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Thread Author Darkydark Post Entries
begginerboy
begginerboy

Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

I appreciate the effort, but the only valid point you make in the Boston/Cleveland series is #3. The Cavs are indeed playing their best ball.  #1. The Celtics are also playing their best ball currently. #2. It's only Wednesday. I'm in my 50's and play basketball twice a week. Three days is an eternity of rest for these guys. #4. So the Cavs will go all out to win? You think? DUH? So has every team in this spot in the history of the game. #5. So the Celts being undefeated at home is a negative for them?  #6. Philly won ONE game, not 3. Then and only then would a "couple of plays here and there" matter. I'm not on either side yet, but your analysis is weak.

 

correct. I'm in full agreement.  Considering Boston and Houston flawed teams is insane. Boston dominated ATS all season, most profitable team by far. Houston was a machine. I thank people like you for thinking Sixers were 4:1 favorites without home court lol. Maybe best series bet price ever offered. I bet the farm on Celtics, thought it was a misprint.  Go Boston, I hope they win it all somehow. At least take the Cavs to 7 games.

SconnieCovers
SconnieCovers

Quote Originally Posted by Bonx:

What is o3 Large meaning? Sorry lol, I am new onto sports betting.

 

over 3 goals total Large wager

dougiesg
dougiesg

Quote Originally Posted by aireent777:

Won my fckn parlay because of that cover. Thank you mr. Young.

 

thank the Hawks for first time in history, losing team down 12 doesn't even attempt a shot with 20 seconds left......very strange honestly, guys always try to pump stats. I could see if they were winning but wtf?

Darkydark
Darkydark

Pacers -2.5 (Both teams need wins. Clippers REALLY need wins. However, Pacers don't roll over.  Pacers have big edge in backcourt matchups especially as long as LA is missing Bradley and Beverly, and Gallinari to spread floor.  Austin Rivers isn't that good. Tobias Harris is very good and was a steal to get with Bradley in exchange for bozo Griffin.  I like Harris to go off for 30+ but that's about it.  New matchup this season, first game for both teams with home court edge and backcourt dominant matchups I like Indiana minus an Oladipo 3.)

 

 

March Madness. Besides Duke, the other 3 games are toss ups to me.  Any and all outcomes are believable.  Kansas is shaky. UW beat them. I like Clemson they don't quit. Rooting for the underdog but staying away.  Same feel with West Virginia. Nova is better than Kansas but WV is better than Clemson.  Purdue prob shoots threes better, but Tex Tech owns paint. As a gambler, I see little edge personally.  Anyone can win any game at this point and I would not be surprised in the least.  As a fan, how can you not love it?

Darkydark
Darkydark

Jazz/Spurs UNDER 195 (Jazz coming off a back to back must win in Dallas.  Spurs are at home. Almost missed this spot, because I couldn't figure out who had an edge because they both play good defense and they both desperately need wins. Therein lies the answer. The winner is UNDER the radar.)

 

 

Atlanta Hawks +10 ***Reverse System Play (1H reasonable, too.  Warriors without Durant, Thompson, Likely Green.  Curry's first game back in how long? Facing Schroder coming off 41 pts in a HUGE upset at Utah plus an extra day off. Hawks deliberately tanked against a tanker last night in SAC by sitting Schroder so he can be fresh to abuse Curry the next day and limiting everyone else's minutes. I see them fighting all game for pride. They almost beat a healthy warrior team two months ago, so revenge at play. They have nothing to lose, and can play freely. This is an exception to the tank the tankers system)

Darkydark
Darkydark

Timberwolves -6.5 (ML a lock) Minnesota's past 8 games consisted entirely of playoff qualified teams. A difficult test.  Coming off two days rest, and a BIG win at home, they certainly need wins now to avoid seeing warriors or rockets in 1st round, so after recently sharpening their blade against solid teams I expect them to run it up on the Knicks who can't beat anyone good without Porzingis. Kanter is good, Hardaway can go nuts, but they arent a great defensive team and MIN can put up points.  I still I think -6.5 is likely to cover, but Minnesota winning I consider nearly certain.   

 

 

Duke/Syracuse UNDER 133.5 (Zone vs zone. Played at Duke a couple weeks ago, lowest score for either team on year. 104 total.  Duke mopped them up while having their worst shooting night of year. 2/17 from 3pt. Against a zone. I predict a similar pace as kstate/Kentucky except Duke makes free throws but probably shoots less of them.  Syracuse best defense in country. At least remaining. 

Darkydark
Darkydark

Pacers -2.5 (Both teams need wins. Clippers REALLY need wins. However, Pacers don't roll over.  Pacers have big edge in backcourt matchups especially as long as LA is missing Bradley and Beverly, and Gallinari to spread floor.  Austin Rivers isn't that good. Tobias Harris is very good and was a steal to get with Bradley in exchange for bozo Griffin.  I like Harris to go off for 30+ but that's about it.  New matchup this season, first game for both teams with home court edge and backcourt dominant matchups I like Indiana minus an Oladipo 3.)

 

 

March Madness. Besides Duke, the other 3 games are toss ups to me.  Any and all outcomes are believable.  Kansas is shaky. UW beat them. I like Clemson they don't quit. Rooting for the underdog but staying away.  Same feel with West Virginia. Nova is better than Kansas but WV is better than Clemson.  Purdue prob shoots threes better, but Tex Tech owns paint. As a gambler, I see little edge personally.  Anyone can win any game at this point and I would not be surprised in the least.  As a fan, how can you not love it?

Darkydark
Darkydark

Jazz/Spurs UNDER 195 (Jazz coming off a back to back must win in Dallas.  Spurs are at home. Almost missed this spot, because I couldn't figure out who had an edge because they both play good defense and they both desperately need wins. Therein lies the answer. The winner is UNDER the radar.)

 

 

Atlanta Hawks +10 ***Reverse System Play (1H reasonable, too.  Warriors without Durant, Thompson, Likely Green.  Curry's first game back in how long? Facing Schroder coming off 41 pts in a HUGE upset at Utah plus an extra day off. Hawks deliberately tanked against a tanker last night in SAC by sitting Schroder so he can be fresh to abuse Curry the next day and limiting everyone else's minutes. I see them fighting all game for pride. They almost beat a healthy warrior team two months ago, so revenge at play. They have nothing to lose, and can play freely. This is an exception to the tank the tankers system)

Darkydark
Darkydark

Operation Increase Bankroll:

 

ML Parlay Combo

Cavs ML (two injured teams. Lebron coming off his best game of year vs Suns bench)

Raptors ML (At home off incredible game. Likely strongest home court advantage in league. Can see Nets keeping it close early and fading into the 4th. BKN plays terrible defense)

Duke ML (Most of the bankroll lies entirely on this game. Haha)

Timberwolves ML (below)

 

Timberwolves -6.5 (ML a lock) Minnesota's past 8 games consisted entirely of playoff qualified teams. A difficult test.  Coming off two days rest, and a BIG win at home, they certainly need wins now to avoid seeing warriors or rockets in 1st round, so after recently sharpening their blade against solid teams I expect them to run it up on the Knicks who can't beat anyone good without Porzingis. Kanter is good, Hardaway can go nuts, but they arent a great defensive team and MIN can put up points.  I still I think -6.5 is likely to cover, but Minnesota winning I consider nearly certain.   

 

Duke/Syracuse UNDER 133.5 (Zone vs zone. Played at Duke a couple weeks ago, lowest score for either team on year. 104 total.  Duke mopped them up while having their worst shooting night of year. 2/17 from 3pt. Against a zone. I predict a similar pace as kstate/Kentucky except Duke makes free throws but probably shoots less of them.  Syracuse best defense in country. At least remaining. 

 

 

loserforeverz
loserforeverz

Is it likely? No, clearly.  But assume you run a simulation of the playoffs this year 40 times. If you think the jazz come out on top at least once, than there's reason to give it a look. 

I placed Portland +8000 why not. Shooters can get hot, shooters can go cold. Injuries. The randomness of life, with legitimacy of teams like the Utah jazz (best defense) blazers (lights out lillard/CJ) give the play some merit.

 

these people saying it could never happen haven't a clue, and treating it as if your advocating it as an even money wager.  

I hope the jazz win and you get the 4K gl.

Buttsavitch
Buttsavitch

U need back back threes here

sbeezy123
sbeezy123
NBA Betting / Utah -15.5? / View Post

Momentum is life

AcesFaces
AcesFaces

I love bucks tonight too. It almost seems too obvious of a choice which is always suspicious.

but wizards have shown no stop for Giannis and now they're missing john wall in a matchup the bucks dominated all year.

BOL! Go bucks! 

line just dropped to -2.5. Will add a bit more new_heart_eyes

Catfishsports
Catfishsports

I like Boise tonight. I think pope is too crucial piece inside for SDSU to shut down angry Boise team.  i see this game coming down to the wire. 

oldwiseone
oldwiseone

Quote Originally Posted by oldwiseone:

FYI - If you are an NBA guy, really like Washington +4 (3 units)   GL

 

Wiseone, I can't see how Wizards would do better after getting thrashed by Giannis in Washington the past two meetings WITH john wall.

now they go to Milwaukee without their MVP? Spread is listed at 3 btw, where are u seeing 4?

whats your angle here? Maybe I'm missing something but bucks seem like obvious choice.

scalabrine
scalabrine

One of the best write ups and breakdowns I remember was this college football season Army -21 vs UTEP.  I read your post, did my own research and your analysis was spot on. L

Army had thrown the ball a total of 6 times all season. Up 21 mid 4th quarter on the UTEP 30. 1st down. 

They sub in freshman QB, and he immediately throws a pick 6.  It was the most devastating play because they NEVER throw the ball and no one could have predicted such a horrible coaching error. It was the worst luck ever and cost me a couple thousand. 

At no point did I blame you, because the truth is, your analysis was spot on and we ran oh so bad at the worst possible time.  Perfect example of great pick gone bad. I appreciated your insight and homework going into the play and still remember that game well. Please ignore all the whiney fa66ot losers who don't accept the risk involved in the decisions they make.

scalabrine
scalabrine

Scal, just wanted to say keep you head up, you are legit don't quit.  

I took Elon after reading your piece and stand by the pick even though we lost.

oldwiseone
oldwiseone

Am I the only one who thinks Boise state is going to win? Pope is crucial piece for Aztecs in the paint and on the boards.

while final home game means something, and Boise is playing for nothing but pride really. No effect on standings for them win or lose.  I still like Boise they're playing angry since Nevada.

Darkydark
Darkydark

Each time Gianni's plays the wizards, his numbers are great and improve with time.  

Wizards have no effective means of stopping the freak.

Wall carried them last three matchups and will be missing tonight.

Past two games at washington, the bucks stomped.

After overtime loss to Anthony Davis, I see MIL shredding the Wizards. 

-3? How do you not bite?

 

 

Darkydark
Darkydark

i placed a large parlay wager with Russia -600, hit everything else. And Russia won in overtime.

why is it being considered a loss? Am I wrong to disagree? I thought I was betting Russia money line. Wtf? I don't bet hockey often so maybe I'm missing something, but this is an elimination game and it didn't go to pentalty shots......please help. Thanks

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