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Thread Author degengambler34 Post Entries
suuma
suuma
NFL Betting / Week 3 / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by YouWish:

Summa, did you see the footage of bears LB Pernell McPhee calling out Cutler on the sidelines??  You will like your bears bet a lot more as long as he doesn't start this weekend.  They wanna rally behind someone else.  Anyone else.. http://sports.yahoo.com/news/pernell-mcphee-yelled-at-jay-cutler-after-interception-expressing-frustration-of-all-bears-fans-154036031.html(second video down..)

It feels like Cutler has either lost this team, or it's also possible that mother was trying to light a spark under his ass and get him to show some emotion and fight. Either way I believe Suumas main reasoning for liking them is more of a play vs the Dallas defense and a qb who still has no touchdowns. It's hard to cover more than a TD when a. Your D is weak, and b. Your offense isn't explosive. Other than dez Bryant who strikes fear into anyone on this Dallas offense?
suuma
suuma
NFL Betting / Week 3 / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

On the same page Suuma except the Bears.No Goldman(nose tackle) in that 3-4 vs the boys O line spells trouble.Just wait for how bad the betting % will be on this prime time game. I would need at least Bears+11 to even consider em. I can't remember a team getting decimated by injury in one single game like the Bears vs Eagles. I'll just stay away from that mess of a game.GL

Yeh you may be right. I think the over may be the best play now that I think of it. I'm not high on this cowboy defense at all, but looking at bears defensive injuries has me leery.
suuma
suuma
NFL Betting / Week 3 / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by roastedpeanuts:

That Vikings line does seem super high, I guess they are thinking no Peterson like you said, and I don't think it will hurt the Vikes at all.Also Carolina wasn't focused vs SF, the score doesn't reflect how bad they played , this is def a spot where they won't over look the opponent.

Huh? Not sure I follow you on Carolina. They didn't overlook sf, they merely had a couple fumbles or they would've won 65-14.Not being rude I just don't follow you there. Carolina's a great team, but if you're gonna give me 7+ with Denver, minny, or Seattle's defense I'm taking it almost every time barring a bad situational spot. This isn't the greatest spot as Suuma acknowledged, hence the 1 unit bet.
suuma
suuma
NFL Betting / Week 3 / View Post
I like your bears thoughts. They're a bad football team, there's zero doubt about that, but this cowboy defensive line isn't going to maul them up front like phillys did. Cutler, Hoyer, I don't see much difference there, Prescott has been decent but still zero passing touchdowns.
JDK6390
JDK6390
Stuck out to me also, pretty sure this hits 10 or 10.5 by game time. Seems really low for being in an Al park with the dh in effect, and 2 horrible pitchers with lineups full of home run hitters.  Maybe it's a trap but im on it too. 
n3gative
n3gative
Tennis / Tennis(Toronto) / View Post
My book only offers full match,  dimitrov at -340, is it worth that price? 
amd
amd
NHL Betting / Tuesday / View Post
Ortio vs. raask, and calgary playing a back to back, i have to go with the over in that matchup, what do u think amd?
bpickin
bpickin
Might be playing the only team in the NBA they actually have a better bench than. That clipper bench is a total joke
Slick100
Slick100
Love the spurs vs that garbage heartless rocket squad
guyhopestowin
guyhopestowin
NBA Betting / Chicago ml / View Post
Too bad they have the worst point guard in the NBA still. Once they get rid of rose I'm gonna ride this team hard, he sucks
Rikow
Rikow
Playing on Christmas is nothing new to the cabs guys, if you play with lebron you're gonna play on Xmas every year
pdouble
pdouble
Terrible
HappyKane
HappyKane
No thanks. With cooper being dinged up Carr looks absolutely awful
pdouble
pdouble
Chargers are very limited on offense. As long as they game plan to shut down woodhead rivers has very few options and his o line is made of tissue paper
pdouble
pdouble
So woodsons gonna score an offensive TD huh
mgmprofits
mgmprofits
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

But after Tampa got blown out by the saints I told myself I'd never bet them again this season.Carolina also should of lost to the Saints, they got lucky to win that game

There's some weaknesses in Carolinas team. The front four doesn't get a natural pass rush. They aren't unbeatable but can newton is just playing out of his mind the last few weeks, and Ginn has been torching everyone.
Targa1
Targa1
Quote Originally Posted by dethwish:

Pats have a number of key injuries on both sides of the ball while the Jets will have Ivory for the whole game this time and a healthy LB core. Jets ML for me.

Ivory has been outplayed the last few games by bilal Powell. He's lost a step or two. If the jets win this game I think it'll be because they use Powell more than ivory
suuma
suuma
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

Patriots@JetsRight now I am looking at this game from a transition standpoint. When these teams first met at Foxboro, the Jets lost by 7 but they were almost an equal opponent despite not having Chris Ivory who got hurt pre-game. He had a few carries but wasn't the same. The Jets also lost Pryor, Skrine and RIchardson at one point. Pryor was a key loss because he was covering the TEs quite well. After Pryor went down, Gronkowski was 6/7 and before he was 5/9. They had a lead at the beginning of the fourth quarter and Marshall dropped an easy TD which resulted into 20-16 instead of 23-16. Brandon LaFell also dropped like 4-5 passes (2/8) so that probably made up.Between then and now the Patriots lost Edelman, Dobson, Amendola and two OL Wendell and Jackson. Stork, McCourty and Chandler are highly Q when I get it right. The Jets are very healthy.Again, the Jets match up very well with the Pats. I highly doubt that Tom Brady will have a huge completion game with this receiving corps. The Pats look vulnerable when they can't get their TEs into a rhythm. The Jets are one of the best teams against TEs as shown in game 1 until Pryor went down. As we know, the NE defense isn't great and got problems when not facing a 3-5 win team. Jets offense will have a better game than in October with Ivory healthy.It sounds crazy, but the Pats don't really need this game as the Bengals and Broncos meet each other on Monday. Bill Belichick won't go all in here to desperately win. Last season in week 16 they went to New York in an equal situation and they won a 17-16 stinker against Geno Smith.Lean: Jets +3
FYI,I think you are perfect this year picking Bengals games.I don't necessarily disagree with the pick Suuma. But I do disagree wit the bold and that is why I just can't back the Jets here.Belichick always wants to beat the Jets. Always has. Ever since Mangini too the rivalry into the stratosphere with Spygate revelations, he's tried to beat them every time he plays them. It's never just another game to him. And the proof is in the pudding: 8-2 SU in the last 10. While the Jets dominate the ATS record in those 10 at 7-3, the number here doesn't allow for a Jets cover, only a Jets push if the Pats prevail (obviously just eating the 1 or 2 pt margins if they happen).I'd MUCH rather play the Jets on the road with a 9 pt line than take 3 here.  But you lay your argument out well as always and it is compelling.

I agree. Pats will play to win the game. Not saying the jets have no shot, obviously they do, but as competitive as Brady and belichik are, and as much as they hate, and honestly probably don't want to see the jets in the playoffs, I think saying they won't go max effort is a bit ludicrous. Now they may not play edelman, or freeny, but I'm almost sure the other questionable will be suited up. Jets o line looked very shaky to me vs Dallas, Dallas has a great D line, but so do the pats.
suuma
suuma
Vikings is my personal favorite game of the week, looks like most of their defensive stars will be back and Bridgewater has been on fire the last 2 games. Now he gets the giants, who if it weren't for the Saints probably have the worst defense in the NFL. No Beckham , obviously that's a huge loss for the giants as now Reuben handle, Harris and Hakeem nicks will be their only wide receivers. Vikings -5.5 very large for me.
PureGirth
PureGirth
I think mccarrons in over his head this week. But I'm not a real believer in osweillers accuracy either, nor do I think either team will be able to run the ball worth a crap. Strong lean under for me, looks like a fg fest.