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Thread Author drivetime Post Entries
spottie2935
spottie2935
CFL / Week 2 / View Post
Good luck this week my friend!  I am on BC +3 and Saskatchewan +1.
Indigo999
Indigo999
CFL / CFL week 1 / View Post
At the scene of the crime??
spottie2935
spottie2935
CFL / Week 1 / View Post
Hey spot!  I agree with most of your initial assessment on these teams.  The defending champ Redblacks are very interesting to me.  Yes they lost Hank, but I actually think that Trevor Harris is a better option at QB for them.  Yes they lost Chris Williams and Ernest Jackson in the receiving game, but they added a 1000 yard receiver in Kenny Shaw and Diontae Spencer from Toronto.  I also look for Juron Criner to be huge in their passing attack this season.  Remember that they actually finished last season 8-9-1 and won a Grey Cup without Chris Williams around as well, so I don't know if they will be worse than last season.  Anyways, best of luck this year buddy!
Indigo999
Indigo999
Thanks for starting this thread Indigo.  Just curious.  What exactly makes you think that the two teams that played in the grey cup last year will regress? 
Indigo999
Indigo999
Gotta say brother, I am liking all of those plays!  Southern Miss might be my favorite play in week one.  I want to play North Texas, as SMU laying DD's on the road in their first game of the season with a trip to Baylor on deck is just silly.  I just can't stomach a play on those guys.  Don't know if you heard that Army's QB just left the team for personal reasons.  I could see you going 5-0, 4-1 with those picks.  Best of luck this season man!
BWS77
BWS77
Awesome thread man!  I share your opinion about SDSU.  Many believe Boise St. will get back on top in the Mountain West, but these Aztecs could very well go unbeaten when looking at their schedule.  Good luck this year brother!
spottie2935
spottie2935
CFL / BC Lions / View Post
Where did you see these odds Spot?
drivetime
drivetime
CFL / CFL Week 7 / View Post
Sorry Spot.  I wasn't done my thought.  My finger slipped. Lol

I was saying that I was glad that you and a couple of other cappers who I respect cashed tonight.  I just had a different way of lookong at this game.  That is all there was to it. Personally, I believed it was a terrible spot for Winnipeg.  Sure, maybe they were lucky a bit, but I can own making a terrible pick.  This was a bad one, but I will move on.  I try not to get too down after a loss.  Conversely, I try not to get too high after a win simply because I know the nature of this beast.  What I do know, however, is that I beat the closing line by 2 full points in this game.  I do not worry too much about line moves, but I also believe that beating closing lines on a consistent basis is a recipe for success.  Again, I appreciate you coming in here and expressing your words to me.  Thamk you.  At the end of the day we are all just guys putting our pocks on the internet.  Some of us are jerks, some of us aren't.  You my friend, are not! Good luck the rest of the way Spottie!


drivetime
drivetime
CFL / CFL Week 7 / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by spottie2935:

I hated the fact that you were with Hamilton  tonight and I really felt this was a good spot for Peg to roll. 

The way it played out was really lucky for me and I feel that luck works both ways.  Your time is on the way and this year the games you are betting are very strange outcomes.

I am sure you feel that way too.  I just wanted to offer some kind words because I read all your threads and I know good things are going to happen to you.  Its a matter of time.



Thank you for your kind and encouraging words Spottie. You are a class act!  Like I told you before, yes I would like to win money, but I like to have fun with gambling.  I play within my means and have allocated funds (a bankroll) to play with. It doesn't effect my life in a negative manner.  Well, maybe except for a little extra stress.  As for the game itself, I didn't watch any of it because of the rain delay.  Seems like Hamilton just stayed in the locker room.  I am glad that you and a couple of other
Chauster
Chauster
CFL / CFL W7 / View Post
Best of luck!  Hope you have another soild week man!
spottie2935
spottie2935
CFL / CFL Week 7 / View Post
Good luck this week Spot!
Indigo999
Indigo999
CFL / CFL week 7 / View Post
Good luck this week brother!
bold27
bold27
CFL / Week 7 CFL / View Post
Love the Tabbies tonight!  Good luck.
drivetime
drivetime
CFL / CFL Week 7 / View Post
This will probably be my last play this week.

Saskatchewan Roughriders +11
Risking: 1.12 units to win 1unit

Thoughts on this play later this evening or tomorrow.
drivetime
drivetime
CFL / CFL Week 7 / View Post
BC at Montreal

Not really going to get into detail here.  I am not interested in a side in this game.  BC's epic choke job in such an important game last week at Calgary will keep me away from them.  It will be interesting to see if BC can pick itself up off the proverbial mat after that collapse.  They will be laying points, and heading across the country to play in back to back roadies.  Conversely, Montreal is coming off a blowout win over the Saskatchewan Roughriders last week, and they are playing their third football game in eleven days with the defending champs on deck.   Not interested there either.

However, when I look at this matchup, I see two solid and physical defenses, and  I like how both of these teams put up over 40 points in their respective games last week.  Could be giving some value to this total.  What I like most about this situation for a play on the under is the teams' recent scheduling.  BC is playing in their third consecutive road game.  Yeah, they had a bye week thrown in there, but three consecutive trips to another team's stadium is still three consecutive trips to another team's stadium.  This mixed in with their collapse last week and facing a tough Als defense, and I could the Lions very easily coming out flat in this game.  
As I mentioned above, the Als are playing in their third game in 11 days.  I don't care what professional football league you are playing in, that's tough!  This Alouettes offense feasted on a porous Riders defense last week that was in a very vulnerable spot after beating a previously undefeated team.  I expect them to have a much tougher go of it against this solid Lions defense.  I know the Lions surrendered a lot to the Stamps last week, but that could make them extra focused to bounce back this week against a much more feeble Als offensive attack.  Also, the Als have struggled against the run this season, and the Lions rushing attack has been very good.  Maybe the Lions will try to run the ball down the Als' throat and potentially eat a bunch of clock.

All in all, this total is probably right where it should be.  Like I stated above in this thread, I am not a totals guy in this league at all.  These things being said, I really like the defenses, and scheduling situations enough to play the under here.  I told myself before the lines were released that I would play anything north of 50.  Turns out I landed right on that number.

Play: BC/Montreal under 50
Risking: 1.06 units to win 1 unit
drivetime
drivetime
CFL / CFL Week 7 / View Post
Hamilton at Winnipeg

First game of the week goes on Wednesday evening from Investors Group Field in Winnipeg, as the Blue Bombers look to build off an encouraging win last week against the defending Grey Cup champion Edmonton Eskimos.  They will take on the Hamilton Tiger-cats for the second time this season.  Winnipeg defeated Hamilton 28-24 at Tim Hortons Field on July 7th.

As mentioned, the Blue Bombers are coming off an outright win at Edmonton as 9.5 point road underdogs.  Basically any time a team wins outright as almost double digit road dogs, I will be looking to fade them the following week.  This week is no exception.  

It was more than just a win for this Bombers team.  First, they went into the defending champs own backyard and beat them.  Secondly, the Bombers have been the Eskimos little girl in recent history.  In fact, this win by the Bombers was their first over Edmonton in the last eight games versus their divisional foe.  They also picked up their first win at Commonwealth in a decade.  A let down could very well be in play here as Winnipeg is 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games after a straight up win.

I think Winnipeg may find the sledding a little more difficult his week against a much stronger defensive football team in the Hamilton Tiger-cats.  The Ticats are second in the CFL in points allowed this season, only giving up 114.  That puts them only behind the Montreal Alouettes in that category.  This Hamilton defense is 1st in the CFL in sacks with 20, and they may feast on that Winnipeg O-line who, has conversely, given up the most sacks in the league thus far.  Significant mismatch in the most important area on the field, the line of scrimmage.  Orlondo Steinauer's defense also ranks #1 in defensive yards per play.  In fact, Hamilton's defense is almost 2 whole yards per defensive play better than that Eskimos defense that Winnipeg went up against last week.  Hamilton also ranks first and second in the CFL in average yards and points per opponent drive respectively.  All this being said, Winnipeg should most definitely be challenged more when they have the football than they were last week against Edmonton.

In the first meeting between these two teams in Steeltown, Hamilton really helped the Blue Bombers out in that game by turning the ball over six times, including a pick six.  Hamilton put the ball on the ground four times in that game and Winnipeg recovered all four of those 50/50 balls.  Winnipeg still only won by four points.  I do not expect a repeat performance of that nature tomorrow evening from the Ticats.

Personally, I don't pay too much attention to trends.  There is just about a trend for everything out there, so anyone could find something to help support their claim on a play.  If a trend is relevant to an exact situation I could give it a look from time to time.  For the most part, I look for value in the line based on those certain situations, if that makes any sense.  All that said, I do see value here with the Ticats off their bye week, and I will take solace in knowing that they are 3-0 SUATS on the road thus far this season.  They also covered versus Montreal in their only game this year as road favorites.  Looking back further, the Ticats have had tremendous success against the number on the road recently.  They are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games, and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four visits to Winnipeg.  Again, these are simple trends, but there they are.

It is interesting how the schedule has lined up for Hamilton. In their next two games they have opportunities to avenge their two losses this season.  I like the rested Ticats and their defense against Winnipeg on six days rest to start avenging those losses on the right foot.  Enough, so much, that I will make Hamilton -2.5 (posted earlier in this thread) my second two unit play of the season.

Play: Hamilton Tiger-cats -2.5
Risking: 2.12 units to win 2 units







drivetime
drivetime
CFL / CFL Week 7 / View Post
Playing my first total of the season.  I am not a huge fan of totals in this crazy league, but I like this one enough to put a wager on it.

BC/Montreal under 50
Risking 1.06 units to win 1 unit

I will post my thoughts on both of these plays tomorrow at some point.
drivetime
drivetime
CFL / CFL Week 7 / View Post
Hamilton Tiger-cats -2.5
Risking 2.12 units to win 2 units

Thoughts on my second 2 unit play of the season later tonight.
drivetime
drivetime
CFL / CFL Week 7 / View Post
YTD: 3-5 (38%) -2.58 units

Won my only play last week on Winnipeg +10.  Wish I had the stones to put some on the money line!  Wasn't around much last week to offer thoughts.  That should change this week since I am seeing a few plays that I am digging for week seven.  Will be back once I have sorted things out.  Good luck this week boys!
Chauster
Chauster
CFL / Week 6 / View Post

Nice job!