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Thasian
Thasian

Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

Complete:

Phillies @Rockies (B): Velasquez - Marquez: 2.43 to win 3.10

Athletics v Blue Jays (A): Brooks - Stroman: 1.26 to win 1.00 

Diamondbacks @Cubs (A): Kelly - Hendricks: 0.69 to win 1.00

Nationals @Marlins (A): Sanchez - Smith: 1.12 to win 1.00

Twins @Orioles (A): Berrios - Cobb: 1.77 to win 1.00 - Postponed

Pirates v Giants (A): Lyles - Bumgarner: 0.98 to win 1.00

Astros @Rangers (A): Verlander - Smyly: 2.14 to win 1.00

Rays v Red Sox (A): Stanek - Rodriguez: 1.14 to win 1.00

Thasian
Thasian

Complete:

Phillies @Rockies (B): Velasquez - Marquez: 2.43 to win 3.10

Athletics v Blue Jays (A): Brooks - Stroman: 1.26 to win 1.00 

Diamondbacks @Cubs (A): Kelly - Hendricks: 0.69 to win 1.00

Nationals @Marlins (A): Sanchez - Smith: 1.12 to win 1.00

Twins @Orioles (A): Berrios - Cobb: 1.77 to win 1.00

Pirates v Giants (A): Lyles - Bumgarner: 0.98 to win 1.00

Astros @Rangers (A): Verlander - Smyly: 2.14 to win 1.00

Rays v Red Sox (A): Stanek - Rodriguez: 1.14 to win 1.00 

Thasian
Thasian

Phillies @Rockies (B): Velasquez - Marquez: 2.43 to win 3.10

Athletics v Blue Jays (A): Brooks - Stroman: 1.26 to win 1.00 

Diamondbacks @Cubs (A): Kelly - Hendricks: 0.69 to win 1.00

Nationals @Marlins (A): Sanchez - Smith: 1.12 to win 1.00

Twins @Orioles (A): Berrios - Cobb: 1.77 to win 1.00

Pirates v Giants (A): Lyles - Bumgarner: 0.98 to win 1.00

Astros @Rangers (A): Will be added.

Rays v Red Sox (A): Will be added.

Thasian
Thasian

Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

Mariners @Angels (A): Hernandez - Stratton: 0.94 to win 1.00

Reds @Padres (A): Roark - Paddack: 0.68 to win 1.00

Phillies @Rockies (A):  Eflin - Freeland: 1.10 to win 1.00

A: 2

B: 0 (1 running)

C: 0

D: 0

+0.90

Thasian
Thasian

Mariners @Angels (A): Hernandez - Stratton: 0.94 to win 1.00

Reds @Padres (A): Roark - Paddack: 0.68 to win 1.00

Phillies @Rockies (A):  Eflin - Freeland: 1.10 to win 1.00

Thasian
Thasian

Series-Chase System.

Series with 3 or 4 games. 

Stop after first win of "my" team. 

Based on my own power rankings.

Run very good in '14 and '15 - then I took a longer break from betting, but being (obviously) back, I thought I give it another try.

 

Staking: 

To win 1 unit per bet + loss recovery.

ML only. Some heavy Favs will occur, so I'll go for 0,25% of starting Bankroll as units.

 

Best of luck :)

Thasian
Thasian

Just Overs today:

 

Dodgers Over (C): Dodgers @Brewers: O9.5: 4.15 to win 4.31

White Sox Over (C): Will be added. 

Yankees Over (B): Yankees @Royals: O9.0: 2.09 to win 1.93

Royals Over (A): Yankees @Royals: O9.0: 1.08 to win 1.00

Thasian
Thasian

Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

Mets Under (B) Mets @Phillies: U8.5: 2.2 to win 1.94

Cardinals Under: Cardinals @Brewers: U9.5: 0.98 to win 1.00

Athletics Under (B): Astros @Athletics: U9.0: 2.32 to win 2.11

Braves Under: Dbacks @Braves: U9.0: 1.09 to win 1.00  

Dodgers Over (B): Reds @Dodgers: O8.0: 2.30 to win 2.01

White Sox Over (B): Royals @White Sox: O8.5: 2.42 to win 2.18

Orioles Over: Orioles @Rays: O8.5: 1.08 to win 1.00

Yankees Over: Red Sox @Yankees: O9.5: 0.93 to win 1.00

Red Sox Over: Red Sox @Yankees: O9.5: 0.93 to win 1.00

 

A: 4

B: 2 (2 running)

C: 0 (2 running)

Lost: 0

-2.77

Thasian
Thasian

 

Mets Under (B) Mets @Phillies: U8.5: 2.2 to win 1.94

Cardinals Under: Cardinals @Brewers: U9.5: 0.98 to win 1.00

Athletics Under (B): Astros @Athletics: U9.0: 2.32 to win 2.11

Braves Under: Dbacks @Braves: U9.0: 1.09 to win 1.00

 

Dodgers Over (B): Reds @Dodgers: O8.0: 2.30 to win 2.01

White Sox Over (B): Royals @White Sox: O8.5: 2.42 to win 2.18

Orioles Over: Orioles @Rays: O8.5: 1.08 to win 1.00

Yankees Over: Red Sox @Yankees: O9.5: 0.93 to win 1.00

Red Sox Over: Red Sox @Yankees: O9.5: 0.93 to win 1.00

 

Thasian
Thasian

Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

To play under:

Athletics: Astros @Athletics: U9.0: 1.11 to win 1.00 an_burningbag

Mets: Mets @Phillies: U9.0: 0.94 to win 1.00 an_burningbag

Rangers: Angels @Rangers: u10.5: 1.32 to win 1.00  moneybag

 

To play over:

Dodgers: Reds @Dodgers: O8.5: 1.01 to win 1.00 an_burningbag

White Sox: Royals @White Sox: O9.0: 1.18 to win 1.00 an_burningbag

Thasian
Thasian

Well - I'd like to bring my Please don't sweep me-System in here, but will need some more games.

So as a first step: Totals. Pretty simple: After 3 O's or U's I'll chase the opposite for 3 games. Sportsdatabase reports looked like this would work quite well. Or I got a wrong querry ;) So - follow at your own risk.

Stakes: Always "to win" - per Series I'd like to win 1 Unit. 

 

 

To play under:

Athletics: Astros @Athletics: U9.0: 1.11 to win 1.00

Mets: Mets @Phillies: U9.0: 0.94 to win 1.00

Rangers: Angels @Rangers: u10.5: 1.32 to win 1.00

 

To play over:

Dodgers: Reds @Dodgers: O8.5: 1.01 to win 1.00

White Sox: Royals @White Sox: O9.0: 1.18 to win 1.00

Thasian
Thasian

Stopping tracking now.

Doesn't work on ATS as good as I'd like.

Moneyline seems to work as it does in MLB, but I'm not willing to pay the extreme lines.

e.g. raptors, current series:

A: 1.69 to win 1.00

B: 14.39 to win 3.69

C: With a line of -13.5 probably something about 293.54 to win 19.08

Thasian
Thasian

Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

March 24th  

No C-Bets  

B-Bets:
Back Clippers: Clippers -10.0 @Knicks: 3.16 to win 3.04 moneybag
Back Raptors: Raptors -10.5 v Hornets: 2.93 to win 3.02 an_burningbag
Fade Cavs: Bucks -12.5 v Cavaliers: 3.10 to win 3.04 moneybag
Fade Hornets: Raptors -10.5 v Hornets: 2.93 to win 3.02 an_burningbag
Back Warriors: Warriors -10.0 v Pistons: 3.10 to win 3.04  an_burningbag

Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

March 24th, complete   No C-Bets   B-Bets:Back Clippers: Clippers -10.0 @Knicks: 3.16 to win 3.04Back Raptors: Raptors -10.5 v Hornets: 2.93 to win 3.02Fade Cavs: Bucks -12.5 v Cavaliers: 3.10 to win 3.04Fade Hornets: Raptors -10.5 v Hornets: 2.93 to win 3.02Back Warriors: Warriors -10.0 v Pistons: 3.10 to win 3.04   A-Bets: Fade Knicks: Clippers -10.0 @Knicks: 1.04 to win 1.00Back Bucks: Bucks -12.5 v Cavaliers: 1.01 to win 1.00Fade Pistons: Warriors -10.0 v Pistons: 1.03 to win 1.00

A-Bets:
Fade Knicks: Clippers -10.0 @Knicks: 1.04 to win 1.00 moneybag
Back Bucks: Bucks -12.5 v Cavaliers: 1.01 to win 1.00 moneybag
Fade Pistons: Warriors -10.0 v Pistons: 1.03 to win 1.00 an_burningbag

Thasian
Thasian

March 24th, complete

 

No C-Bets

 

B-Bets:
Back Clippers: Clippers -10.0 @Knicks: 3.16 to win 3.04
Back Raptors: Raptors -10.5 v Hornets: 2.93 to win 3.02
Fade Cavs: Bucks -12.5 v Cavaliers: 3.10 to win 3.04
Fade Hornets: Raptors -10.5 v Hornets: 2.93 to win 3.02
Back Warriors: Warriors -10.0 v Pistons: 3.10 to win 3.04

 

A-Bets:

Fade Knicks: Clippers -10.0 @Knicks: 1.04 to win 1.00
Back Bucks: 
Bucks -12.5 v Cavaliers: 1.01 to win 1.00
Fade Pistons: Warriors -10.0 v Pistons: 1.03 to win 1.00

Thasian
Thasian

March 24th, Early game

 

No C-Bets

B-Bets:
Back Clippers: Clippers -10.0 @Knicks: 3.16 to win 3.04

A-Bets:
Fade Knicks: Clippers -10.0 @Knicks: 1.04 to win 1.00

 

Rest following later.

Thasian
Thasian

Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:

March, 23th  

C-Bets:

B-Bets: 
Back Jazz: Jazz -10.5 @Bulls: 2.91 to win 3.03 moneybag
Back Tblazers: Tblazers -5.0 v Pistons: 3.19 to win 2.98 -  PUSH
Fade Hawks: Seventysixers -8.0 @Hawks: 2.71 to win 3.03  an_burningbag

A-Bets:
Fade Hornets: Celtics -4.0 @Hornets: 0.97 to win 1.00 an_burningbag
Fade Bulls: Jazz -10.5 @Bulls: 0.97 to win 1.00 moneybag
Fade Pistons: Tblazers -5.0 v Pistons: 1.07 to win 1.00 -  PUSH
Back Warriors: Warriors -13.5 v Mavericks: 1.04 to win 1.00 an_burningbag
Fade Suns: Kings -11.0 v Suns: 0.96 to win 1.00 an_burningbag

Thasian
Thasian

March, 23th

 

C-Bets: -

 

B-Bets: 
Back Jazz: Jazz -10.5 @Bulls: 2.91 to win 3.03
Back Tblazers: Tblazers -5.0 v Pistons: 3.19 to win 2.98
Fade Hawks: Seventysixers -8.0 @Hawks: 2.71 to win 3.03

 

A-Bets:
Fade Hornets: Celtics -4.0 @Hornets: 0.97 to win 1.00
Fade Bulls: Jazz -10.5 @Bulls: 0.97 to win 1.00
Fade Pistons: Tblazers -5.0 v Pistons: 1.07 to win 1.00
Back Warriors: Warriors -13.5 v Mavericks: 1.04 to win 1.00
Fade Suns: Kings -11.0 v Suns: 0.96 to win 1.00

Thasian
Thasian

Damn, early game..

 

Celtics -4.0 @Hornets: 0.97 to win 1.00

Thasian
Thasian

Quote Originally Posted by Thasian:


March, 22th

C-Bets: -

B-Bets: -

A-Bets:
Fade Knicks: Nuggets -11.0 v Knicks: 1.06 to win 1.00 moneybag
Back Raptors: Raptors -2.0 v Thunder: 1.02 to win 1.00 an_burningbag
Fade Cavs: Clippers -6.5 @Cavaliers: 1.04 to win 1.00 an_burningbag
Back Clippers: Clippers -6.5 @Cavaliers: 1.04 to win 1.00 an_burningbag
Back Bucks: Bucks -7.5 v Heat: 0.98 to win 1.00 moneybag

Record:

A: 13
B: 2
C: 1
Lost: 4
-28.66

Thasian
Thasian

March, 22th

C-Bets: -

B-Bets: -

A-Bets:
Fade Knicks: Nuggets -11.0 v Knicks: 1.06 to win 1.00
Back Raptors: Raptors -2.0 v Thunder: 1.02 to win 1.00
Fade Cavs: Clippers -6.5 @Cavaliers: 1.04 to win 1.00
Back Clippers: Clippers -6.5 @Cavaliers: 1.04 to win 1.00
Back Bucks: Bucks -7.5 v Heat: 0.98 to win 1.00

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