes on HOU @ CLE:

In games against the worst of the NBA, HOU is 1-3 ATS:

vNO won by 12 (cover by 2)

vWAS won by 6 (no cover 4.5)

vNO won by 4 (no cover 2.5)

and an SU loss @TOR - the only road game in that set.

I have heard people say CLE gets up for home games vs good teams.  Can't think of any real good examples (maybe beating LAL, if you consider them a good team)

On the other side the spread is definately not where I would put it either.  HOU is 7-6 ATS on the road vs CLE 3-11 ATS at home. And HOU is 14-4 ATS off a SU win where as CLE is 2-5 ATS off a SU win.

Anyway, more to look at still.

BOL

Voltanic
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Posted:
Quote #1674
Mavin, haven't been following you for long but I like your work. You do well digging deep into the numbers to find the edge. IMO, finding what's buried beneath NBA numbers is difficult. Keep up the good work. I've been playing your leans for almost a week now and have done well. Thanks for what you do and keep it up.
oreooreo1
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Posted:
Quote #1675
Good luck Jax, I just hate playing against the home team on a Saturday night. The home team sometimes gets caught up in the crowds emotion and it ends up making a close game a blowout. Thats why Cleveland plays good on Saturday night. I see that game being close at halftime and the Mavs (with Mark Cuban fist pumping) pulling away late. GL
kapostsss
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Posted:
Quote #1676
Mavin, Can you say again about days...

Can't find them at first few topic page and don't no where you said about it...

Underdog day, home team, let down, close game day. About that tipe.
oreooreo1
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Posted:
Quote #1677
Post #19 Kapostss
PETeacher
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Posted:
Quote #1678
Jax  like your thinking with the Denver game. Nuggets put up a stinker last game.  They are better than that and feel they should blow the Jazz out.  Be tail'n you. BOL
melossinglet
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Posted:
Quote #1679
im not a numbers guy mavin,but something to consider for me regarding the rockets game and looking at results relating to days of the week and vs weak opposition is the fact that this rockets team is a "new edition"in a sense after mchale,not long after returning 2 the sideline a few weeks back,addressed his team regarding their identity and thouroughly impressed upon them that given their personell they MUST run,play up-tempo,make it a hi-possession game.well,they hav obviously bought into it as their results will attest to,passing 100 most games with ease and getting up and down juice hell or hi water.
the point being that the team currently shud perhaps b viewed a little differently than the one that posted all those results you mentioned earlier.as they are playing a faster pace with more possessions they are far more likely to score more points and in games they win,cover more easily.
now i cant say looking ahead that their ATS record will improve as vegas will adjust lines accordingly but playing this style i think gives them more chance to cover medium to big spreads.you either gotta run with them or get left in the dust and,kyrie irving aside,cavaliers dont really hav the shot-makers or ability to get stops to compete all the way.
just my opinion....like i say im not great with numbers as u are but just lookin at it from a playing standpoint
Gaulstone78
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Posted:
Quote #1680
kapostsss it is in the first page or two of this thread. read through easy to find.
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