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Danrules24
Danrules24

Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

We will fire this one up Saturday for the start of NBA playoffs!Taking the points on Brooklyn +6, Orlando +8.5, LA Clippers +13 and San Antonio +5.5

Is this a straight up chase? We stand to win 15 units per season. We chase for 6 games at -110? If the team gets eliminated do we continue the chase on the dog that plays the round 1 winning team? We stand to lose 73.6 units if game 6 loses. We can lose once out of every 6 seasons to stay ahead. Great work on the systems BTW Dan. Wanted to clarify the best approach and the research done. Thanks.

HappyKane
HappyKane

Good to hear Kane! BOL the rest of the way!

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

clover

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

clover

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

Where do you get the matchup and historical data for WNCAAB? BOL NOS!

Pistol_Pete_44
Pistol_Pete_44

peace_5

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

clover

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

clover

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

clover

Pistol_Pete_44
Pistol_Pete_44

Oh darn. I have Denver -5.5. Hope Lakers win or don't lose by <5. BOL Pete!

Danrules24
Danrules24

Going to post it here for sharing is caring and we're all here to help each other out. =) Not sure if SDQL is the best way to figure out what you need for I'm not sure if it can filter top 2 for each day. Please feel free to correct me if I'm wrong anyone else that's familiar with SDQL. This query has all the elements I used to figure out my data provided earlier. Remove what's necessary.

A and line<-110 and margin>=2 and season>=2013

Let me know if you can't figure it out. I've also requested a friends request so we can PM also but I rarely ever check it. Please share your findings good or bad. Good luck!

Danrules24
Danrules24

Since 2013 there were 1777 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 1063(60%) of those games and 586(33%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 33% should be +203 and 60% should be -149. 

Since 2006 there were 3601 games where the road fav had lines<-110. They won 2089(58%) of those games and 1141(31.7%) by 2 or more. AVG odds were around -140 so AVG PL I assume would be around +190? Fair odds for 31.7% should be +213 and 58% should be -139. 

Hope this helps. The books are pretty good with their numbers.

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

an_cheers

Pistol_Pete_44
Pistol_Pete_44

peace_5

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

clover

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

clover

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

peace_5

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

clover

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

peace_5

nostradamus12
nostradamus12

clover

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