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Thread Author Kgdetroit Post Entries
Kgdetroit
Kgdetroit
YTD 2-4-1 -2.65 Units

2-4-1 yesterday and down 2.65 units. 
Tough day, got burned on the 2 first 5 unders.
Its a long season, hoping for some better results today.

Greinke -1 -115

Greinke put up some really nice numbers against SD last
year going 2-0/1.44 ERA/0.72 WHIP/.157 opp avg in 25
innings while Kennedy vomited a statline of 0-2/6.62 ERA/
1.86 WHIP/.319 opp avg in 17.2 innings against the Dodgers.
I don't see much reason for this to change and as long as the 
freakshow stays in the Dodger pen with his warm up jacket on 
I feel pretty comfortable laying the 1 for reduced juice.

Sabathia -1 -114

I can almost count the number of career ABs from the Houston 
lineup against CC on my fingers, usually advantage to the pitcher. 
The Yankees are more familiar with Feldman and while he didn't 
get lit up by them last year he is winless against them in his 
career. Again, I see no reason for this trend to be bucked since 
he's now starting for a worse team and I'm expecting a bounce back year from the Yanks.

Cobb -1 -114

Cobb is a stud, Hutchison is making his first career start and I 
believe the Rays are overall just a better team than the Blue Jays. 
I expect them to get off to a hot start and contend for the AL 
Pennant this season.

Perez -1 -103

I expect somewhat of a regression from Burnett this season after 
last year posting a season ERA almost 0.80 runs below the average of his previous 14 seasons. At 37 the likelihood is that last seasons numbers were an anomaly and tonight he's going against one of the most potent lineups in baseball in a bandbox stadium.

Wood +107

I think the Braves bounce back today. The Brewers have had their number going 5-2 against them dating back to last season but I don't see the Braves getting swept in this series; with Harang toeing the slab against Garza tomorrow I think today is the day they get it done to avoid the broom. 

Laying the one on the faves to dilute some of the heavy juice. I'll gladly take a push ~26-30% of the time there's a 1 run W because I think it'll be beneficial to lay less juice in the long run. I'm pretty new to this so any advice or feedback is appreciated.

Good luck everyone, let's make some money today. 
Kgdetroit
Kgdetroit
So overall today:

Baltimore +105

Baltimore F5 +100

Reds +119

Mariners +114

Mets +156 purely value bet

Royals/Tigers F5 U3 1/2 -120

Mets/Nats F5 U3 1/2 -145

Kgdetroit
Kgdetroit
Forgot to add all dog plays wagering 1 unit, all favorite plays to win 1 unit.

Reds +119

Cueto Last 3 Years vs STL 1-1/2.72 ERA/1.198 WHIP/.252 opp avg

Wainwright 2013 vs CIN 1-3/7.77/1.636/.319
Last 3 years vs CIN 2-5/6.69/1.461/.299
Career vs Wainwright Bruce .393/Ludwick .333/Phillips .295 

Mariners +114
Hernandez vs LAA 2013-2-1/2.90/1.096/.237

Weaver vs SEA 2013 1-1/3.29/.909(13.2)/.235

Sea hitters career vs Weaver
Ackley 6-19/.316
Cano 12-30/.400
Montero 5-10/.500
Saunders 6-18/.333

LAA hitters career vs Hernandez
Hamilton 10-61/.164
Iannetta 2-15/.133
Ibanez 2-11/.182
Pujols 5-26/.192

Sorry don't have time to add all stats, but this gives you an idea of the angles I'm using.

Mets +156 purely value bet
Royals/Tigers F5 U3 1/2 -120
Mets/Nats F5 U3 1/2 -145

Good luck today everyone! 




Kgdetroit
Kgdetroit
Baltimore +105
Baltimore F5 +100

Tillman @ Home 8-3 in 2013, 14-6 last 3 years
vs BOS 2013 3-1/2.65 ERA/1.189 WHIP/.222 opp avg
vs BOS last 3 years 4-1/2.21 ERA/1.147 WHIP/.218 opp avg

Lester  
vs BAL 2013 1-2/4.70 ERA/1.478 WHIP/.284 opp avg
vs BAL last 3 years 2-3/4.03 ERA/1.375 WHIP/.260 opp avg

BAL hitters career vs Lester
Cruz 10-22/.455
Hardy 8-27/.296
Jones 16-53/.302
Weiters 15-44/.341

BOS hitters career vs Tillman
Carp 1-11/0.91
Middlebrooks 0-14/.000
Nava 4-17/.235
Ortiz 1-16/.063
Pierzynski 1-10/.100

5 of the 9 hitters in Boston's lineup today combine to hit .103 against Tillman.
ManassaMauler
ManassaMauler
MLB Betting / MLB THURSDAY / View Post
Hey Manassa I added you, can you accept so I can PM you my email for the RL calculator? I would greatly appreciate it. 

Nice card today, on the Tigers, Brewers, and D'backs as well. 
nropp11
nropp11
Thanks Nropp, rollin with you on NW but got it at -6. Good luck tonight 
IAcceptCash
IAcceptCash
Getting shit on thus far 

Still a lot of game left though. 
atl4tigerfan
atl4tigerfan
well be glad its my dough im betting with tonight and not yours.
atl4tigerfan
atl4tigerfan
I might be a sucker for taking USC but I've had some success going against the huge public favorite when there's been fishy line movement like this. 

Good luck to all either way 
atl4tigerfan
atl4tigerfan
Vegas insider has 93% on UCLA but the line dropped from -13 to -12. Thoughts? 
nropp11
nropp11
on hampton ml, you have been straight killing these ml dogs 
nropp11
nropp11
good luck tonight 

Was also curious if you had any thoughts on UofD/Valpo?

Thanks for putting in all the work so we can make bank! 
ryan4097
ryan4097
on it as well good luck to us 
Cuse4TW
Cuse4TW
good luck cuse 
nropp11
nropp11
parlayed c mich moneyline and under, thanks nropp 
ThatsG
ThatsG
A unit is just a betting amount. It varies from person to person i.e. for me 1 unit may be $25 while for someone else it could be $1,000. For consistencies sake most people just post their plays in units because the bankrolls vary so widely.

As far as advice, there are some very good cappers on here. I don't post much as I'm most assuredly outclassed in that department but looking at the number of views per thread and the person's posted record usually gives you an indication of who knows what the hell they're talking about. 

Hope that helps 
mikeru3
mikeru3
imagine if these kids stayed together for more than a year...
jimmynmail
jimmynmail
Quote Originally Posted by KBrick84:

East Tenn St has beat them twice already...and North Florida shoots under 60% at the charity stripe.  Not a recipe for success.

North Florida is shooting 60.5%, E. Tenn. State is shooting 63.5%. Both are pretty awful. 
MJ2345
MJ2345
Quote Originally Posted by shrewdie:

Loyal fans then?

Oh hang on a minute - no theyre not cos no box turned up last year when they were shite.

Gotta love "fans" that only support a winning team.


Get your facts straight douchebag, Lions sold out almost every home game last year, despite being 2-10 going into their last 4 games. You can knock Detroit for a lot of things but not having a fan base that's virulently loyal and supportive of our sports teams isn't one of those things. 
MJ2345
MJ2345
Ford Field's attendance record for a football game, set during Super Bowl 45 with 68,206 is expected to be broken Monday night. The Lions will have a ridiculous home field advantage
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