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Thread Author lordzud Post Entries
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
hit that Clemson first half under bet, thank you very much, and hit that Oklahoma TT under bet as well. 

 
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
College Football / week 11 / View Post
Sorry to hear about the health problems. I can tell you are a tough old dude that handles adversity with the best of them. 


 and keep on truckin

I don't comment very much but always follow the thoughts of one BA
DoubleUp4Life
DoubleUp4Life
Best of luck Double up, keep it fun and positive. Check on the weather for that NIU game. Right now the wind is predicted to be 21 MPH for Wednesday night game but it's too far in advance to predict what it will be at game time. Sometimes the wind dies down to nothing right around sun set. Been to many a game at NIU, the stadium is wide open on both ends and basically out in the corn fields. November nights that wind can howl basically shutting down the passing game going one way as the wind whips from one end zone to the other. Toledo passing game even with their second stringer is way better than NIU. NIU can stuff the run game, they did so against way better teams than Toledo, Utah and BYU, so if it's windy during game time I would suggest pounding the under and NIU.

 everybody.
DoubleUp4Life
DoubleUp4Life

Not concerned about Guadagni? He's listed as doubtful with that shoulder. He's been banged up all year, had a concussion earlier.

I follow NIU quite a bit. They gotta be desperate for a home game since they've played almost every game otr.

It's gonna be cold, and winds get goofy in DeKalb at night. Not the best of spots for a backup QB

Toledo's backup Quarterback was horrible last week throwing 4 interceptions. NIU almost always wins at home versus MAC competition.  NIU offense is suspect but their defense is the best it has been for years. November in Dekalb is windy and nasty, I will take NIU here, they are playing with confidence right now, Guadagni  is listed as doubtful. 
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
College Football / WEEK 6 / View Post
good news, bookie ain't leaving, his money lines swept 


WTF is the man getting bumped down to page 7 

lotsa cappers offering free advice this year 


lordzud
lordzud
Quote Originally Posted by the_dude911:

 

What was the point of this post?  You seem awfully concerned about how we spend our money.  I just laugh when I see posts like this.....

 
The point is you are not going to win sports gambling, just bet enough to make the games more enjoyable. Now maybe you can laugh at your gambling losses because you already know this, but one hell of a lot of people don't. 

Also there are some other good cappers here but unless they have records substantiated by third party sources and have a large sample size you won't know who they are. 
lordzud
lordzud
One truth about gambling comes from an old quote which goes as follows.

"When you are sitting at the poker table and you don't know who the sucker is, it's you."

Now I love college football and I embellish the experience by betting pocket change, 10 or 20 bucks a game for maybe a half dozen games every Saturday. I record the games and come back later and fast forward through all the commercial crap and huddle nonsense and I am able to watch the whole game in under a half hour. 

I come here to be educated on whom I should bet on and this is what I have learned over the years. 

You are all delusional . You are all terrible at math and logic. Want to read the advise of really good cappers? You can go across the street to the RX rubber room and there they have the newsletter of supposedly expert cappers. They even have their honest to God records kept by one good guy named Buzz Kill who  collects all the cappers newsletters. 

Guess how good the best of the best cappers are? The guys who have their own news letters? 

They all suck. Your dog could cap college football games as well as they do. 

All is not lost. We have one guy here Bookie Assassin who does better than coin flips. You have to follow him early in the week because that is before the lines move. Of course he is drowned out by all the other guys posting their picks, and guess what. 99% percent of them can't recognize the sucker at the poker table. 
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
College Football / WEEK 5 / View Post
Great job BA. I know parlays are for suckers but i am just a recreational gambler and they can be fun. For some reason I have done well after this point in the season betting three team money line parlays and your insights would be greatly appreciated. 

A question for THE MAN. Do you ever play correlated parlays? That is when you bet a large dog and the under on one parlay. The books won't let you play huge dogs and the under but they will let you play them up to a pretty high number. I usually avoid betting against top twenty teams because they love to run up the score to get into a better bowl and the games that are expected to be a shoot out, meaning high over under. On a two team parlay you need to win one out of three times to grow a bankroll. It would be idiocy to try to grow a bankroll on two team parlays that were not correlated, the vigorish is just way too high but this way they are correlated. a big dog is a lot more likely to cover if the score is low. 
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
College Football / WEEK 4 / View Post
Always appreciated.

Reading the tout newsletters over at the RX rubber room late in the week is always fun. Useless, but fun. Buzzkill does a great job following up with their actual win loss records and they sound really knowledgable but when they get their records checked, well.... you might as well ask your dog which team to bet on. 

Thanks for the moneyline parlay last week that hit BA. 

 and of course
bookieassassin
bookieassassin
Ain't no way we will let you get shamed the f-ck out if these goofy gamblers bet too much and you have a few bad weeks. 


If people don't know BA is a legit topnotch capper than they are incurably stupid. But I have seen good cappers get shamed the f-ck out of here for a just a normal run of bad luck. 

hooray for college football, this place wouldn't be the same without BA 
DiamondJack
DiamondJack
DJ, thanks for all your thoughts and picks. If it wasn't for you and Van I would be a hopeless square. Wonderful game that you are helping us soccer noobs to bet on and enjoy.


and, lets get them geedy stinkin books
vanzack
vanzack
Thanks my man, great pick. Line movement in world cup soccer doesn't mean very much because so much of the betting comes from squares. In sports where sharp whales are a large proportion of the total bets made it means a lot more. 

A toast to VAN 
vanzack
vanzack
Note the best cappers don't just make their picks, they articulately explain their picks and by doing so educate the rest of us gambling suckers. 

again and  Van
vanzack
vanzack
Great job Van, it's damned hard to beat the books and you have done it repeatedly. My opinions are worse than worthless but another guy Diamondjack over at the soccer forum is kicking behind just like you are and has done it for multiple world cups. Assessment of a good capper requires a very very large sample size to be accurate and you two have done it. Congrats. 

Diamondjack likes France at +145 to beat Argentina. His reasoning is as follows.

Argentina & Messi are getting too much love from the books.They were lucky to get to this point after a really bad group stage performance. France are not a Nigeria or Iceland they are France who are arguably better than Croatia and we know how that ended up for the south Americans. France are well rested, stacked at all positions not just forwards like Argentina. Argentina could not cope with the midfield strength of Croatia & France have been too cautious having teams defend against them. Argentina unlike their great teams of the past cant defend which should play into the hands of the French.


 everybody and get those greedy stinkin books
DiamondJack
DiamondJack
very impressive 

thanks for posting 

vanzack
vanzack
Quote Originally Posted by Maximus1978:

I was waiting for evah for a WC capper! Keeping an eye on you man...!! Was thinking taking Saudi at +1 10 units. ???? Any thoughts on this?


Saudi Arabia has no business being in this tournament. I am not a big fan of parlays in other sports simply because of the increased juice makes them losers over the long run. However I don't see how Germany doesn't advance, Uruguay doesn't advance, France doesn't or Saudi Arabia does advance. So I made parlays in the bets that I made including a couple of these in each. Yea I could lose, maybe I will, but I just love the world cup and putting a little on these parlays dramatically increases what I win and I have more games that interest me.

 everybody and get those greedy stinkin books
vanzack
vanzack
All right all right! Thanks for your input Van, it's great to have a capper that I can follow because while I love the sport, but I know too little about it to cap it. 

 four years have rolled around again. To all you folks out there that want a guy to follow at this site that, don't look further. 

Diamond Jack over on the soccer forum is real good too, but surprise, surprise, there is a lot of overlap in their picks, I guess good cappers think alike, which makes sense.  

Followmetowin
Followmetowin
Houston comes out of the west. 76ers should come out of the east. That bet is at plus +673. That us my futures bet. Houston wins this whole shebang. Utah has wonderful inside defense, that won't stop the 3 point barrage that Houston throws at them. Just my two cents.


Clout
Clout
Much respect. 

I don't bet on NBA very much so I don't comment in this section but this year I saw and see some special opportunities. 

First I faded the tankers up to a week ago, I stopped when the playoff teams started resting up their starters for the playoffs. Now I am loading up on NBA playoff future bets where I think there is opportunity. I think the western conference is pretty well capped by the books but I think eastern conference is not.

If you think Philladelphia is a 3.5 point favorite tonight without Emblid playing than you should also think that betting them at 13 to 1 to win the Eastern conference is a great bet as well. If Cleveland loses tonight they drop to the fourth seed and they will very likely end up losing the series to either Toronto or  Philadelphia with a healthy Emblid back. I am betting Toronto at +150 to win Eastern conference as well. 

Odds will move seriously tonight if Cleveland loses so this is the time to make these future bets. Obviously Boston without Irving makes these bets even better.

 and get those greedy stinkin books
Clout
Clout
Toronto -8.5 is a solid bet and here is why. Denver is god awful on the road and Toronto is only the 2nd best team in the NBA at home. Denver in a let down spot, their hopes of the play offs are fast fading. 8.5 points is a lot to give up but Toronto is playing loose and confident and gearing up for the playoffs while Denver has an awful stretch of road games they are going to lose. 

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