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HERMES
HERMES

Thank god for the second half play. Tech a little unlucky and Nova showed a defensive/gritty side I didn’t expect. 

HERMES
HERMES

A stat popped up they said Tech was 6/21 on layups! Missing several bunnies. No one could have ever predicted Villanova to offensive rebound like this. It’s insane. Just tough luck for Tech. They have forced Nova to miss shots like I expected but they have done a piss poor job cleaning up the glass. Just tough luck 

HERMES
HERMES

There is nothing that suggests that Nova will continue to offensively rebound like they did in the 1st half or get to the free throw like they did. Texas Tech will make a run and at least cover the 2nd half line. 

HERMES
HERMES

2nd half:

 

Texas Tech +1

HERMES
HERMES

There should not be any comparisons to West Virginia. Wvu cannot defend the perimeter at all. One of the worst in the nation. Tex Tech different animal on defense. 

HERMES
HERMES

Last writeup result: Kansas bad beat loser by 1 point after being up by 20. 

 

Today:

 

Texas Tech has had such a great year. It couldve been even better had they not had to deal with all the injuries to all their vets in Smith, Gray and Evans. Couldve been a BIG 12 championship year had they not had to deal with that. With that said though it has allowed some of the younger guys to develop and be able to contribute during the tourney. Texas Tech right now is playing the best basketball they have played all year. The Red Raiders gets it done with a ferocious pack line defense. Swarming opponents to shooting at a low effective FG% of 46.6% while forcing a boat load of turnovers. Offensively Texas Tech relies on Keenan Evans to create offense and boy does he ever. Tech hits shots with a good effective FG% of 52.4% however they are awesome at creating 2nd chance opportunities on the offensive glass and getting to the free throw line. This combination is very effective which leads to more opportunities to score. 

 

Villanova what can I say?! They are incredible offensively!! They usually take great care of the basketball while hitting shots with a nations best effective FG% of about 60%!!! That is unreal! They do the majority of their damage from beyond the arc jacking it up 47% of the time where they hit them at 40.5%! Positions 1-5 can hit 3's.  They are a nightmare for most teams. Defensively Nova does a great job of defending the perimeter holding opponents to 32% while staying disciplined and avoiding fouls. Everywhere else defensively Nova is average and can be particularily weak inside at times. However, when you have an awesome offense like that average defense is excellent defense. 

 

The Matchup 

 

Texas Tech like I said earlier is peaking at the right time. They are long, deep, relentless and battle tested having gone through the gauntlet of a schedule in the Big 12. This will be the toughest defensive opponent Villanova will face all year folks as Tech can defend the perimeter 1-5. Yes Nova will hit some shots, its inevitable but I truly expect the Red Raiders to make Villanova very uncomfortable with constant pressure while forcing contested 3's from beyond the arc. By the end of the game this will be tiring. On the offensive end for Texas Tech they will be able to get inside just enough against Nova's weaker interior defense and when they dont hit their close range shots expect a guy to be on the offensive glass to get a put back lay up or get fouled in the process. Texas Tech gets an offensive rebound 33% of the time. Due to these factors this game will be much closer than the linesmakers suggest. I believe this will be at most a 1 possesion game due to the matchups. Villanova will have their hands full for sure. I'm not saying they will not win but 6.5 is wayyyy too much. Therefore I'm on Texas Tech plus the points. 

 

Texas Tech +6.5

HERMES
HERMES

Thanks for Jinxing me guys haha...What a bad beat!

Macwestie1
Macwestie1

Good Luck MAC! Nice night last night!! Unfortunetely I'm on the opposite side with you on that Clemson play. I do like WVU quite a bit though. 

 

Best of Luck tonight!!! clover

HERMES
HERMES

Its one thing to know a team is weak in the paint and its another thing to have the ability to expose a team in the paint. What I'm telling you is Clemson does not have that ability. Its simply not their identity. 

Do not compare this game to other games in the tourney. Each game is different with different matchups. Kansas is just a complete mismatch for Clemson.

Jayhawks roll tonight 

 

 

HERMES
HERMES

Yesterday: Loyola Chicago Winner win

 

Tonight: 

 

Kansas has had a real rollercoaster year for their standarrds. Everyone thought they were gonna have a down year when they started off losing several games on their home floor. However, since those losses Kansas has been pretty much dominant despite losing twice to OK ST. Kansas gets it done behind a fantastic offense. Drilling shots inside and outside with high efficiency. 40.3% from beyond the arc and 56.1% in the paint. They do this while taking great care of the ball. On the defensive side they have been just average however their strength is defending the perimeter holding oponents to just 33% from 3. A huge problem for them though has been cleaning up the glass. They are among the nation's worst in defensive rebounding.

 

Clemson's season has been great despite losing probably their best player and leader in Donte Grantham. The Tigers are extremely stingy on D with ElijaH Thomas defending the paint. They rebound very well and dont commit many fouls as they are well disciplined. The one hole in their defense though is defending the perimeter. Teams hit for 37% against them from outside in conference play. Offensively they live and die by the 3. They are not efficient inside and they do not crash the offensive glass well. They are a one shot and out offense. 

 

The Matchup: 

 

Kansas bombs away from deep 41% of the time connecting like I said earlier at 40%. Clemson's hole on defense is their perimeter D. This is not a good recipe for success for Clemson. The Jayhawks can also mix it inside and I do not see them turning over the ball as Clemson does not force many turnovers. This will lead to many full possesion opportunites to score which Kansas does like a well oiled machine. On the other end Clemson shoots the three ball 40% of the time connecting at 37% thats great but Kansas protects the perimeter quite well. The Tigers inside the arc shot only 46% in conference play so I do not believe they will be able to take advantage of Kansas' weakness in protecting the paint. Ultimately the Jayhawks are just wayy too efficient offensively and Clemson does not have the ability offensively to keep up. This should lead to Kansas easily winning this one and covering the 5. Thats why I will be on rock chalk minus the points. 

 

KANSAS -5

HERMES
HERMES

Thanks guys! See you tomorrow

HERMES
HERMES

Winner winner chicken dinner!

LB_Dirtbags
LB_Dirtbags

I agree with this assessment 100% Good Luck!

HERMES
HERMES

Good to see some familiar guys in here. Hopefully we have a winner tonight. Good luck everyone! 

HERMES
HERMES

Gtnp.....As I said Nevada is never out of a game however this Loyola Chicago team can keep scoring as well. Cincy and Texas went through parts of the game where they couldnt buy a bucket which wasnt surprising due to the fact they are basically below average in making shots on the year. The ramblers like I said earlier are one of the best in the nation in hitting shots and they will not go on a long dry spell like the other two teams Nevada played in this tourney. 

 

Also Nevada running the other MO valley teams they played out of the gym mean nothing. Its all about how each team matches up with the each other and I believe matchup wise when its all said and done Loyola comes out victorious here or at the very least keeps it within a possesion. 

 

Good Luck on your play however

HERMES
HERMES

Yes effective FG%. The FG% stat that means the most in my opinion. 

HERMES
HERMES

Sorry guys its been a long time since I have posted. For some reason I was locked out of the forum while they were doing changes to the site but now everything seems back to normal. 

 

Wow!!! What an awesome tournament it has been!! Both Loyola Chicago and Nevada have had nail biting amazing runs thus far and tonight more than likely will be more of the same. Both of these teams can score but they are quite different. I'm gonna breakdown both teams for you. 

 

Loyola Chicago has had an incredible year. We all know about their tenacious defense. They suffucate opponents holding them to just 47.6% from the field on the year, they create turnovers on 20% of the opponents possesions, they clean up the glass very well and they hardly ever foul. These are all characteristics of a shutdown defense. On offense they are one of the best shooting teams in the nation! Hitting shots at 57.7% a clip from the field! Which combined with the fact they grind out opponents while eating up clock as much as possible, this is a very hard team to beat. Similar to UVA but Loyola-Chicago is more efficient shooting the ball. The one weakness I see with this team is that they have a tendancy to turnover the ball a little too much than I would like from a slow paced offense. 

 

Nevada also has had an amazing year! Yes they lost to San Diego St in the MWC tourney but this is a team that steam rolled almost everyone. They get it done behind one of the best offenses in the nation. They rarely ever turnover the ball which is huge because they hit shots from the field 55% of the time. The combination of the two allows them to rack up points quickly and efficiently. They do most of their damage from beyond the arc where they hit shots at almost 40%! Defensively they defend the perimeter well however they do not defend the paint extremely well, they do not create many turnovers and they are below average in cleaning up the glass. Rest assure though they will outscore most of their opponents behind a fast paced, razor sharp offense.  

 

THE MATCHUP: 

 

Nevada offensively is tough to stop as usually stout defensively Texas and Cincinnati found out the hard way. It may take them a minute to find a hole in the opponents defense like against Texas and Cincy but once they figured it out they can put up points in a hurry on anybody. Tonight they will more than likely struggle against Loyola initially. Nevada shoots the 3 ball 40% of the time and Loyola defends the arc very well holding opponents to around 33%. If Loyola can defend well enough to make Nevada miss some shots which they should, they will have an easy time in cleaning up the glass as Nevada does not crash the offensive glass well at all. With that said Nevada will get theirs at some point. Theres only so much you can do defensively to stop them. What makes this game different than the last two however is offensively I expect Loyola to find holes in Nevada's defense and score at a higher % than Nevada's last two opponents. Cincy and Texas have been offensively challenged all year. This Loyola team is 7th in the nation in hitting shots. I dont expect them to ever go on a long enough drought to allow Nevada to take a comanding lead or to allow Nevada to come back from a large deficit. Loyola is experienced, efficient and too stout defensively to lose this game in my opinion. Nevada will have to be perfect offensively from the get go to win this game and I truly do not see that happening with how good Loyola's defense is. My money is on Loyola Chicago to win this game but I will take the 2 points I got earlier as I do not see Nevada winning this game let alone by more than 1 possesion. 

 

LOYOLA CHICAGO +2 

HERMES
HERMES
The story of this game is very simple. Northern Illinois defense at home will dominate. This is a top 20 defense in the nation folks. Western Michigan with their backup qb will have a very hard time moving the football. Yes WMU rb Franklin is a monster but NIU's run defense is rock solid. On offense the huskies will have short fields to work with most of the game and Western Michigan's defense is very mediocre not a good recipe when you are on the road in a mid week MACtion game. Despite a surprisingly solid season from WMU this is team is a far cry from last year amazing squad. Folks Northern illinois will roll with at the very least a 2 touchdown victory.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS -7   -120
Covers
Covers
Clemson rolls these fools for the second year in a row.....
HERMES
HERMES
Haven't Posted in a while but have been doing well.....


Heat +4.5
Mavs -5.5
Grizzlies -13