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Thread Author DogbiteWilliams Post Entries
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Congratulations.
FunkFreaker
FunkFreaker
Congratulations.
zebrakiller
zebrakiller
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

I don't know if Thanksgobbling games always occur during Week 12 of the NFL schedule, but Week 12 favorites have gone 27-14 ATS.
Correction: 

Week 12 Thursday favorites = 27-14-0 ATS.(65.9%)

Week 12 Sunday favorites = 165-189-10 ATS (46.6%).

Week 12 Monday favorites = 18-10-2 ATS (64.3%)
zebrakiller
zebrakiller
I don't know if Thanksgobbling games always occur during Week 12 of the NFL schedule, but Week 12 favorites have gone 27-14 ATS.
Andrew1976
Andrew1976
Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:

Home favorites of exactly 3 points have been 271-291-63 ATS, 48.1% going back to 1989.

The margin has landed on 3 points where you get no result, 63 out of 626 times,  9.9% of the time.  

It is equal value if you buying off of -3 to -2.5 if you can get -120 or less.....anything higher than that it is a -EV bet.

HF and line = -3 and p:L and pp:L

ATS:  47-73-11  (-1.81, 39.2%)

Home favoritess laying exactly 3 points coming off 2 losses only cover 39.2% of the games.
EastsideBangers
EastsideBangers
Congratulations.
vankiep_0007
vankiep_0007
Good luck.
dollasandsense
dollasandsense
I will probably this game, but the current Covers consensus on KC is a whopping 77%.  I'd rather be on the other side of that mob scene.
AFNfootballnerd
AFNfootballnerd
Please explain your computer program a little bit.

I assume that negative DEF figures are good, so that Kent State would be 12 + 10 = +22, and BG would be 8 -5 = +3.  KS is stronger.

If I am incorrect and positive DEF figures are good, then KS would be 12 - 10 = +2, and BG would be 8 + 5 = +13   BG is stronger. 

You chose KS so I assume the former is correct.
Titusblink
Titusblink
I am a fan of The Gormenghast Trilogy:

Titus Groan
Gormenghast
Titus Alone

Naturally I wonder if you are also a fan.
Win2017
Win2017
NFL Betting / NFL Week 7 / View Post
Congratulations
scalabrine
scalabrine
Quote Originally Posted by 165yds:

 

As long as he keeps the base which he is it's another 6 years.  The founding fathers wanted to give the President 8 years as it should be.  

No, the founding fathers did not limit a president to two terms. 

"Passed by Congress in 1947, and ratified by the states on February 27, 1951, the Twenty-Second Amendment limits an elected president to two terms in office, a total of eight years."

https://constitutioncenter.org/interactive-constitution/amendments/amendment-xxii
Digitalkarma
Digitalkarma
The people who claim the Saints "lose some of their thunder on the road and on grass" need to learn SDQL so they can mine the Sports Database and avoid inane comments:

team = Saints and AD and surface = grass

ATS:  59.3% as an away dog on grass, and just 48.5% ATS at home.
motowner
motowner
Pages are taking forever to load; it's extremely aggravating.  Once again it seems as if Covers management is deliberately trying to drive people away.
WussieMan
WussieMan
Nice record.  Good luck.
midnightprowl
midnightprowl
Good luck.
FallopianTuber
FallopianTuber
NFL Betting / Week 6 / View Post
Good luck this week.  You have an enviable track record.
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by ScCruzin:

LC 

Thanks for all the tips. Do you mind me asking what book you use? The only book I know that offer team totals is 5dimes and i rather not use them anymore. 

Thanks
Heritage Sports offers team totals, but they are not posted until game day.
DogbiteWilliams
DogbiteWilliams
He stunk up the joint in Oakland - 2 INT's and 2 lost fumbles.  He is still a work in process.
Macwestie1
Macwestie1
You are having a stellar year.  Congratulations.
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