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NBA RPI Spread System

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Prospect
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#1 Report User
Posted:

Currently I am just back testing until every team has about 10-15 games and the numbers stabilize more. i wont post the document for the system yet, but if you want to follow along with how the system is doing feel free to go here

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0At60g5PPz0MwdHdSS2V2QWVUcUdkVU5uZUVkTmtnZWc

Credits:
DG for automating everything for me and putting it all on excel. B2W for his MLB system for giving me the idea to do this
 
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Posted:

What will be your cutoff number? Good luck brother!

 
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Posted:

Hope you kill it this year Rice.....

Good Luck!

 
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Posted:

Quote Originally Posted by jaime2309:

What will be your cutoff number? Good luck brother!


my cut off number will be at least 13 games for each team. 

after the last three days i realized some of the filters werent working so i am reworking them.

so far the overall record is 23-13 

had a pretty negative day from 11/12-11/13 went 1-5, but that was right before i decided to change up the strategy and the filter with the system.

did pretty good yesterday after i tweaked a few filters going 8-2

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0At60g5PPz0MwdHdSS2V2QWVUcUdkVU5uZUVkTmtnZWc&pli=1#gid=1
 
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Posted:

sounds like you'll be going "live " around dec. 1st or so...by then most teams should have 13-15 gms under their belt.. hope u kill'm with the strategy...will u be posting here?? or nba forum?? bol
 
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Posted:

Thank You. Ya i should be going live around early December. So far i am still working on filters. but the result has been very good so far. my heavy losses were days when i didnt follow the filter or i am changing things in the filter. Currently with the filter i have i have won most games these past few days. what i am looking for is at least 60% win on last 5 games. hopefully with this filter i will be able to hit that mark before i go live. but so far so good.

And i will be posting on these forums

Quote Originally Posted by sfg8:

sounds like you'll be going "live " around dec. 1st or so...by then most teams should have 13-15 gms under their belt.. hope u kill'm with the strategy...will u be posting here?? or nba forum?? bol
 
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Posted:

Good lucky. Looking forqard to it.
 
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Posted:

What are the plays for today?
 
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Posted:

the system seems to be doing well i just need to tweak the filters a bit more but i will start posting the official plays starting December 1st on here and google docs
 
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Posted:

can't wait! BOL 
 
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Posted:

also i wanted to point out that if it seems like i am not fully following the filters on google docs its because i am not. i want to be able to test the filter to its last decimal point so i do not miss any potential wins and skip any potential losses.

But so far the system is on a average 60% win ratio for both of the plays and doing a few round robins and straight bets and teasers i am up 70+ units.

Hopefully by December 1st i am all the filters worked out. though the filters probably wont be finalized as i might tweak it along the way.
 
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Posted:

12/1/2012

Official Plays:
Brooklyn +8
Thunder -9
Warriors -4
Bucks -3
Portland +1
Chicago -6

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0At60g5PPz0MwdHdSS2V2QWVUcUdkVU5uZUVkTmtnZWc&pli=1#gid=0
 
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Posted:

in case people were interested i also 3 team round robin

nets +8.5
thunder -9
bucks -3
warriors -4
 
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Posted:

Riceman, What are you using to determine the spread filters? I couldn't figure that out from the rules on your spreadsheet.

I look forward to following this and jumping in on some games. BOL!

 

 

 
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Posted:

oops my bad forgot to upload the actual system

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0MwZUlObHVINGlvUkE

Once again all credits to DG for automating this
 
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Posted:

Quote Originally Posted by riceman003:

in case people were interested i also 3 team round robin

nets +8.5
thunder -9
bucks -3
warriors -4

Rice - is this Round Robin 6 parlays of 2 team or 4 parlays of 3 team?

 

 
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Posted:

Quote Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

Rice - is this Round Robin 6 parlays of 2 team or 4 parlays of 3 team?

 

Nevermind - i'm an idiot

 
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Posted:

Sorry guys wasnt able to post the play but if you followed the filters phoenix would of been the play at +11.5. i wasnt actually able to play the game my self. The game with Orlando @ Laker is a skip cause it doesnt pass the RPI filters

Official Plays: 3-2-1

 
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Posted:

riceman are you sure pheonix was supposed to be a play yesterday?
the spreadsheet was screaming knicks and lakers
perhaps i am mis intepreting the system? but then why are those listed as plays in the spreadsheet nevertheless

 
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Posted:

it was but one of the filters for when the spread is over 8 is

Spread Filters: If the live odds is +8 or more passes and RPI Filters. Then look at the team with the + sign and if it passes the 2.5 less than and 2.8 more than filter play the + if it does not pass the filter play the -

also plays for
12/3/2012:

Cleveland +4.5
Clippers -1.5
Toronto +11
Charlotte -1.5
 
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Posted:

and passes the rpi filter*
 
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Posted:

cleveland is not an official play thats just my pick my bad everyone
 
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Posted:

i think alot of ppl are getting confused with the filters so i have updated the system spread sheet with and example of each filter. Tell me if this helps

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0MwNDM0Z0dXbWtVeUk
 
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Posted:

Official Plays: 4-4-1

12/4/2012

Miami -11
Phoenix +10.5
Lakers -2
 
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Posted:

update to the system thx to DG

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0MwRXQ0OGF1ZjU5Q0k
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