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Thread Author Shirldog Post Entries
mac39bps
mac39bps
Microsoft nailed it!  Better than Vegas baby!  I took ATL to the bank.  They are on Pitts tonight.  Take it and cash!
phixer
phixer
Rough start but you'll bounce back.  I'll pick you up around week 5 when you have a good feel for the flow.
mac39bps
mac39bps
I'm taking ATL to the bank baby!!!
phixer
phixer
NFL Betting / phixer's nfl / View Post
who are you clowns??  I'm sure you don't see his plays if you can't read.
phixer
phixer
NFL Betting / phixer's nfl / View Post
Cashin' on the under in the first half!    Nice pic Phix!
phixer
phixer
NFL Betting / phixer's nfl / View Post
He has SEA.   He thinks you will lose.....
phixer
phixer
NFL Betting / phixer's nfl / View Post
would you still take SEA at -4?
Shirldog
Shirldog
Sorry - I meant, where on SBR?
Shirldog
Shirldog
what is SBR?
Madcapper33
Madcapper33
I wish I had seen this earlier.  I just bought the remaining playoff games from them.  Did you already buy it?
Shirldog
Shirldog
I'm gonna get their picks for the rest of the playoffs.  I guess we'll see.
Shirldog
Shirldog
Has anyone tried the Prediction Machine?  predictionmachine.com  They are a math based model and they say they do well in the playoffs.  I get their emails but haven't purchased any services from them.  They say they crush the playoffs and seem to remember them doing well last year as well as saying they swept last weekend.  Would be interested in hearing any feedback from people.

I'm a small player and so it's hard to justify the $50 for the picks this weekend.
phixer
phixer
NFL Betting / phixer's nfl / View Post
Phix,

Props on the thread.  I always check it before I put in plays.  Question.  Can you add a little insight to your initial Indy 4th Quarter ML?  I didn't get it in time but I liked it for my own reasons.  If not too busy any insight would be appreciated.
phixer
phixer
NFL Betting / phixer's nfl / View Post
Hey Phix.  Much respect on the picks and philosophy.  You've definitely made me some money this season.  That being said, are your sides stronger than your totals?  I seem to remember you or someone showing that you did better with sides than totals.  I only ask because I'm looking for a decent play today and I'm thinking about Carolina and not sure I want to make it your total if you're stronger on sides.

Thx
oldwiseone
oldwiseone
good luck tonight
Shirldog
Shirldog
I'm not talking about taking dogs.  I'm talking about taking whichever teams have a positive Vig.  It could be the favorite or the dog.  Most lines start with a -110 for both sides and then typically it's the first thing to move before the line moves.  It can get up to -130 (maybe -135) when they want to hold a 3 for instance.  In this case, the other side would be +110 or +115 to bet it.  
Shirldog
Shirldog
I'm not talking about taking dogs.  I'm talking about taking whichever teams have a positive Vig.  It could be the favorite or the dog.  Most lines start with a -110 for both sides and then typically it's the first thing to move before the line moves.  It can get up to -130 (maybe -135) when they want to hold a 3 for instance.  In this case, the other side would be +110 or +115 to bet it.  
Menace077
Menace077
Definitely a great day
Shirldog
Shirldog
I've often wondered how it would work out if you only bet games that had a positive Vig.  In other words, one side is -130 and the other side is+110.  If you just randomly picked all the positive vig games, then you could hit lower than 50% and still make money.  Has anyone ever tracked anything like this before?

Just curious.
CarolinaPride
CarolinaPride
Buffalo has covered 5 games in a row...teams don't keep covering.  The ball eventually bounces the wrong way and/or the lines move to much against them...take Ohio for a very solid winner.  Potentially ML and line.