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Thread Author Olivpinc Post Entries
Pho-20
Pho-20
College Basketball / Christmas / View Post
In my opinion I think the OVER  is the play in this game. When southern miss play a team that defense is rank 200th or worst in ncaab they average about 64 ppg. Hawaii averages 66ppg but vs a awful team like Southern Miss I think they can reach there average or even more. 

I'm a true believer that it is easier to score then to play defense. I have seen many times before when both teams sucks on offense and defense the game tends to lean over UNLESS one of the teams are like Old Dominion  (which run the play clock down to a few seconds with every possession to shoot). 
Olivpinc
Olivpinc
I really wanted Wisc-Greenbay for the 2ndhalf but wasn't able to get it. I did a little research and looks like Youngstown specially when they are away give up in the 2nd half I wont be shock if this becomes a blowout. I have a feeling Greenbay will cover for the 2nd half which was -8 1/2 I will be piss if they do, so I'm hoping that they don't cover lol
Olivpinc
Olivpinc
I like to bet one Arizona once in a while not much. They are favorite by -10 to a team that is 9-0 @ home Oregon State. Oregon State has played ASU and Oregon so has Arizona. Arizona beat ASU 73-46 at home and the beat Oregon 80 - 62 at home. Oregon State played Oregon away and lost 59 - 71 and played ASU home and won 55-47.

I know some people hate to compare both teams schedules and to assume how a game might turn out between a match-up. I just take it into consideration. I'm actually going to pick the O/U in this game instead of a team.

First looking at this match-up most people are going to assume this game will go under BUT in there last 8 match-ups between these two teams the game have went OVER 123 andddddddd........ what is the O/U for this game 123.5 Give me the OVER pick not large, but I will take the over.

2ND Half I LOVE playing Arizona for the 2nd half specially if they are winning big they just don't let up usually. In Arizona last 7 games except for one (against UNLV which they lost) they have scored more point than their opponent. The key is getting the right line for the 2nd half.  What I'm hoping for is that Arizona is down by 5 or more at that half and I will be all over the 2nd half even more.

I pick Syracuse for the game so far so good up by 13 at the half not bad at all, but a whole half play.
Olivpinc
Olivpinc
Quote Originally Posted by dick747:

Did anyone remember to lay a ML wager????

                         

Me  either......quess we just take our +15 and go.



I didn't either but I will take my +17 1/2
Olivpinc
Olivpinc
Well..... I'm a happy Man !!!!!
Olivpinc
Olivpinc
Quote Originally Posted by PickASide:

I'm on the same side but your logic is flawed. You can't just subtract the points he scored and assume nobody else would've scored on those possessions.


You are correct, but there are many more things that go into it I just didnt feel like going through them all like Frank present being down low in the paint, his rebounds per game his blocks etc... He is the best player on Wisconsin and that means a while lot to me in my book.
Olivpinc
Olivpinc

As far as I know he is not playing today. Rutgers is my best play of the day. Vegas always give out lines that might be freebees well today I think this is one of them. The public first reaction is to throw money on Wisconsin of course 4th rank team in the nation vs a bad Rutgers team. If you watch college basketball in the past few year you would know Rutgers always show up in game where people least expect them to, specially within there own conference.

This something anyone can do them selves, look up how many points Frank have scored in the past 8 games. Subtract his point scored from the final score of the game (Wisconsin team points).

The Final score of each game subtracting Frank points scored from the final score right side:


1/7  21 point 41 - 55
1/4 16 Points 65 - 58
12/31 18 points 71 - 72
12/28 25 Points 43 - 56
12/22 22 Points 54 - 56
12/13 10 Points76 - 43
12/10 18 Points 75 - 54
12/6 16 Points 34 - 38

There record would be 3 - 5 and on top of that if the spread was +17 1/2 for each team that they played in their last 8 games they would be 2 - 6 ATS with Frank Kaminsky out of the lineup, give me Rutgers  !!!! I have them at +17 1/2 even if they were + 15 I would still take Rutgers large.

Yes I will be a little nervous just because Rutgers is Rutgers and Wisconsin is Wisconsin BUT by Frank not being in the game I see Rutgers playing a tough game and being bale to keep within distance of the spread.
brownhornet3
brownhornet3

As far as I know he is not playing today. Rutgers is my best play of the day. Vegas always give out lines that might be freebees well today I think this is one of them. The public first reaction is to throw money on Wisconsin of course 4th rank team in the nation vs a bad Rutgers team. If you watch college basketball in the past few year you would know Rutgers always show up in game where people least expect them to, specially within there own conference.

This something anyone can do them selves, look up how many points Frank have scored in the past 8 games. Subtract his point scored from the final score of the game (Wisconsin team points).

The Final score of each game subtracting Frank points scored from the final score right side:


1/7  21 point 41 - 55
1/4 16 Points 65 - 58
12/31 18 points 71 - 72
12/28 25 Points 43 - 56
12/22 22 Points 54 - 56
12/13 10 Points76 - 43
12/10 18 Points 75 - 54
12/6 16 Points 34 - 38

There record would be 3 - 5 and on top of that if the spread was +17 1/2 for each team that they played in their last 8 games they would be 2 - 6 ATS with Frank Kaminsky out of the lineup, give me Rutgers  !!!! I have them at +17 1/2 even if they were + 15 I would still take Rutgers large.
Olivpinc
Olivpinc
To me everything points to a Michigan blowout 

1 they lost to a no name college team AT HOME last game.
2 they are technically playing a rival in eastern Michigan well..... both colleges are in Michigan so both teams will be playing even harder but Michigan has way more  talent 
3 they are home and last game they lost was at home to a no name NJIT don't want to lose twice in front of your home crowd to lower level teams.
4 - 15 is not a lot of points to cover and I think the line has been effective because they lost at home to a no-name college last game and they are also playing a so call rival and by the way that so call rival is 7 - 1 if you look and study the team schedule they have play absolutely no one and the one decent team that they finally played which was Dayton they lost.

Give me Michigan large at half and for the game. I would be shocked if Michigan is not up by 20 or more at the half. If they don't cover for this game I will start to fade them just like I started fading Florida vs top 50 teams. 
Olivpinc
Olivpinc
Yeah I took providence I actually like all the spreads I took 
Olivpinc
Olivpinc
these are the spreads I took couldn't believe it when I saw them:
Providence +29 1/2
Southern miss +6 1/2
Northern Iowa -10 1/2 (this line is actually higher than most)
Kansas + 2 1/2
Texas + 5 1/2 ( I jump all over this when I saw it)

Are there any of these teams you would have not pick, I love what I have. 
mtro83
mtro83
Quote Originally Posted by thakidd:

Still early.  They have made five field goals and are only losing by 14. A lot of time left.

at least someone in this thread has patience
Olivpinc
Olivpinc
how in the world did montana state score 78 points vs ucla. There are a couple of things I have taken from this game:

Kentucky defense is golden 
Montana state is just plane bad 
Ucla must have a really bad defense 

I have my eye on you now ucla if you have a over and under spread I'm picking the over. I Know ucla doesn't have a defense like Kentucky, on one does, but to let montana state score 78 point against you hmmmmmmm. 
Stevie_Boy
Stevie_Boy
ok i guess i know what that mean they are winning I assume.
Stevie_Boy
Stevie_Boy
Im afraid to look does that mean Siena is winning at the moment ? or just covering ??? or maybe not at all ???
Olivpinc
Olivpinc
I want to pick Kentucky so bad BUT... when everyone in there mother, Dog, Son, Daughter, father expecting a blowout usually it doesn't happen. The probably wont cover by 1 point LOL
Covers
Covers
The fact that Cleveland got blown out yesterday by Portland on that note alone I will be taking the cavs LARGE.  The only two teams I would take vs them today would have been the Bulls and Spurs with the current spread. 


TOKI
TOKI
I like the giants team total points 13 1/2.
Covers
Covers
Something I have noticed Washington state like to pass the ball on every down every team that they have face so far this season are terrible against the pass average 30 points or more (some odd reason they didn't score more than 13 vs Nevada). Stanford is second in the nation on pass defense. 

I know that Stanford this season have had a hard time scoring but come on guys, let's not forget that Washington state defense is atrocious. Give me Stanford Large at home. 
Covers
Covers
Quote Originally Posted by tdwhat:

If the coach is thinking about running up the score, not sure that means they are giving the respect they should to a team with athletes.....A lot of points against a team filled with Florida athletes. Ill take the points 

Usually I would agree with your statement, BUTTTT last week I did the eye test watching south Florida vs uconn and they are terrible and I mean VERY TERRIBLE. They can't run they can't pass the ball they cant do anything. I told myself whoever uconn or south Florida play this week I'm picking the opposite team and that is exactly what I'm going to do here. Give me Wisconsin LARGE