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Thread Author lordbettington Post Entries
usarmy69-71
usarmy69-71
NFL Betting / arizona wins / View Post

I like the under too, I have a tough time seeing them get to 6-10.   Thinking 3-13.  Their coach couldn't win in college, seems like a risky hire.  Peterson suspended for a bunch of games.  Tough division as well with other three teams having playoff hopes.

DialedCaper7
DialedCaper7
NFL Betting / I hate philly / View Post

Quote Originally Posted by DoctorSuccess:

They're the best team in their division ... I don't see how they don't make the playoffs.

On paper yes, but can wentz stay healthy?

lordbettington
lordbettington

First I thoiught this number was a no bet, then I evaluated there schedule.  It is brutal.  Every team in there division has improved, browns obviously, bengals, are getting healthy and will nbe better then expected, ravens always play them tight.  They get seahawks, rams , 49ers with garoppalo.  At Patriots, colts at chargers.

They lost brown and roethlisberger is a year older can he stay healthy?  I think 8 wins is the absolute ceiling for them.

EliteGambler23
EliteGambler23

great info.  Already liked panthers over rams in week 1, this trend makes me like it even more.

DoctorSuccess
DoctorSuccess

Agreed.

Got bengals at ov 5.5 -110 when it opened at fanduel.  They were in playoff contention last year, first they lost effiert, then green and Dalton.  Could have made the playoffs if the injuries didn't occur.  

Falcons are prime candidate for improvement as well, but there 8.5 win total shows that people are aware of a potential strong season.

lordbettington
lordbettington

Rams are a prime candidate to regress for a number of reasons.

Superbowl hangover many teams that lose the sb have a bad year falcons in 2017, panthers 2016 etc

Teams go 13-3 or better almost always win less games the following year. In 2017 vikings, eagles and steelers all went 13-3 and all failed to win 10 in 2018.

Rams were an unrepeatable 6-1 in one possesion games in the regular season.  For example the 2017 steelers had a similair record in close games, in 2018 they were 6-5-1 in one possesion games.  Rams should see a similiar evening out this season.

Towards the end of 2018 defenses had caught up to mcvay's scheme, they will have all offseason to study, so a repeat of last years offensive output is highly unlikely.

They got 4 virtually automatic wins in divison with cardinals and 49ers without a qb.  Garoppollo will be back so the 49ers could possibly steal a game from them this season.  6-0 in the division will not happen again this year, 4-2 is more likely then 6-0 this year.

Rams under 10.5 is one of the best bets available right now.

AFentomologist
AFentomologist

Saints are a prime candidate to regress this year. Everything went their way last year until the rams game.  They won nearly every close game during the regular season, that is not going to happen again.  Brees is a year older, he tailed off at the end of last year.  Center max unger retired, ingram left via free agency, a big loss both on the field and in the lockerrroom.

Division rivals falcons were decimated on the defensive side last year and the panthers were 6-2 before newton hurt his shoulder.  Both will be healthier this year.  Bucs upgraded at coach with bruce arians.

Saints were 13-3 last year, historically teams with 13 or better wins regress the following year (eagles, Vikings and steelers all followed this trend in 2018 and easily cashed at under 10.5 )  If that holds form Saints will probably not get homefield and possibly miss the playoffs consideroing division rivals strength.

  I would put some money on under 10.5 as a hedge if I were the op.

Odds1_stinker
Odds1_stinker
Jags have had multiple bad games
bills match up well with jags

bpickin
bpickin
bp Nice call on rams in preseason

I think rams are going to make the sb.

take bills and titans moneyline
put more on tennesse and buffalo futures.
At 100-1 odds on the rams you can bet on everyone else to ensure that you don't lose your small initial investment.

spotslife1
spotslife1
bengals win.  
spotslife1
spotslife1
why is everyone assuming saints bury the bucs in tampa?  Bucs outplayed panthers in car last week and easily covered.  They also covered the week before and almost won vs falcons.
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by jdmoney14:

Pump the breaks on the seahawks being so dangerous.  They are 1-2 in their past few games, and if Dak and Dez didn't blow they would be eliminated already.  If you think they r winning 3 straight road playoff games, u r nuts
Thy didn't beat dallas, dallas beat itself with poor play calling and missed fgs and dak and dez like you said.

LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


Buffalo is not a good team. Bad teams in must-win situations aren't a good bet. For Giants, draft positioning has no effect on the players. They will be playing hard for Eli's last game regardless of what front office wants.
Buffalo won at Atlanta and at kc.  Check tyrod taylors number against dolphins the last 3 years.
Giants?
The eli apple storyline is a huge distraction and they are activating davis webb and said he will probably play later in the game.
Cousins playing for contract, gruden trying to keep his job.
SkySky
SkySky
Quote Originally Posted by JDE:

Even if Coughlin ordered his troops not to lay down, he is not stupid. No one wants to play Chargers in the playoffs, They are very dangerous. 
That was before the kc game They barely beat the jets and are not a lock to win against the raiders where more raiders fan will be there then chargers fans
bpickin
bpickin
Quote Originally Posted by bpickin:

I am doing an action parlay all underdogs with a B.

Bengals, bills, browns, Bucs (1 of my top plays), Broncos all ats

And a money line parlay all the same teams 
I am doing this same bet minus the broncos.
for the bills game pats are without dl branch which should help McCoy go off.
In the last bills/pats game Taylor got hit in the knee and played hurt until he left in 2nd half.  he is healthy this time.
There could be a fight involving gronk in this game.

zebrakiller
zebrakiller
Quote Originally Posted by EusebioPhilly:

Titans record is because they have the worst strength of schedule. Simply peruse the teams they played this yr. all dogsh!t. And then look at how many yards Fat Ben and Fat Bortles put up vs them. McVay is going to pull those puppet strings and Goff is going to throw for 350yards. 2TD lead by halftime
Titans are 3-1 against teams with a winning record this year.  beat seahawks jags and ravens
zebrakiller
zebrakiller
Quote Originally Posted by sharkscore:

rams actually play better on the road, also I will never back a team who lost to blaine gabbert who doesnt even have a legit rb. If the titans do sneak into the playoffs the team they are playing  will be a big play

I guess you won't be backing the jags(they lost to gabbert too)
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
Quote Originally Posted by Daone2nvy:

49ers backers....Jack still has something to play for and they have the best D in the league and lets not forget Bortles playing the best he has ever played...Jags -4 looks like a GREAT bet.

be careful jags -5 looked good at Arizona a few weeks ago.
zebrakiller
zebrakiller
Agree with zebra.  titans ml
titans are 5-1 at home and have a winning record against teams with winning records.  This is a letdown spot after the blowout of seahawks.  The rams can be run on and titans will look to run and run some more.
LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper
seattle was a championship team, no beast mode no Sherman no chancellor etc 
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