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Thread Author m0rtgageguy Post Entries
Trump201603
Trump201603

This was my strongest “Over” in years. Even stronger than Oilers/Canucks of 2005 out of the lockout gates. 

weeble5672
weeble5672

Knight / Caps over not looking good new_crying1

clepto
clepto

If the probability of the Leafs getting shutout on any given game is 5%, the probability of going 80 straight scoring at least one goal is..

 

 

 

1.7%

m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy
JONNYMUSH
JONNYMUSH

Yep. And for once I’m on the right side of the fix.

 

UNDER BABY an_clap

Trafalgar
Trafalgar
I think it was when Louisville was -44 or something against Syracuse and lost outright. 
m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy

Looks like rain and scattered thunder until at least midnight .. 

Bluejay50
Bluejay50

2 outs 2 strikes nobody on. 

 

Allows 3 runs. 

m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy

an_laugh

Moosecityusa
Moosecityusa

Never again am I posting plays. I never do that ever. I post it once and Vegas rigs both games against me.

Pitcher drives in 4th and 5th run on only the 4th hit with 2 outs 2 strikes. 

Moosecityusa
Moosecityusa

On the opposite on both games. 

Looking at park factors, ERA’s and just the standard streaks. 

 

Best of luck may the better man (me) win bigsmile

mr_bollox
mr_bollox
AT & T at night is a downright dead-dirty picher's park. Even more so as the night progresses. Corbin vs Bum, combined with good closers and the fact that line moved from the key numbers 7.0 to 6.5, Vegas suggests DEEP under.


And yes, every game is fixed. They needed to strand bases loaded nobody out without a run to hold it at 6 
m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy

Anyone know the reason of such anomaly? The “Park Factor” for AT@T Park stands at 1.5. Which means expected totals runs scored at SF are 1.5x the average of the average of:

-Giants’ total (RS + RA) and 

-Opponents’ [(RS + RA) @ SF]/[Total (RS + RA)].

Soemthing like that. 

What’s more baffling is that AT&T Park is usually one of the biggest pitchers’ park in the league.

We just witnessed three hyper-high scoring games against the DODGERS, including a Cueto vs Wood duel.

Is this an isolated trend? 

weeble5672
weeble5672

Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

Posted: Apr. 10, 2018 - 6:09 PM ET "Quote" Quote Originally Posted by m0rtgageguy: Posted: 12 minutes ago "Quote" Can I be moderator?If you have interest, I would suggest contacting Covers directly.

How much do we get paid? 

Lawton1
Lawton1

Any strong totals for Wednesday 04/11

weeble5672
weeble5672
Can I be moderator?
m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy

So, 2000:1 against? That seems right. 

Also, what is the probability of:

-Bases loaded nobody out, 3-0 count, and inning ending with zero runs?

-A total of zero runs over 5.5 innings? (Eg: the score in the middle of the 4th with the road team leading, is the FINAL score).  

Lawton1
Lawton1

You mean Tuesday night? Also, there seems to be a change in pitching.

Dickey227
Dickey227

Wow and the mods box this guy. Incredible. The ONE entertaining poster with some character/attitude in years and he gets boxed. No wonder this forum is dead. 

m0rtgageguy
m0rtgageguy

Definitely <1%. The questions is, is it <0.1% ?