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Indigo999
Indigo999

Manziel and the Alouettes go down....I got a little too cute instead of following what the data said....the CFL is looking less and less interesting every week I watch them.  Sherman is looking like a loser as a coach, and the Alouettes will have to find some receivers for next year, as they can't hold onto the ball.

In the NFL, deleting Broncos, adding Packers, here's what I have for Sunday....

1)  Raiders +3, +114

2)  Panthers -3, +104

3)  Texans -6

4)  Packers -2'

5)  Saints +3

6)  Chargers +7

Waiting on a line for the Jaguars, if it stays under -10 I will take them also.

If the Steelers were to become pik or an underdog I'd take them also.

 

Indigo999
Indigo999

Here's a couple of NFL game 3 queries to ponder.....

 

pp:FL and AD and game number=3    39-17  ATS   

take a game 3 away underdog that lost it's first game as a favorite

 

Colts, Saints, Chargers

 

pp:DW and HF and game number=3   14-25 ATS   

play AGAINST a game 3 home favorite that won its first game as a dog.

 

AGAINST Chiefs

Indigo999
Indigo999

Adding:

3)  Panthers -3, +104

Indigo999
Indigo999

Cancelled my play on the Broncos, may add the Bills (gulp!) but will wait closer to game time.

 

I am in an exchange and got the Raiders at +3, +114.

I have locked in:

1)  Raiders +3, +114

2)  Texans -6, -110

Waiting to get matched on the Saints and Chargers.

spottie2935
spottie2935

With ya on Air Force, UNLV, and the Saints.

Indigo999
Indigo999

Thanks Spottie....all the best.

Indigo999
Indigo999

Makes sense now, the line in the Lions' game,....I would put the difference between Lulay and Jennings at 8 points/game.

Here are my NFL picks for the week....last week was about what I'd expect....this week should be the best of the whole season.

1)  Raiders +3

2)  Broncos +5

3)  Saints +3

4)  Texans -6

5)  Chargers +7

6)  Jaguars -???    I'd take the Jags up to -10, neither quarterback for Tennessee can play average football and quarterbacks are what win for you on the road........the Jags are going to have the best regular season in the league this year, now that Bortles has developed into at least an average quarterback.  Jags and the Vikings should be the favorites in the two conferences....if the Vikings can figure out how to convert their kicks.  NFC North by far the best division in football, they are going to beat up their opponents in out of division games.

Indigo999
Indigo999

Thanks ff.....strong lean to the Tiger Cats as Jennings will figure out a way to send his team down the toilet.

Indigo999
Indigo999

The Greek (only sportsbook to have a posted line) has the Lions as a home dog to the Cats....if Lulay is playing it will hard to resist taking the Lions as a home dog.....I'd assume based on how well the Lions have played at home this year, that if Lulay gets the start they may be home favorites.

If Jennings is playing it is a definite no-play for me.

Indigo999
Indigo999

And Johnny will be playing for his job the rest of the season as well.  Normally in this situation I would be playing the underdog, but home favorites on a losing streak tend to play well and cover.

Manziel impressed when he played last time putting the ball on the money on numerous deep balls, only to have his receivers butter-finger the ball away.  He will be taking his shots down the field, that is for sure and that is what we want to see.

I am going to suppose that both teams are going to score at least 20 points, and games in that situation go OVER about 75% of the time.

Let the air bill filled with footballs Friday night

Play:

1)  Alouettes/Bombers OVER 52'

Indigo999
Indigo999

Matt Nichols is more than likely playing for his job.....if the Bombers lose this game he more than likely will be benched and will be released in the off-season.

Indigo999
Indigo999

Well, most of the awesome underdog queries dry up in September for whatever reason....I've got one that has performed well in the past, but the sample size is VERY small.

Teams off at least a 3 game losing streak playing as a home non-divisional favorite (Blue Bombers) have been 14-4 ATS (+11.00), 14-4 straight up (+15.39) and 10-7-1 OVER (0.86).

This has been 6-1 ATS in September with the home team winning by an average of 23 points, average score 37.1-14.1

Indigo999
Indigo999

Bookie lines are out.

Mine in parentheses....

 

Bombers       -10   (-7)     Alouettes       52  (54)

Redblacks      +3   (-3)     Eskimos        54  (54)

Argonauts      +3  (+3')    Roughriders  51  (51)

Lions             +2'  (-3)     Tiger Cats    50'  (51)

 

Wow, senility might be creeping in (is it Mister Bookie or is it me?) as there are three sides that are very much off.  

Bombers having lost a few in a row a double digit favorite?

Lions have only had one small blip in their schedule at home and the Redblacks getting three at home?  Granted, they play nowhere near as good at home as away, but they are a better team than the Eskimos, that is a 6 point difference, the highest recorded difference in Indigo's history.  I'll have to contemplate what it all means.

Indigo999
Indigo999

Posted plays this football season...

CFL 33-23

NCAA 8-13 ATS

NFL 8-6

 

Not exactly burning it up with my picks....the past two seasons my NCAA football picks have hit around 57% on over 200 plays, but it is  looking like I don't know what I'm doing this year so far.....maybe I don't.

Indigo999
Indigo999

Hi Aussie,....the Alouettes will have to make a decision in the off-season about their quarterbacks, which one to keep and which one to release...I wouldn't be surprised to see Saskatchewan get whoever the Alouettes release.  Manziel has one of the highest salaries in the league and they paid a couple of number 1s for him, so he'll either be playing or looking for another team next season.  

I didn't get to watch the Sasquatch/Redblacks as I was in a seminar in Melbourne, but watching the Alouette game was an experience, that was approximately 3 hours in my life that I'll never get back.

I am posting a game 3 NFL query that has hit around 68% since 1989.

 

AD and game number=3 and t:wins<2  and t:wins-o:wins<=0 and  n:F  

Play ON an away dog in  game number 3 with either 0 or 1 wins,  also with less wins than their game 3 opponent, who will be favored in their 4th game.

Indicated teams.....Raiders, Saints, Cowboys (if Seattle wins on MNF), Chargers

 

Indigo999
Indigo999

Season to date 32-23.

What a week in football!  This week has the CFL putting 4 games on the board....Calgary once again shows their regular season dominance, if they don't do it in the Grey Cup playoffs this year we'll have to consider them to be chokers.  In the past September games the OVERs have dominated, and pretty much every other month are UNDER months.

           Indigo lines

 

Bombers -7    Alouettes 54

Redblacks -3   Eskimos 54

Argonauts +3'  Roughriders 51

Lions         -3   Tiger Cats 51

Indigo999
Indigo999

This week:

1)  CFL 0-1  as Alouettes quarterback Pipkin turns into a pumpkin at midnight, can the Here's Johnny Show be too far behind?

2)  College 5-6-2.........pathetic

3)  NFL 5-1........ with the Giants remaining, as Ryan Fitzpatrick sells his soul to the devil in exchange for a season in the limelight.

Indigo999
Indigo999

Play:

 

1)  Montreal +3' loser

33-23 ATS season to date.

 

College plays went 5-6 ATS, last time I'll post them, as if I'm not winning I'm not displaying them.

In the pros I'm taking....

1)  Bucs +3', -120

2)  Giants +3

3)  Browns +9'

4)  Raiders +6'

5)  Lions +6

6)  Dolphins +3

 

If Rogers is out I'll play the Vikings up to -10 over the Kizers.

Indigo999
Indigo999

Play:

1)  Alouettes +3', -115

Non-divisional home dogs when their opponent's winning percentage is  less than 50% are  13-8 ATS, 7-2 if their record is less than their present opponent (4-5 straight up).

Though I love Travis Lulay, the new Montreal quarterback is his equal.

Good fortune.

Indigo999
Indigo999

sorry, that is correct, the University of Southern California +3', I asked the bookmaker if he'd give me 13', but he said he'd only give me 3.5....an_timeout.