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Thread Author m0rtgageguy Post Entries
m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy

an_laugh

Moosecityusa
Moosecityusa

Never again am I posting plays. I never do that ever. I post it once and Vegas rigs both games against me.

Pitcher drives in 4th and 5th run on only the 4th hit with 2 outs 2 strikes. 

Moosecityusa
Moosecityusa

On the opposite on both games. 

Looking at park factors, ERA’s and just the standard streaks. 

 

Best of luck may the better man (me) win bigsmile

mr_bollox
mr_bollox
AT & T at night is a downright dead-dirty picher's park. Even more so as the night progresses. Corbin vs Bum, combined with good closers and the fact that line moved from the key numbers 7.0 to 6.5, Vegas suggests DEEP under.


And yes, every game is fixed. They needed to strand bases loaded nobody out without a run to hold it at 6 
m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy

Anyone know the reason of such anomaly? The “Park Factor” for AT@T Park stands at 1.5. Which means expected totals runs scored at SF are 1.5x the average of the average of:

-Giants’ total (RS + RA) and 

-Opponents’ [(RS + RA) @ SF]/[Total (RS + RA)].

Soemthing like that. 

What’s more baffling is that AT&T Park is usually one of the biggest pitchers’ park in the league.

We just witnessed three hyper-high scoring games against the DODGERS, including a Cueto vs Wood duel.

Is this an isolated trend? 

weeble5672
weeble5672

Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

Posted: Apr. 10, 2018 - 6:09 PM ET "Quote" Quote Originally Posted by m0rtgageguy: Posted: 12 minutes ago "Quote" Can I be moderator?If you have interest, I would suggest contacting Covers directly.

How much do we get paid? 

Lawton1
Lawton1

Any strong totals for Wednesday 04/11

weeble5672
weeble5672
Can I be moderator?
m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy

So, 2000:1 against? That seems right. 

Also, what is the probability of:

-Bases loaded nobody out, 3-0 count, and inning ending with zero runs?

-A total of zero runs over 5.5 innings? (Eg: the score in the middle of the 4th with the road team leading, is the FINAL score).  

Lawton1
Lawton1

You mean Tuesday night? Also, there seems to be a change in pitching.

Dickey227
Dickey227

Wow and the mods box this guy. Incredible. The ONE entertaining poster with some character/attitude in years and he gets boxed. No wonder this forum is dead. 

m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy

Definitely <1%. The questions is, is it <0.1% ?

m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy

2 outs, nobody on. paint_help

m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy

For example: “March 29 totals”, “Cards/Mets”, “Why I like the Angels”. 

That way you don’t have to scroll past all the “3/29” posts just to see games you’re not interested in.

KeyElement
KeyElement
Ban-happy power-trip mods got rid of some of the most colorful characters we had over the years.
Kevinwalsh1313
Kevinwalsh1313

Stats, trends, park factors, pitchers' ERAs, WHIPs. 

What else to look for?

In 2016 I rod Kershaw Unders and games in Colo and AZ Overs. 
clepto
clepto
Quote Originally Posted by clepto:

Have we seen this in the NHL before? I don't recall. Safe to say I'm locked and loaded on UNDER 7 -125. Scoring down lately. 4-3 I push? SOLD!


Straight outta the lockout season. All totals were 6.5's, sometimes 7. We would even see a rare 7.5.

I remember having the "Over 7" in a Pittsburgh/Atlanta game. It was 3-3 after 2 periods (freeroll yo). Stayed 3-3 in regulation.

There was also a 7.5 at some point. Game was very very low scoring.  
m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy
Bro that avatar. Like, have you ever watched the WWF during the attitude era? Please don't insult the WWF by putting its logo next to the sh*tshow we call the NFL. 

And yes, I said WWF, cause that's what it is. WWE is g@y they only renamed it bc of crybaby libtards.
vetdrm
vetdrm

Stfu

m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy
Well now I think they might have a shot 
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