Recent Posts

Thread Author lordzud Post Entries
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
College Football / WEEK 4 / View Post
Always appreciated.

Reading the tout newsletters over at the RX rubber room late in the week is always fun. Useless, but fun. Buzzkill does a great job following up with their actual win loss records and they sound really knowledgable but when they get their records checked, well.... you might as well ask your dog which team to bet on. 

Thanks for the moneyline parlay last week that hit BA. 

 and of course
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
Ain't no way we will let you get shamed the f-ck out if these goofy gamblers bet too much and you have a few bad weeks. 


If people don't know BA is a legit topnotch capper than they are incurably stupid. But I have seen good cappers get shamed the f-ck out of here for a just a normal run of bad luck. 

hooray for college football, this place wouldn't be the same without BA 
DiamondJack
DiamondJack
DJ, thanks for all your thoughts and picks. If it wasn't for you and Van I would be a hopeless square. Wonderful game that you are helping us soccer noobs to bet on and enjoy.


and, lets get them geedy stinkin books
vanzack
vanzack
Thanks my man, great pick. Line movement in world cup soccer doesn't mean very much because so much of the betting comes from squares. In sports where sharp whales are a large proportion of the total bets made it means a lot more. 

A toast to VAN 
vanzack
vanzack
Note the best cappers don't just make their picks, they articulately explain their picks and by doing so educate the rest of us gambling suckers. 

again and  Van
vanzack
vanzack
Great job Van, it's damned hard to beat the books and you have done it repeatedly. My opinions are worse than worthless but another guy Diamondjack over at the soccer forum is kicking behind just like you are and has done it for multiple world cups. Assessment of a good capper requires a very very large sample size to be accurate and you two have done it. Congrats. 

Diamondjack likes France at +145 to beat Argentina. His reasoning is as follows.

Argentina & Messi are getting too much love from the books.They were lucky to get to this point after a really bad group stage performance. France are not a Nigeria or Iceland they are France who are arguably better than Croatia and we know how that ended up for the south Americans. France are well rested, stacked at all positions not just forwards like Argentina. Argentina could not cope with the midfield strength of Croatia & France have been too cautious having teams defend against them. Argentina unlike their great teams of the past cant defend which should play into the hands of the French.


 everybody and get those greedy stinkin books
DiamondJack
DiamondJack
very impressive 

thanks for posting 

vanzack
vanzack
Quote Originally Posted by Maximus1978:

I was waiting for evah for a WC capper! Keeping an eye on you man...!! Was thinking taking Saudi at +1 10 units. ???? Any thoughts on this?


Saudi Arabia has no business being in this tournament. I am not a big fan of parlays in other sports simply because of the increased juice makes them losers over the long run. However I don't see how Germany doesn't advance, Uruguay doesn't advance, France doesn't or Saudi Arabia does advance. So I made parlays in the bets that I made including a couple of these in each. Yea I could lose, maybe I will, but I just love the world cup and putting a little on these parlays dramatically increases what I win and I have more games that interest me.

 everybody and get those greedy stinkin books
vanzack
vanzack
All right all right! Thanks for your input Van, it's great to have a capper that I can follow because while I love the sport, but I know too little about it to cap it. 

 four years have rolled around again. To all you folks out there that want a guy to follow at this site that, don't look further. 

Diamond Jack over on the soccer forum is real good too, but surprise, surprise, there is a lot of overlap in their picks, I guess good cappers think alike, which makes sense.  

Followmetowin
Followmetowin
Houston comes out of the west. 76ers should come out of the east. That bet is at plus +673. That us my futures bet. Houston wins this whole shebang. Utah has wonderful inside defense, that won't stop the 3 point barrage that Houston throws at them. Just my two cents.


Clout
Clout
Much respect. 

I don't bet on NBA very much so I don't comment in this section but this year I saw and see some special opportunities. 

First I faded the tankers up to a week ago, I stopped when the playoff teams started resting up their starters for the playoffs. Now I am loading up on NBA playoff future bets where I think there is opportunity. I think the western conference is pretty well capped by the books but I think eastern conference is not.

If you think Philladelphia is a 3.5 point favorite tonight without Emblid playing than you should also think that betting them at 13 to 1 to win the Eastern conference is a great bet as well. If Cleveland loses tonight they drop to the fourth seed and they will very likely end up losing the series to either Toronto or  Philadelphia with a healthy Emblid back. I am betting Toronto at +150 to win Eastern conference as well. 

Odds will move seriously tonight if Cleveland loses so this is the time to make these future bets. Obviously Boston without Irving makes these bets even better.

 and get those greedy stinkin books
Clout
Clout
Toronto -8.5 is a solid bet and here is why. Denver is god awful on the road and Toronto is only the 2nd best team in the NBA at home. Denver in a let down spot, their hopes of the play offs are fast fading. 8.5 points is a lot to give up but Toronto is playing loose and confident and gearing up for the playoffs while Denver has an awful stretch of road games they are going to lose. 

hillardoh1
hillardoh1
Bazemore the second leading scorer for Atlanta at 12.9 points per game is out for the season with a bruise on his knee. A couple of  points.

1) That's pitiful having your second leading scorer averaging 12.9 points a game. He would be fifth best scorer on OK City.
2) Atlanta is doing the same thing Chicago is, looking for excuses to bench starters so they can tank more games.
3) The OK City team hops on a plane and lands less than two hours in Atlanta. This is the first game of a road trip for OK and they shouldn't be ground down no matter what the sleep expert from ESPN says.
4) Ok City has Westbrook, Paul George, Carmelo Anthony, and Steven Adams. Atlanta is contending for the worst record in the NBA in a year with 10 terrible teams because they flat stink.

Tank mode for Atlanta, till this bleak season is over.. 

no play or OK City ML because Westbrook won't let them lose to this bunch of mopes

loserforeverz
loserforeverz
On it as well. Of course there is a risk in losing, that is why you limit your bankroll to a small percentage, Late in this game if it is really close the Suns players will be playing to win but the coach will not have his best starting five on the floor.
Mattie978
Mattie978
With Whiteside and Wade out? I don't see it. One thing in your favor though, the line is too low, smells fishy. 
loserforeverz
loserforeverz
Good bet. I don't see Lebron taking this team t the finals, and I think the betting public underrates Toronto. I don't see the rush to make this bet, I don't think the public will either fall in love with Toronto or fall out of love with a Lebron led team to make it to the finals. I prefer to wait on who I bet on to win the east, definitely Toronto or Boston but why rush the bet, One injury to Toronto, it could easily happen with 16 games to play, and this bet goes

poof...

TheNeonIcon2020
TheNeonIcon2020
NBA Betting / Blazers line? / View Post
grabbed it at -6.5.  what I read is Whiteside might play but I still really like this bet. Portland is playing really well and are very tough at home. 

Againstuclowns
Againstuclowns
Usually parlays are sucker bets. just way too much vigorish. But this is the exception because these teams are tanking. Vegas knows full well that the public is going to fade the tankers, the point spreads are pushed up a point or two from where they should be, So while I don't like the point spreads I still like the money lines of these tanking teams because coaches are not putting their best five players on the floor at the end of tight games.  

in short I like it.
sundance
sundance
i think Lawrence stats using trends from years gone by are useless. Bowling Green was MAC champion two years ago, was 4-8 last year an 2-9 this year. It's a joke comparing the 2017 BG teal to the 2015 team and that is what Lawrence is doing

Here are some stats you can sink your teeth into.
2017 Mark Lawrence awesome angle 6-11
2017 Mark Lawrence incredible stat 7-12


bookieassassin
bookieassassin
College Football / WEEK 13 / View Post
I like Eastern Michigan -13 and Iowa at -3. BA has these two games capped at Eastern Michigan -21 and Iowa at -9 so he must have strong leans on these plays as well. 

Eastern Michigan has been a hard luck team all year barely losing to pretty good teams. Bowling Green is terrible and I can see them taking out their frustrations on them. Iowa is playing for a bowl and Nebraska has looked awful all year except against BIg Ten door mats. 

thank again for all your hard work BA.