PM Mortgageguru

Mortgageguru

Mortgageguru
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Posts: 320
Member Since: May 2015
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Mortgageguru replied to Superbowl 53
in NFL Betting

Either way it should be a hell of a game. I also think it will be a back and forth game. We should see all kinds of offense in a shootout!!!

Rams 34

Patriots 31

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Mortgageguru created a topic Superbowl 53
in NFL Betting

I see a lot of good cappers on this site taking Pats ml. They’re saying the Pats will win but why take ml? Is -2.5 really that scary? 

Rams have great interior rushers which will pressure Brady. I’m sure they will adjust with slants and wheel routes to the outside. But Rams can hang on offense and I truly think whoever has the ball at the end will win. I will rather buy the hook and get Rams at 3 then risk all that juice to take the Pats ml. 

4
Mortgageguru created a topic Big plays Friday
in NBA Betting

Utah Orlando Houston 

Dogs that cover on TNT games the night before fails to cover as a dog the next night. 

 

Utah and Orlando fit this model. Houston is a bonus play. 

 

I got orlando -3 and Utah -9.5

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Mortgageguru replied to Championship winners
in NFL Betting

For the first game I think both defenses will have a tough time stopping the offenses. It will be a shootout and whoever has the ball at the end will be able to drive it down for the winning FG. Rams have a great offense and a talented defense that hasn’t played to it’s expectaction.

Rams +3.5 and over 56

parlay both also. 

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Mortgageguru created a topic Championship winners
in NFL Betting

So after one playoff game everyone is talking like Chiefs are so great and their defense is all of a sudden great. They have one playmaker on defense. Something was definitely wrong with Luck’s shoulder. His first few passes didn’t even make it to the receiver’s feet. Then they fell behind 21-0. When you are playing down that much you are more prone to make mistakes and opposing defense will feast. Chiefs are a great team and their offense is slightly better than Pats. But I still don’t trust their defense. Pats will run run run dink and dunk and keep Malhomes off the field. 

Give me Pats +3 in a close one. 

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Mortgageguru created a topic Maholmes failed drug test??
in NFL Betting

i saw an update on Instagram. Wonder if this is real and if it is how it would effect the team. Can anyone else confirm?

5
Mortgageguru created a topic Dodgers vs Angels
in MLB Betting

Taking the over. It’s cirretnl 114 degrees and game time temp will be 108. It’s brutally hot here today. Pitchers and field players will be gassed and the balls should carry well like it does in Arizona. Books adjusted but still thinking Dodgers win 6-4 type of game. 

3
Mortgageguru created a topic Finals Game 2
in NBA Betting

The line is pretty tight at -12. I’m leaning the under. Lebron has a great game but that’s how they have a chance. He has to play great and Cavs has to control the tempo. Warriors get hot and it will be over before halftime. But something about this Warriors team is not the same. KD lost his balls (not that he had big ones to begin with), Klay is banged up, Curry is streaky and has been on n off, Green forgot how to shoot, Less options on the bench, and etc. 

Anyone else have a good read on how Game 2 will go? 

5
Mortgageguru created a topic 5/3
in NBA Betting

So far game 1’s have been opposite of public perception. Pelicans were hot and Dubs didn’t have Curry yet it was a blowout. Same with Philly and Boston. Same with Utah. Game 2’s we’re opposite of Game 1’s results. With the teams covering in game 1 failing to covert game 2. 

Tonight we have Philly -4 after they got blown out and outplayed. Toronto is the same spread as game 1. I will take both Philly and Toronto to even out the series. 

Philly -4 and over 206. Parlay both also

Toronto First half -4 and full -6

 

1
Mortgageguru created a topic Duke/Kansas
in College Basketball

Classic match up and both teams are evenly matched. I think Duke is more balanced. It’s really tough picking either side. I might just roll with the over. Both teams shoot the 3 ball well and both push the pace. Anyone have a good read on this game?

3
Mortgageguru created a topic Super Bowl big plays
in NFL Betting

Pats historically tend to start slow in Super Bowls. They don’t take ANY chances in the first half. They tend to adjust really well at half. Last year. Against Seattle. Against Giants. Brady and Co will feel out the defense and see what type of coverages are being played with certain offensive packages.

I’ll take Eagles first quarter +0.5 and First half +3

 

then I’ll take pats for 2nd half  

 

1
Mortgageguru created a topic Clemson wins
in College Football

Alabama struggles with mobile qb’s. Bryant is not the most mobile but he’s comparable to Watson last year. Clemson defense is elite and pretty close to Alabama’s. The main reason I like Clemson over Alabama is because they are more balanced. Clemson is tough in the trenches and have playmakers outside the numbers. Alabama is still banged up and Jalen Hurts is not trustworthy.

 

Clemson +3.5 and sprinkle some on the ML

 

1
Mortgageguru replied to GS Second Half
in NBA Betting

I agree. 

2
Mortgageguru replied to Game 6
in MLB Betting

I would put Verlander and Houston at -120 or so. Let’s see which way the line moves. Might be a trap just like Kershaw was. 

2
Mortgageguru created a topic Game 6
in MLB Betting

So the Astros winning in dramatic fashion in Game 5 has all the momentum. Also has Verlander on the mound but yet they are dogs. Against an old ass over HILL pitcher lol

 do we see a game 7? I think so. I don’t like that Puig has to guarantee it but Houston isn’t that great on the road in this postseason. Let’s see what happens but I will take Dodgers in a must win, at home, and with majority of the people writing them off......

2

Let’s go Dodgers!!!! Wood will be ok but as soon as he gets rattled they will pull him. Morton is not a stud and should be good for 2-3 runs. 

2
Mortgageguru created a topic MLB playoff fact - Game 4 pick
in MLB Betting

so no team in mlb playoff history started 8-0 at home. Houston is currently 7-0. Will they make history? Will the Gurriel issue be a disruption? Who knows. But I I’ll side with history and numbers. Dodgers with their backs to the wall now after losing the last 2. As long as they win tonight they will have Kershaw on deck next game. They can turn this series around but have to win tonight. 

 

Dodgers +123 for max units. $1000 to win $1123

2
Mortgageguru replied to USC 2nd Half Big
in College Football
I might be wrong. But seems like USC is the right side. Washington state always finds ways to lose in tight games
10
Mortgageguru replied to USC 2nd Half Big
in College Football
Falk is holding the ball way too long. Turnovers will come for USC
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Mortgageguru created a topic USC 2nd Half Big
in College Football
Lots of people taking Washington State. Fall is a good QB. USC is banged up. They just lost a couple more in this game. Why would they set it at -3.5? Books want people to take Wash St 2nd half. I’m not biting. The line says it all. USC will run away in the 2nd half. More playmakers all around....
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