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toft33

toft33
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Posts: 440
Member Since: November 2008
Last Activity: 11 June 2019
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toft33 created a topic ELO Ratings
in Tennis

Anybody have an opinion on ELO Ratings and if they're useful in Tennis handicapping?  Seems like they might be relevant when it comes to grass play...

1

Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

I have to be on the road very early on Thursday so here is the play I just put in.Thursday, Game 2, STL -250 and TB -120 on -1.5 PL, $20 to win $31.33
 

I’m seeing TB -400 on the ML. I’m guessing I should go with the PL on both teams. Correct?

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I’m sure you’re right. Another reason I hedged myself at $10. Thanks for the education. Props never my bailiwick 

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Bovada’s got +950 - Detroit -1 (in regulation)

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toft33 replied to Indian Wells System Plays
in Tennis

Hi Folks - not to get off topic, but could anybody suggest a good offshore book for tennis bets? (Bovada is great for it, but I use it for a different bankroll. Youwager = not so great for tennis bets.)

39
toft33 replied to Tennis - March '19
in Tennis

I gotta get on these sooner. Had to take live lines. Anybody know if Covers has an alert system?

35
toft33 replied to Tennis - February '19
in Tennis

Hey JW -

Impressive track record for Jan & Feb !!  Planning on keeping it going in March? Just wondering...

Thanks a ton.

134

Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:

Whatever happened to Chaser15?
"Thank You Sir! May I have another?" Best I can do on short notice. Not the same as the originator, though. Miss him.

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toft33 replied to Tennis - February '19
in Tennis

Quote Originally Posted by JW23:

#23 = +4.08 February = +6.01u #24 - 3.08u --> Khun + Gojo + Cressy/Saraiva = 4.34
This is an impressive capping streak. Just started following the thread. Many thanks for your loyal posts JW23!  I think this pick actually won you more. My math suggests a unit win of 13.67 on this pick. But I've been wrong before.

 

134

Quote Originally Posted by Xaquun:

Hi, i dont quite understand how well this system has being doing? excuse if im stupid but can some1 tell how many unit is he up or how much money? i tried read this thread but got confused.

We all know we're taking a risk. It's still gambling. The system has done well in years past but it's suffered a couple losses this year. that is the way it goes....it's nobody's fault. Dan's a master capper. This year we stumbled onto a bad beat. As long as we're not putting our rent into the system, we're still grinding it out. It's a grind with any system. No way around it.

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With one game on the board tonight, I think we gotta go with Carolina and Carolinanew_laughing1

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Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Quote Originally Posted by smurph_daddy:

Not a big slate of games until next Friday. Looks like our best shot is Preds over panthers and leafs over red wings
Most likely. In any case we have a little break and then we will win game 8.

Soooo....no Thursday play, correct?

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Keep 'em coming. Been observing the picks for a while. Now I'm tailing you. Thanks Mike.

1875

Quote Originally Posted by d_opie:

Just a heads up that Saturdays parlay will likely involve both 1pm eastern games.
Many thanks Opie!! 

3101
toft33 created a topic MLS - Grand Salami ???
in Soccer

Yes, a bit early to be talking MLS, but I like to cap with backtesting. And its never too early to prepare. Wondering if anyone out here knows if there is an offshore book that takes action on total MLS goals scored on any particular day? 

To further explain - it would be a bet where I pick the over/under for all the games played on one day of games?

If not MLS - perhaps other books that take such action on other soccer leagues???

1

Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Sorry guys I missed the play today. We are off until Thursday.
No big deal, Dan....Christmas is a time of giving and you were given the day off. A very Merry Christmas to all my fellow tailers and cappers! And to people here of all faiths and creeds - Peace be with You!!  Let us all enjoy the fruits of the season!!

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Quote Originally Posted by chaser15:

You, my friend, are legend...and need NEVER begin a post with “sorry”...jus saying. We’re on your play

couldn't agree more....

Just a little anecdote: My 12-year-old boy is a pretty good athlete. This year - his baseball team has a tournament in Cooperstown and the cost is somewhat staggering. But this system, even with the loss this year, has helped me stash away enough to get my whole family to Cooperstown for a week. This system has also inspired me to explore and research other hypotheses with other leagues - and that's worked out, too. But it all goes back to Danrules. Good fundamental money management, backtesting and realistic expectations. Sorry to get sappy fellas. it's the holidays. Dan - massive gratitude

3101

Quote Originally Posted by jaime2309:

Dan, not sure if this has been asked but have you ever tried doing a round robin with this? Just a thought.
 The one way to know for sure is to backtest it

 

3101

Thank you sir, may CHASER have another!

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So Glad you're back CHASER!!!

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