Recent Posts

Thread Author vjmikk22 Post Entries
amd
amd
MLB Betting / Friday / View Post
I am from Houston and you have to play the numbers. Houston has not beaten the Pirates once this year. Every series has been taken by the pirates. Not only that but only two games have been won by 1 run. I will stick with the trend and play the pirates. 
vjmikk22
vjmikk22
thanks deciding to lay of the game

vjmikk22
vjmikk22
hahaha, she is an Indian Bollywood Actress - Name is Ileana D'Cruz.
Montecarlo23
Montecarlo23
did you get the tie at -1/2? That is the only flaw I see cause this could go to extra time. I thought the better bet was over 2
Sharkman1
Sharkman1
and How did you get -150. Man I wish I could get that on the ML. Which book is them at -150? I am getting -190
Sharkman1
Sharkman1
BOL, have both bets. Also parleying NYY (who are HOT HOT HOT) w/ Nationals game. Might be worth the value since Rockies are COLD COLD COLD
vjmikk22
vjmikk22
I stand corrected on Ranger's bats. I guess then it comes down to Feldman and betting on A's for the +200. If I thought the game would be close the RL of -1.5 at -110 wouldn't be bad but my gut tell me it will be a blowout one way or other. Guess 2-7 A's pitchers also plays a roll in that juice. Plus it will be hot as hell in Arlington. Just might stay away and see how this game plays out. Still on the fence.
vjmikk22
vjmikk22
So Change in PArley:

Round Robin Parley: NYY, Nationals, O's game under 9, Pitt
vjmikk22
vjmikk22
I have overwhelming confidence in Nats and NYY to win. Will be betting them separate on a two team parley to cover all my other bets for the day. If one of those two teams loss I am going to hang up my MLB hat for a month. Games that worry me if any are Pitt and O's. After reading Si1ly's breakdown sheets which he just posted up and looking closer at the numbers, I feel making the change from O's ML to under 9 for the game is the better choice. Also getting -115 vs. -145 which makes payout much better. Last remaining leg for me then is the Pitt game. So here is my reasoning on that game.

Pitt game- Burnett is 8-2, Pitt is ranked #6 in Runs allowed, Utley will not be starting this game since he started yesterday, Kendrick is 2-7 on the mound for the Phili. I read an article yesterday one of ESPN's analyst wrote about how Phili's injuries are finally catching up to them and though they fought well, they are going down hill from here. Made an impact on my decision. I am getting -110 on Pitt. 


joshfactor
joshfactor
I remember reading that post about LAD flying you posted and decided to bet against them in my parley which paid off. You are 1-0 with this theory in my book. But Boston is not LAD and like TyDarius said LAD and Mariners are both poor performers. Boston will be affected but it only takes 1 run. Taking in to account your theory I am betting the under 7.5  along with the BAL game for a 1:2.50 payout. To me that is the best bet in this situation
vjmikk22
vjmikk22
It IS hot here in Texas. I know Texas has the great lineup, hell beginning of the season I put 1000 on them winning their division and the Yankees to win theirs for a payout of 2to1. But alot of the games I have watched the batting is the reason they loss. They just can't produce the hits. They to bring it one day and not the other. And with Feldman on the mound I see A's playing like I know they can. Same reason I want to stay away from the Under/Over in their games. they burn me alot with their bats. Trust me I am not a hatter of the Rangers but when it comes to value (which I am learning more and more about) isn't it on the A's
si1ly
si1ly
Hey Si1ly what are your opinions on the Pitt game against the Phili's? I love the pitcher and Pitt is playing strong but its the only bet tomorrow in my 4 team round robin that I am worried about if any. Thanks. 
vjmikk22
vjmikk22
I am getting +195 on the A's to win. Is that a trap b/c I feel Feldman is crap and the bats for Texas are not he greatest. I understand Ross is no better at 2-7 but isn't +195 worth it. I love to get Feedback b/c I am seriously thinking about placing a bet w/ this NYY, and Nationals to get 1:6.40 payout. 

Opinions?
vjmikk22
vjmikk22
I will do detailed writeups when I get a chance for the teams in the parley when I get a chance but come on- Nova, Chen, and Burnett are great pitchers this year, Phili is not starting Utley today since they did yesterday and Nats are back to there winning ways. I feel good about those bets.

Singles plays I am on Thursday are No hits 1st inning in Reds/ Gaints, Texas to loss with Feldman on the mound, and I have to back my Astros at home against a starting pitcher for SD who is not a real starter. I too feel he will fade out throwing 100+ after 3-4innings. 

Leans:
Will bet the Diamondbacks if I can get better odds on the head of the young pitcher. 
LAD- love the pitcher hate the bats and after MEts went off today I am still on the fence on this play
vjmikk22
vjmikk22
Record 1-3

Ok I didn't do any parleys Weds, god knows why I didn't b/c all my singles hit. Should have just parleyed them but you can't temp the betting gods to much so I will shut my mouth and take the money.

Well Thursday has some good cards and I am all about the pitchers today. With that said I am doing a round robin with my 4 teams I am backing. If for some reason 1 team falls as long as others stay strong I am still even. If all win payout is nice.

4 teams Round Robin- NYY, O's, Pirates, Nationals
Risking 400total/1550   

I am open to all thoughts on this matter. Not going to temp it with all 4 on one parley. Again don't want to anger those betting gods.
USD2003
USD2003
I am on Pitt game in my parley w/ NYY and O's. isnt Utley not starting tomorrow?
WagerLineStud
WagerLineStud
Also don't know about the braves but I too believe the astros will win. Red/Giants over 6 is great bet. I am also betting no hits in first in that game at -115 which I think is worth it.
WagerLineStud
WagerLineStud
I have all the teams you have in the first parley but instead of putting them all together I am round robinning them into 3 teams each. 100 each bet for total win of 1550. I know its betting twice the amount in  but just in case one team falters at least loss is only 30-50. Payout is still the same. Problem comes if two teams in the 4 fall. Then I loss more. Just my two cents.
Scorpio85
Scorpio85
sounds like a good system but I feel you will even out after first two days. Tomorrow LAD has a real good chance to win but your going to bet 2 day LAD against dickey who is 10-1. Dickey only has that loss cause they barely lost by 1 to NYY. Tomorrow   Texas is probably going to lose with Feldman on the mound who is 1-6 6.00ERA. Day after Harrison is pitching so that is a better bet. I don't know what odds your getting but there is a flaw in your system. Thats my two cents. Bats can be hot or cold but this far in the season I would trust a 10-1 pitcher or a 9-2 pitcher any day, espicially with the teams like A's and Mets. Hell MEts scored 17 today. And A's are always hot. Again my 2 cents.
vjmikk22
vjmikk22
Well yesterday sucked. Every team in first two parleys lost. If you would have done the exact opposite you would have won big. Can't believe Nationals and mets lost.
Record 0-3 Parleys

Well it might not mean much but I will be posting another parley today when I review all the games. 

BOL to all.

Leaning right now on Nationals, NYY, STL