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Philosophy101
Philosophy101
It's hard for me to imagine Bree's winning this game on the road against a good defense without Brandin Cooks and Willie Snead, those were 2 of his top 3 targets a season ago. I would totally back the saints here if he did indeed have those targets going into this game. This is a huge deal and I feel like it's not being talked about enough.

Imagine Brady against a good defense without Amendola and Edelman(We saw that last night once Amendola went out)

Rodgers against a good D without Davante Adams and Randall Cobb

Yes the saints have a great run game, and they have Michael Thomas. But on key 3rd downs where do they go? Michael Thomas is a 2nd year WR and he'll be up against Rhodes most of the game. Is Ted Ginn who is well past his prime at 32 supposed to go out there and be a game changer as the No. 2 receiver???

I do expect the Vikings to score over 21 points. Mike Zimmer is 21-3 when scoring 21 or more. While I'm not very high on the Vikings i do believe this is a great matchup. Take the Minnesota -3




Philosophy101
Philosophy101
Tall tasks this weekend for Auburn and Oklahoma. Auburn is unproven and Oklahoma has baker mayfield but was trashed by Ohio state in Norman last season. Both are away games, thoughts?
mattbrot
mattbrot
LMFAO. I didn't know games were played in 1 quarter
Digitalkarma
Digitalkarma
Terrible pick. You're gonna trust Alex Smith in New England???
Digitalkarma
Digitalkarma
Quote Originally Posted by lordbettington:

Quote Originally Posted by Over_under_O:

Pats went 13-3 ATS last year. No matter how high they pushed the line. Brady won't be on a suspension to start the year. Gronkowski will be healthy for this game. KC will utilize a rookie RB on the road. Tyreek Hill has to be the #1. Pats defense isn't that bad...I can't see the Chiefs covering this game. Don't over think it.
No Edelman.  In 9 games without him pats are 4-5.  Getting nine points on a team that went 12-4 last year is value.  Pats won't be 13-3 Ats this year.


Cooks is better than Edelman, and gronk is healthy. Your argument doesn't have anything. You act like Edelman is the patriots LMFAO. Can you say Tom Brady???
JBone_Texas
JBone_Texas
UCLA struggled last year because they had a very very average offensive coordinator. With new coordinator Jed Fisch, who is a part of the harbaugh coaching tree, they should be able to finally play to Rosens strengths.
JBone_Texas
JBone_Texas
Agree. UCLA will pull this one off no doubt. 34-24
GridIronGenius
GridIronGenius
Quote Originally Posted by GridIronGenius:

Hasn't practiced in 3 weeks, and nobody seems to know why. Jimbo keeps saying he should be back. Was allegedly seen today at practice in street clothes. If he's out which I think he is considering he's missed this much time and game prep. This is a huge disadvantage for my noles and this game could get ugly without him


He's out no doubt, he's is missing all the game prep and practice for the game. It's too bad, they really do need him especially against Bamas stable of backs
Philosophy101
Philosophy101
Quote Originally Posted by erratic:

Quote Originally Posted by Philosophy101:

... -Legion of whom?
Gotta love it. ... "Legion of Whom?"Plus you have to keep in mind that GB is winning SU at home 76% of the time with an average margin of +9.5 ppg. While SEA is winning on the road only 54% of the time with a MOV of 4 ppg. That net of 5.5 pts is obviously a cover for the current -3 line. Also, GB gives up fewer sacks as well as gets more sacks than SEA does. The Packers also run/ pass the ball better. They are better on 3rd down, both on OFF & DEF. They are also better at minimizing INT's on OFF and they get more on DEF. Check the stats for the past 5 years and you will see what I am talking about.Even though this game is not in my top 5 its still a good pick.Take it! GB -3 at home is a gift.


Love the feedback, very factual and you had a ton of statistics and reasoning. Great stuff sir
Philosophy101
Philosophy101
Quote Originally Posted by Eddy_Winslow:

Why would you make another thread?
the bet is a lock, that's why
Philosophy101
Philosophy101
Quote Originally Posted by LB_Dirtbags:

I'll be attending thus game. Bruins seem like the easy pick, but my gut tells me A&M will keep this close. UCLA offense looks like thier strong side and A&M defense should be able to keep this close...No play at this moment, but I'm heavily leaning A&M on this.


I respect your input. But what tells you A&M covers if you don't mind me asking? They have zero edge in this from a matchup standpoint, they lost a ton of talent. They also barley beat UCLA at home last season in OT. So now you're telling me coach sumlin, one of the worst coaches in the SEC is magically gonna put it all together and beat one of the best QBs in the nation on the road without Johnny Manziel or Trevor Knoght? Hmmmm...
Philosophy101
Philosophy101
-Texas A&M, very very weak defense with a lot of talent. That was with Myles Garret, Daeshon Hall, Claude George, and Justin Evans. They still have the same defensive coordinator and ranked 99th in the nation, Josh Rosen is going to have a field day in front of his home crowd.

-Ok so how does the UCLA defense matchup vs the A&M offense? They matchup very well, they ranked inside the top 45 in total defense last season and plug in defensive talent once again. UCLA has had a very respectable defense under their coordinator Tom Bradley. A&M breaks in a new inexperienced QB on the road, have to relate their top two offensive lineman and 3/4 top pass catchers.

-Coaches are split, both very very average and have underperformed. Sumlin only had success under Manziel and Mora only had success under Huntley.... Sumlin doesn't have any QB and Mora now has the most talented Pocket Passer in the nation.

-So does A&M have an advantage in this match up anywhere? Yes. They have a much more talented backfield in terms of RB depth and talent, they also have a better special teams unit by far. This won't be enough to cover for A&M

UCLA wins 34-24 !!!!

Philosophy101
Philosophy101
Seahawks have been an average team who barley makes the playoffs and plays in a weak division, has underperformed on the road since they lost to the Patriots in 2014 and lost Marshawn Lynch(haven't been quite the same since). Any coaching changes or player additions to make me think otherwise??? Absolutely not.

-Offensive line is still one of the worst in the league
-Eddie Lacey isn't a good RB, only started on GB because they have a weak Stable
-Legion of whom? No this is not the same defense as 2012-2014, still very good but not to the point where they carry the team. They don't put fear in offenses like they used to.

Take GREENBAY -3. GB very good at home, and Seahawks perform poorly in GB and especially on the road in general. Rodgers is the worst possible matchup for this defense when they have to go on the road.
Philosophy101
Philosophy101
Here's the EDGE:
They're at home for one, so give me a field goal in favor of UCLA even before I break it down.(Two very average head coaches, no edge except for home field)

Texas A&M is breaking in a new QB, they also were a terrible defensive team last year ranking 99th(!!!) in the nation in total defense, btw the SEC offenses aren't very explosive outside of Bama if you didn't notice. Once A&M played a big 12 team in the bowl their defense was completely exposed. That was with Myles Garret, Daeshon Hall, Justin Evans, Claude George. Ok ok so they should be better this year right, well I guess so... I mean you can't get worst right. They still have the same ole defensive coordinator in Chavis, their defense should be a weakness once again.

The one thing we can count on without a doubt is Josh Rosen who is the most talented pocket QB in the country. Josh Rosen will shred this already weak defense.

Ok so how is UCLA defense going to hold up against Texas A&M offense? New QB, 2/5 offensive lineman gone, 3/4 top pass catchers gone. UCLA has had a very respectiable defense and they will hold A&Ms inexperience against them in this one.

UCLA 34-24
Philosophy101
Philosophy101
I feel like this game isn't being talked about enough, it has great value. Take packers -3

1)We have a team in Greenbay who is great at home, maybe the best in the league at home besides the Patriots.

2)We have a Seattle team who is historically bad under Pete Carrol on the road.

3) Rodgers is 8-1 in his first home game of the season dating back to 2008. Hasn't lost since 2012 in this situation

4) Seattle still has a great defense but this defense doesn't put any fear in Rodgers at all while he's playing in his backyard, it's not the same defense it once was. Seattle also hasn't done anything to address their shaky offensive line and shaky run game which bodes well for a mediocre packers defense at home. Eddie Lacy, that's a joke right...?

If Seattle wins it's because they rush for 150 and Rodgers has a turnover or 2, which is not going to happen for the Seahawks behind their offensive line and Rodgers doesn't give handouts especially on his turf.
Philosophy101
Philosophy101
This isn't an just an opening week game, I'd say it's more of a National Championship game. Why is that you might ask? Because the stakes are so high and the challenge so big. It's being played in the brand new Atlanta Stadium and is easily going to break all viewing records for an opening game kickoff. Two hall of fame coaches and two of the most talented teams in the country.

Unfortunatly for Florida State, Saban lost the national championship game which does not bode well for the Seminoles. You're getting the highest focus from Nick Saban this whole offseason, the man is pissed and out for redemption... there is noway in hell he loses two in a row. We know Jimbo will have Florida State ready but we know Saban is gonna have zero remorse in this one after the National Championship loss. Saban already has the coaching edge, but now he's the one who smells blood in the water... a little extra motivation for him in this one to say the least. I'm not a Bama fan, I'm only a realist, Nick Saban is the greatest coach in college football history whether you like it or not.

From a matchup standpoint it does not look promising for the Seminoles. Their offensive line has been terrible and they lost their best offensive lineman of that squad to go along with another starter, this seems to be the weak point of Florida State over the last few years. Bama is the last team you want to face when your offensive line is the biggest question mark on your team. Bama is going to feast... Francois is luckily an amazing QB under pressure and he does have a ton of talent around him, but we are also taking about NEW talent as opposed to experienced talent. It's going to be tough for him to play perfect in this game and put the team on his back with a shaky line.
They get ZERO regular season time to get that o-line up to par, if this game was more towards the end of the season FSU would stand a much better chance. Bad timing.

Florida State he a very athletic and talented defense, maybe the most talented in the nation as we all know. Their secondary is what really stands out, although an elite defensive front that is great at stopping the run is what they really need. Their front seven screams sacks and great pass rush which is great for FSU any other game but Bama is going to take advantage of their lack of run stoppage throughout this game. Alabama has a very good offensive line and their depth at RB this season is scary. FSU has good but not great linebackers and Brian Burns at defensive end will get eaten alive on run plays because he is too frail and has a small frame. FSU secondary should look great early on but as Bama keeps pounding pounding pounding the ball the secondary will become more and more stagnant and eventually they will get suckered in and that's when Bamas pass game will open up in the second half.

Predication:
Alabama 34-24
Expect a tight game in the first half, Bamas run game will open the game up to more passing effectiveness in the second half and take over.





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