MLB Super Systems

First << 1 of 10 >> Last
Views: 39264
Posts: 246
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1135
#1 Report User
Posted:

So just for the record - i'm terrible at tracking and maintaining threads - but I pormised Irage I would track the MLB Super Systems for a week.

 

MLB SUPER SYSTEMS

So I automated the systems contained in the PDF available from this link:

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B5dydT9Oe6JbczVFV1ltZXU1alk

Features:

·         Today’s matchups are updated from baseballpress.com when you click the “Update Schedule” button

·         All the data needed for Systems #1- 6 are updated  when you click on the “Update Data” button

You can download the spreadsheet from the link below:

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B5dydT9Oe6JbYW1QdXBILW8xb00

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1135
#2 Report User
Posted:

System #1

PIT (A)
ATL (A)
STL (A)

NYY is a no play because the TB has a better pitcher on the mound - but may be a play tomorrow depending on the pitching mathcup


System #3

MIL (A)

SEA is a no play since it conflicts with system #6


System #6

CIN (A)

ATL - already played with system #1
STL - already played with system #1

BAL is a no play since it conflicts with system #3

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 765
#3 Report User
Posted:

Hi degen

thanks for your help

What do you mean with system 6?

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1135
#4 Report User
Posted:

Quote Originally Posted by deland:

Hi degen

thanks for your help

What do you mean with system 6?

 

Deland - if you look in the PDF there is a website.  On the website there is a link in the menu that says "Ebook Revisions"   - the original author of the PDF added updates to the system as well as a system #6 - go to the website to get details on system#6.  Latly, make sure you download the latest version of the spreadsheet - IF your spreadsheet does nto have a system #6.  I added it as a later date.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1135
#5 Report User
Posted:

Yesterday's Results

System #1

PIT (A) - WON
ATL (A) - LOSS
STL (A) – WON


System #3

MIL (A) - WON


System #6

CIN (A) - WON

ATL - already played with system #1
STL - already played with system #1

 

Todays’ Plays

System #1

PIT / STL won yesterday – so we are off the chase.

Note: on the ATL game – according to the system we should lay off the bet where the opponent has a better pitching edge and wait for the next game in the series. So even though ATL is a B game today – we will wait till game 3

System #4

MIL won yesterday – so we are off the chase

SEA won yesterday – so we are off the chase

 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2008
Posts: 2179
#6 Report User
Posted:

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1135
#7 Report User
Posted:

Yesterday's Results

System #1

We skipped the ATL game due to the pitching matchup – too bad – we would have won – but think about how much we would have lost

Game#3 does not qualify – so it looks like we have to take a loss on ATL – but we are still up – so that’s the good news

 

Today’s Plays

System #2 – Avoid the Series Sweep

NYY (1 game)

MIA (1 game)

 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 41
#8 Report User
Posted:

Degen,

Can you explain the excel sheet. I assume the blue highlighted teams under the system play columns are the plays and the other team names are filtered out plays? When I updated the sheet today the two highlighted plays under system 2 were LAA and MIA (not NYY and MIA). Can you help me understand?

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 219
#9 Report User
Posted:

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2006
Posts: 593
#10 Report User
Posted:

  Hey DG, A couple ?'s 1. did the site work for the bullpen pichers stats ?, 2. do you have any excel type systems for football ? 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1135
#11 Report User
Posted:

Quote Originally Posted by mattymeach31:

Degen,

Can you explain the excel sheet. I assume the blue highlighted teams under the system play columns are the plays and the other team names are filtered out plays? When I updated the sheet today the two highlighted plays under system 2 were LAA and MIA (not NYY and MIA). Can you help me understand?

mattymeach - not sure why it didn't list the right plays on your spreadsheet - it shoul dhave listed NYY and MIA.  Are you sure you updated the schedule and pressed the update data button? 

Can you download the latest version and try again today - and see if it matches up with what I post?

The link is the same - the latest version is V5

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 10
#12 Report User
Posted:

DG you have a PM
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1135
#13 Report User
Posted:

Quote Originally Posted by GSHawk20:

  Hey DG, A couple ?'s 1. did the site work for the bullpen pichers stats ?, 2. do you have any excel type systems for football ? 

GShawk - yeah I should be able to scrape the site you posted to get last 7 days bullpen stats.  I managed to get the data into a spreadsheet automatically with a web query but am still working on formatting, but it seems doable.

As far as football - I have a couple of systems in excel - but not sure how good they are.  On their own they were 50% - so they need some cut filters and addtional handicapping.

these are the links for them:

http://sportsgambling.about.com/od/nfl/a/yppsystems.htm

http://sportsgambling.about.com/od/nfl/a/NFLpointdiff.htm

I need to redo these in excel - and I will share those at well.  But I think it may good for a high level lean - but need to figure out other things to look at for football.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1135
#14 Report User
Posted:

Yesterday's Results

System #2 – Avoid the Series Sweep

NYY (1 game) - WON

MIA (1 game) - WON

 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 41
#15 Report User
Posted:

Today I updated the spreadsheet and got SD in system 4. Is this right?
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1135
#16 Report User
Posted:

Yes that correct MattyM - I was going to post it - but wasn't able to get to a PC - I didn't want to post from my phone
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 1291
#17 Report User
Posted:

DG, what's the YTD so far for this? Last night was 5-0. Pretty solid night and the thing was SD was against the RPI play.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 41
#18 Report User
Posted:

Degen,

Is there anyway to backtest these systems or do you have the results of how they have been doing all season/which systems are doing better than others?

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1135
#19 Report User
Posted:

Quote Originally Posted by mattymeach31:

Degen,

Is there anyway to backtest these systems or do you have the results of how they have been doing all season/which systems are doing better than others?

@ mattymeach - all I did is automate the systems outlined in the PDF - take a look at the PDF that is the first link the thread - it has some backtest data from 2011 - but you're guess is good as mine if it's accurate.  Also - the author of the PDF has a website - where he post updates and results - check that out too - I think it has some record of 2012 - http://www.guide-to-baseball-betting.com/

 

@ BookieCrusher - Unfortunately, I haev not tracked these systems all year - so I don't have YTD - I only have week to date.  And as I mentioned in the beginning of the thread - I am only going to track for a week or so - after that, i'm hoping some motivated individual will take over.  I am horrible at maintaing threads and tracking stuff.

 

 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 1135
#20 Report User
Posted:

YTD Record: 7-1

YTD Units: +5 units

 

Yesterday's Results

 

System #4 – Dominant over 3 years

SDG (A) - WON

 

Today’s Plays

System #1 – Dominant Team Playing Better now

WAS (A)

Note: OAK and TEX are on the list, but are not plays due to the pitching matchups – they could be plays tomorrow if the pitching matching meets the filter criteria – remember the filter is to skip the game if the pitching matchup is unfavorable

 

System #4 – Dominant over 3 years

No plays – SDG won it’s A game yesterday – so we are off the chase

 

System #6 – RPI Hybrid

NYM (A)

CWS(A)

STL(A)

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2006
Posts: 593
#21 Report User
Posted:

   Thanks DG  
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2001
Posts: 378
#22 Report User
Posted:

I have the latest spreadsheet, and all the plays mentioned are there.  But, for some reason, the Oakland game isn't even listed in the schedule of games.  Yes, I did click 'Update schedule', but it's not showing up.  Any idea what could be wrong?
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2008
Posts: 812
#23 Report User
Posted:

Great job here, DG


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 1291
#24 Report User
Posted:

DG, could u post the plays here as well? I cant update the sheet dont know why and I dont have access to a pc most of the time. If that would be okay. I'm assuming Was, Stl are plays right? Any others?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2012
Posts: 41
#25 Report User
Posted:

For some reason when I try to update the spreadsheet, the Debug menu comes up. I also didn't get OAK at a play yesterday but I got ATL as one. Anyone else having problems with this? Does anyone have the plays for today? I would be more than happy to track all of this but for some reason when I update my version 5, I don't get the same plays Degen does.
First << 1 of 10 >> Last
Desktop View: Switch to Mobile View