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Thread Author HEFADEME Post Entries
bets2win
bets2win
Quote Originally Posted by bets2win:

LOVE the stat HEFADEME!!!

Now that I know this, I'll be watching the game with a Pen and Pad, nervously tallying every one of Forte's Rushes...  ... HaHa!

Is there a "Prop Bet" on Matt Forte's Rushes for the Game? I'm sure there is but my Local's Website doesnt post "Game Props" Until the day of the Game... Anyone care to check/share Forte's O/U for Rushes in the Game??? That could be interesting!

 

Best of Luck HEFADEME! Thanks for the insight buddy!  

 




I haven't seen any props yet for Forte O/U rushes.   I've only looked at a couple of books, though.

I looked up Bears run-pass attempts in the last 10 games.   It's easy to find the pattern in the numbers:

bears rushing-passing attempts last 10

sea        45-29    win
@gby    20-39    loss
jets        27-25    win
@min    33-24    win
pats        14-26    loss
@det    28-26    win
phi        28-21    win
@mia    40-25    win
min        38-35    win
@buf    31-30    win

When the Bears attempt more rushes than passes, they win.    When they pass more, they lose.    They obviously know that, and it makes me wonder about the last game @ Packers......20 rushes, 39 pass attempts.     Why did they abandon that winning formula?   Since they didn't need that game, maybe Lovie allowed Martz to call all the pass plays that his heart desired, to prove a point.   

I'd bet the Bears will attempt more rushes than passes on Sunday.   Too bad there isn't a prop for that.

       


 



bets2win
bets2win
I'm not one of those "Sanchez doubters".  His stats aren't great, but he's great at racking up W's on the road, in the postseason.

As far as the Bears go, here is a fun fact:  when they rush  21 or more times in a game, they are 10-0 this season.

Run, Forte, run   

thanks for the writeups bets2win 


DumbWalrus
DumbWalrus
Quote Originally Posted by DumbWalrus:

Didn't say that most people teased the NYJ.

Bottom line is that in playoff games, especially with 4 good defensive teams remaining, teasing the underdog to over double digits seems like a near automatic cover system.

We could all easily agree any of these 4 teams can win this weekend, but I could see the NYJ winning something like 26-21, which kills anyone who teased PITT +4.




If so, why not consider 2 separate tickets

Jets +170
Bears +170


DumbWalrus
DumbWalrus
In the Conf Finals in last 10 years there have been 7 games where the line was 3.5 or less.    The actual # of points the dogs lost ( - ) or won ( + ) by

+ 7
-25
- 4
-20
+17
-14
+41


Only 4 of those 7 small dogs would have covered the 10.5 in the teaser you suggested.   I'm pretty sure most of those pups were pretty good defensive teams, too.    I know it's a small sample size, just pointing out the teaser may not be as "near automatic" as you might think.

GL
BETTINHARDD
BETTINHARDD
NBA Betting / thunder / View Post
I haven't seen them play recently, just looking at the matchup page I see 2 things:

1  they haven't won recently in Denver.   I never take a team on the ML unless they have won at that building in the past 2 or 3 visits

2  Thunders giving up avg of almost 110 pts/game over the last 4.   They might be a bit tired and don't have the energy to play decent defense.

Denver or no play IMO

GL 
BURG2VEGAS
BURG2VEGAS
NFL Betting / wow gb -3 -120 / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by 53percent:

this line will get to chc +4, and i will take all i can eat.



Bears +150 now

I'll wait and take 'em when it gets fatter


BURG2VEGAS
BURG2VEGAS
NFL Betting / wow gb -3 -120 / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by gfinger:

I say Jets vs. Bears.



I say you're right


BURG2VEGAS
BURG2VEGAS
NFL Betting / wow gb -3 -120 / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by gfinger:

I also love how no one trusts Cutler and Vegas hates the Bears yet they are 11-6 ATS this year. Tell me who is wrong there. If the '06 Bears go to the Superbowl with fuckin' Grossman, there is no reason the '10 Bears don't go with Cutler and Peppers added on.



I agree  
HEFADEME
HEFADEME
CHI -10  

NYJ +9  


That's better!

As i noted in the OP....


Jets are in the role of road dog for the 5th straight time in the post-season.      They've won 3 out of 4 S/U, and on Sunday they will make it 4 out of 5. 


I think that's worth considering when capping next week's game vs Steelers.







.




bodio
bodio
We got 'em! 

Congrats bodio 


Europa
Europa
Nice work, Europa


pirates11
pirates11
Quote Originally Posted by callmetim:

Who gets the ball 1st in the 2nd half?


bears

unless hawks onside kick/recover like saints did in SB
pirates11
pirates11
Quote Originally Posted by squinta1:

5 Dimes already has GB Chi game line out. GB -2.5 -125


before this game started GB was -160 to win NFC
pirates11
pirates11
Cutler might be the worst QB I've ever seen when it comes to pocket awareness
Meathook13
Meathook13
2H UNDER 
HEFADEME
HEFADEME
BAL +3.5 

ATL -2.5  

CHI -10

NYJ +9



First, congrats to Steelers and Packer backers.     I can live with the Ravens beat, as that was the one game that I didn't have great confidence in.    But the way the Pack destroyed the Falcons is something I never anticipated happening.   I've been watching the NFL for over 3 decades, and after yesterday, I feel like I know as much about the game as as I do about Bulgarian Badminton.    Nothing.

Well, I see it now.    The Packers are playing at such a high level, they might win next week even if they were playing the '85 Bears in Soldier Field.   (OK maybe that is an exaggeration)    Still, I can see them beating the Bears next week, and going to the SB.     But if they're playing the Seahawks next weekend, I probably won't see it.   I'll be watching a sport where I at least have a chance of picking winners, like hoops or hockey or maybe even badminton.

GLTA today  

Go Bears

Go Jets
clepto
clepto
Quote Originally Posted by clepto:

I played it at 5Dimes. Reduced Juice -3.5 +110. Pitt by 7+ points.



FTR it was -2.5 -110 @ 5D momentarily, when I refreshed the page it changed to -2.5 -145

BOL 
chasman
chasman
Quote Originally Posted by tsw:

So what's changed since Seattle beat Chicago last time ?



their offense went from scoring 18 pts/game to a respectable 23.1 pts/game because they have better balance,  they run more and pass less
easties15
easties15
NFL Betting / gb now -2 / View Post
maybe it was a mistake

I briefly saw PIT -2.5 -110 @ 5D but it changed to -3 when I refreshed the page

it happens
clepto
clepto
-2.5 -110 @ 5D

GL
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