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Danrules24
Danrules24

Hey guys, just want to let you know that I will not be running this system this year. If someone wants to take it over please do. Been busy with some other things and haven’t bet on baseball at all. Been putting a little more aside for my hockey system as well. Best of luck. 

For_the_win
For_the_win
Try this. Link is for first inning but scroll to the bottom for all other innings. 

https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/1st-inning-runs-per-game
Allison_Road
Allison_Road
I don't see where Atlanta is a play on game 1. Yesterday they won 10-9. They did get shutout 3 games ago and won the last two. Wouldn't this be game 3 in the chase?
cougarpines
cougarpines

Took a quick look at 2017 and this would have went 29-52. You would have needed the line to average about +180 to break even. One of those wins was against Kershaw, that would have been a nice payout.

Watching with interest.

Danrules24
Danrules24
There would have only been 1 day that qualified last year during playoffs. Happened to be a winner but just not enough road dogs and games to consider playing. 
FTP
FTP

Try calcbets.

Just enter the ML odds and the RL odds, then your amount to either win or wager. The results show how much to bet on each to win your desired amount or how to split up your desired wager amount.



Steadyeddie
Steadyeddie

Best of luck!! Off to a great start. 

Steadyeddie
Steadyeddie

Your math is wrong. If you have 3 plays at -110 each and go 0-3, you are down $33, 3.3 units (assuming $10 unit). So according to your system, you would bet to win 2.1 units for each of the 3 bets the next day.

Given the above lets say the 3 plays the next day are all at +105 odds, you'd wager 2 units each to win 2.1. If you went 2-1, you would profit for the day 2.2 units. You were down 3.3 units coming in so even going 2-1 leaves you at down 1.1 units. So you don't clear after just 1 winning night as stated.

Danrules24
Danrules24

I'm going to skip the last two plays. Too much uncertainty with just a few games remaining.

Final numbers for the season:

  • Current season: 27-0 
  • Overall tracking: 109-3


  • A: 21-6 
  • B: 5-1
  • C: 1-0
  • D: 0-0
Danrules24
Danrules24

That seems strange that they wouldn’t let you parlay the two strongest road faves. I can’t see too many people betting this to make a book put up a roadblock. 

ChrisCovers
ChrisCovers

If you are betting strictly dogs and have a decent win %, maybe just bet the two outside numbers rather than bet to win the outside numbers. This would give you the added edge of plus odds. I’m doing a labby on a SDQL formula for away dogs within division under +160 for April only. 

 

Best of luck. 

Danrules24
Danrules24
Quote Originally Posted by peetee9:

Looking forward to your MLB system Dan. Thanks for all your efforts.

Sorry but I'm not posting any systems for baseball this year. I'm trying something using 10 SDQL queries and seeing how they do.

Danrules24
Danrules24

Nashville wins on A game and is done.

I'm not liking what I'm seeing from TB right now. Their upcoming 3 game home stand starts with Nash and Boston.  Let's skip this play. That leaves us with fading Ott starting April 4. Let's wait to see if their opponents have anything to play for.

  • Current season: 27-0 
  • Overall tracking: 109-3


  • A: 21-6 
  • B: 5-1
  • C: 1-0
  • D: 0-0
Danrules24
Danrules24
Nashville A game today. 
Danrules24
Danrules24

Vegas wins on A game and is done.

  • Current season: 26-0 
  • Overall tracking: 108-3


  • A: 20-6 
  • B: 5-1
  • C: 1-0
  • D: 0-0
Danrules24
Danrules24
Vegas today, Nashville on Tuesday. We will see if TB has anything to play for when their play on April 1 comes up. If no, we will skip.
Danrules24
Danrules24
Monday we are on Vegas. 
Danrules24
Danrules24
Florida takes care of business on A game. AZ is done. 
Danrules24
Danrules24
We will go for 1 more win on fading AZ. Next play is Saturday on Florida (fade AZ).
Danrules24
Danrules24

After the last two wins..


  • Current season: 25-0 
  • Overall tracking: 107-3


  • A: 19-6 
  • B: 5-1
  • C: 1-0
  • D: 0-0
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