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KeyElement
KeyElement
MLB Betting / MLB 5/12/17 / View Post
tailing the minny pick.  GL.  
dabreeze
dabreeze
Why is the totals number falling so much? Kawhi is like a DPOY.  Meanwhile Houston still sucks on defense.  

And if Houston blowouts SA, the games tend to go over?!

LooseNotLose
LooseNotLose
anyone know why is the line dropping on Lyon?  My book went from -170 to -125.  
chungnuoc
chungnuoc
Quote Originally Posted by Windy8899:

AGREE, THAT'S SUCK. ONE GUY WITH A RECORD OF 8-1 LARGE PLAY AND HE PLAYS THE OVER.


Who's the 8-1 guy taking the Boston/Wash over?
scalabrine
scalabrine
Quote Originally Posted by austrian:

Without a shred of a doubt, if you dig deep enough and look long enough, you may be able to prove that LeBron James is actually a woman. You have that talent Scal. Lucky LBJ you find no interest in her/him. :)
Agree about the teeth. Absolutely.
Don't agree about the hate as, hate or not, whatever the Politburo from Malaysia has ordered - will happen. No? Explosions close to the bus are coming :). Ask Dortmundians. 
Will the Wizards win this game and cover? I don't know. The story about the toothless being released now raises some questions with paranoid minds as mine. Why now? Why the line stays put?
It was a very strange Friday to be followed by even stranger Saturday. What do I mean?
USA loses in hockey to Germany. Finland hardly beats Belarus.
Tottenham loses to West Ham and few more crazy soccer results in lower echelons occur while teams to be promoted losing a chance for promotion by dropping all 3 points at home to a non teams. Then comes that Houston drop the bomb game where Harden for the second game in a row does everything to tank the game while Beverley is playing the role of a madman.
Then come the Predators who absolutely dominate the Blues and still manage to drop the game.
In Malaysia someone just bought the new Ferrari.  He did not even have to leave the home. He bought it online...


I respect Scal and value his opinions. But this was fu*king hysterical.
scalabrine
scalabrine
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:



Thanks for the comments guys. Looks like minus 2 or 3 guys, we are with the public here.

Bb I really started looking into this one after your skewering of the Raps on this board. And I came away with overwhelming evidence that he Cavs should cover despite the fact the Raps definitely should come out strong and leave it all on the line where their season hangs in the balance.

Hell, when even fans and announcers are unconfident, you should be too. They watch all 82.

Winston, 

That's a good post. 0-4 ATS at these levels. This is a different animal. The Raps simply can't beat this Cavs team and haven't been remotely competitive.


The Raptors weren't competitive after G1 and G2 last year in the eastern conf finals getting blown out by 30 and 19 either.  

Here's the thing -- there's a reason why the 80% threshold only happens 4 times.  Because Vegas moves the lines.  
scalabrine
scalabrine
Quote Originally Posted by WinstonTheWolf:

Scal , great write up as always ...the link below does concern me . GL regardless https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/cavaliers-public-support-reaching-historical-levels/
Did the 4 public supported teams cover on that list?
begginerboy
begginerboy
Quote Originally Posted by PusterBosey:

Game 7, Celtics - Lakers. 


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5jM0aITPms

Lakers fans would deny it till the cows come home, but you will be hard pressed to find a more one sided officiated 4th quarter.

Huh.  I've never heard any of the Celtic players complain about the officiating of 2010 Game 7.  Unlike Sacramento in G6 back in  2002 for instance. Perhaps because they know the calls were fair and people are just whining.

Really, why would the NBA care whether the Lakers or Celtics win G7?  Why would refs care?  There's truly nothing to gain from rigging that match.  And if refs were so bold as to rig G7 -- something which players would know first and foremost - why didn't more Celtic players complain? The most important game in their lives and supposedly the refs just stole it from them? And they don't care enough to raise a stink? Guys like KG who doesn't give a f*ck what others think? Who has enough moolah to absorb the fine?

http://nesn.com/2010/09/paul-pierce-kevin-garnett-among-celtics-using-game-7-finals-loss-as-motivation/

Not once do you hear these guys blame refs.
scalabrine
scalabrine
Last year, Cleveland won G1 and G2 by 30 and 19.  

Toronto destroyed Cleveland in G3 by 15.  

It'll be difficult for Cleveland to match Toronto's energy.  I figure they'll save it for G4 and then close it out in Cleveland in 5.
begginerboy
begginerboy
But as bettors, who cares if games are rigged. In fact, I'd prefer that games are rigged.  Because if you can predict how they're rigged you're more likely to win.
begginerboy
begginerboy
Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:

Here is the bogus call on Curry fouling Howard...umm I mean Blake (LOL):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GRumli2qLqg

And here are all the other games the NBA had to rig for the Lakers to make the playoffs that year:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5MhmGyZ7KF0

That bogus foul on Curry - while a bad call - but nothing that borders on cheating. And Blake goes to the line because Curry blocks Blake - thus impeding his path.  Look how Blake falls back a few steps.

By comparison, look at this call against Patty Mills trying to fight thru the screen in G2.

https://streamable.com/g7xaw

That's a bad call by the refs.  But considering the Spurs won by 25,  I don't the refs were biased AGAINST the Spurs that game.
Brian7479
Brian7479
Quote Originally Posted by bu014:


Beal does seem kind of soft; he's complained about all the 'grabbing and holding' from celtic defenders after the last game..Wizards do have more top-end talent than the celtics, but they don't play that well as a team..a lot of one on one, hero ball from wall and beal, and the whole team plays mediocre defense..Boston will win this in 5 or 6..having said that, tonight could be one of those wins..



I love bettors like you.  Washington was one last second shot away the series being 1-1. Suddenly they suck.  Now they'll be at home in a game that Boston could afford to lose.

I really hope there's more people like you taking Boston.  
Bryton
Bryton
1H o/u is now 105.5.       
composite
composite
The other one that's weird is tomorrow's Toronto - Cleveland 1H vs FG line.

Toronto FG is a +2.5 dog.

Toronto 1H is a -1 fav.

I don't think I've ever seen a -145 favorite for the entire game (Cleveland) be an underdog for the first half.   
composite
composite
I've never seen the 1H line this high for a -5 favorite.

The books must be getting flooded with Wash 1H action. This should be Wash -2.5 at best. 

I'm taking Wash -4.  
begginerboy
begginerboy
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:


This was the first thing I thought of when I saw D'Antoni on the sidelines arms folded likely thinking "Remember the Steve Nash bloody nose game Greg? Remember the screwjob with Amare and Boris "leaving" the bench Greg? I'm back to take what's mine mutherfuc+er..."

LOL!!! Boris himself was so angry and bitter about that incident that he joined San Antonio and won a ring. 


franz555
franz555
I'm taking Higuain NOT to score at -150.  

He's scored 2 goals in 24 knockout matches throughout his career. 

http://www.goal.com/en/news/8/main/2017/05/03/35166732/the-real-reason-why-mentally-traumatised-higuain-always


He's scored 3 goals in 9 CL matches this season.  

Of course, he could score and the bet loses -- but I can't pass up stats like this.


ff99l1
ff99l1
NBA Betting / NBA / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by ff99l1:

I want to thank you all for your support, I have made a deal with myself, the deal is I must not respond to the trolls and with work on the games and not let it get to me were I feel it is hurting my capping. Maybe it's not but I need to do what I always did and I will staring today, thanks again, gl,ff.

Don't feel bad ff.  It's human nature. You'll have 100 posts of encouragement among 10 troll posts.  But it's the trolls you feel the subconscious need to respond. Happens to everyone.  

There's a psychology article about it on www.youarenotsosmart.com (no /s)  

I'm too lazy to look it up though.

Once you recognize this, trolls are easy to handle.
Rolexsports
Rolexsports
The thing about the Indy series is that Cavs had leads of 10-15 points through most of those games. It's that they'd get complacent in the 4Q and Indy kept making big comebacks.

Don't know if they'll do that vs Raptors.
begginerboy
begginerboy
Quote Originally Posted by begginerboy:


Yes, you are right. Assuming IT is not quite in a basketball frame of mind (after all he has gone through in the last two days),  you are now asking his team (filled with a bunch of role players) to rally around him for a second straight game against much tougher competition. That is a tall order. 

That's so hard to predict.  He could just as easily be more motivated as all his family members are telling him to "win it for his sister", "make his sister from heaven proud" or some stuff like that.

His teammates could just as easily find more motivation for the same reason.


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