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Quote Originally Posted by On_Edge:

One angle to consider is who throws the ball better in wet weather?  It might rain during the game but even if it doesn't, it's supposed to rain Saturday and Sunday and possibly into Monday afternoon.  If the ball is wet and the field is sloppy, who does that favor? 

The weather is actually going to be fine now.... I was watching it closely. Forecast is showing good weather now...
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Quote Originally Posted by LoveCFB1_:

Like you said, I don't think Clemson coaches will let team get down 14 or 21 early. Watching OU try to run the ball up the middle for three series in a row and get down three TD's before making changes was brutal.  I don't think Clemson will give up the big yardage plays that OU did either. I think Clemson will move the ball vs Bama. I don't believe Tua will have all day to make decisions back in the pocket. I really see a close game with both teams getting points and stops. Good luck with your play, Sir!


Plus I couldn't understand why Oklahoma didn't take the ball when they won the coin toss.... Never understood that. Young coach....who will learn.

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Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86:

For some reason, iv'e seen many act like Bama already overcame their threat, as if OU was the tougher one to get by than this Clemson team. Which is, by far not accurate. Iv'e said it myself personally all year, Clemson is the one and only team that can play with Bama and is equipped with enough to beat them, Clemson Defense is good enough and deep enough, and for some reason people refuse to believe that Bama isn't as great on Defense as everyone is accustomed too. I see this game as a mixture between the last two games, expect a finish somewhat like the game two years ago, and lower scoring like last year, although both QB's are different. Which honestly, both very pedestrian QB's last year against Great defenses kept the game closer to teens than the other two. Clemson can do enough to stop the run like Georgia to force Tua to have to wing it a little more and move it passing the ball, which means that leads to a few more punts than they have usually had on average than all games this year for most part. 


Lawrence isn't kelly bryant, which is why it won't be like last year, and Clemson had no chance beating them with him because he can't throw, Trevor is not like a Freshmen, he's a cerebral guy, can throw enough and read defenses and actually hurts you when you blitz, but bama doesn't blitz a lot this year. Clemson run game or no run game is gonna be what decides the game, pace and flow of how well they can compete long term. Think Bama will move it in between the 20's more, but can they cash in down in the red zone? I think that the game will be another good one and either winner will do so by single digits. I said for many months that the only roster that wouldn't be a double digit dog against Alabama would be this Clemson team. Lawrence needs to avoid a slow start like the ND game, and also needs to take from Lincoln Riley and pick on Surtain on the outside with the Wideouts to do so, and also need to find the guy that killed bama both of the first two games and caught the game winner, although Saban might just decide he's not gonna let him beat them again to move chains and in redzone, belichek like approach. 


You take the points with Clemson or nothing in this game, and maybe the under, though Im still just not sure how the total points will wind up looking like. I don't think either will just light the other up, and turnovers will play a major factor.. Also Tua's health comes into play, he was clearly in pain after the semi final, which means he either got dinged up again during the game at some point later in 2nd half or was fibbing about how great it felt the whole time leading up to the Orange Bowl. I expect another good game and would take Clemson with the points and lean the under. What do you guys think?


Good luck however you play it or choose too, and enjoy the game fellas. Another great season for both teams, and will be first ever to finish a season 15-0? 

Good to see you Boom, enjoy the moment and Good Luck to your Clemson Tigers...



excellent post
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Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:

Boom

Hope your squad wins for you bro

I’ll be cheering for them, Tua scary at times, he’s so accurate, I love watching Tua, he’s all class


I hope it’s an exciting watch 


Hey wahoo.... Just want to say I love what them wahoo's did to the gamecocks... just saying.... I was Big on Virginia because I thought the secondary was elite... which is funny. I bet you a dollar none in this forum even knew Virginia had such a great secondary....

What areas do you think Clemson and Bama will win vs each other?

 
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Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Lawrence gonna have to scramble, but he aint Kyler Murray. Should be a great game. I dont think either team get to 30.....too many good defensive players and 2 great coaches....U60 was an easy play. Cant really argue with Clemson +6, but I dont think I will play it.....may tease tjem up with some NFL action.....


Boom

what areas do you see Clemson winning and what areas do you see bama winning?
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Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

#3...Bama has the best OLine in the country....They have been battle tested with Miss St Dline..who is slightly rated lower on DL but IMO has a better overall defense than Clemson.Clemson has a weak secondary.   I think Bama playing OK gives them a huge edge...and Clemson facing Ian Book who scared all night..

#5..Has Trevor Lawrence performed under pressure..and how will he do when he gets smacked in the mouth...The answer is no..had not been pressured and is the biggest questions of them all.. Tua had performed on the biggest stage already..

Bama had been tested this year IE Georgia and Night game @ LSU...not you can say the same for Clemson..unless you consider Syracuse and A&M a test lol...

Dismissing Clemson and/or saying they're not battle tested is a little silly don't you think?

It's almost the SEC mindset of nonsense...

BOL to you dave and GL
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 Hey men.... as I walk away for the bowl season I will give you all my thoughts on this game. I'm gonna break this game down for you from my perspective. I think there are several areas that maybe you haven't heard that will factor in this game and hopefully I can help share what I think is and will determine the outcome.


 What does this game come down to? Since the LINE for this game is 6.. I'll give you 6 points to think over......

1) Can Clemson handle the knockout punch Alabama will try to throw in the first 10 minutes? If you have been alive for the last 10 years you would see and know that Bama is THE best at punching you in the mouth to start a game. The other night was a perfect example in the Oklahoma game... It was 28-0 before most people finished their first beer! Trust me... Bama and Saban are THE best at doing this to teams.

2) Can Clemson block Williams in the middle? The answer is both yes and no...?? No at the first part of the game... I don't think it's smart game planning trying to act as if he's just another guy on somebody's DL. He is disruptive and will make plays so you have to scheme around him. Yes as in I think he fatigues easy... by the time the 3rd quarter comes he will fade... watch the tape. He was a non factor about midways through the 3rd quarter the other night. Clemson must run plays and keep him tired.

3) Can Alabama handle the Clemson DL? No....and no. Nobody can... Don't feel bad about it, nobody does. Clemson losing Dex is HUGE.... but the depth at DL is silly on this team. They will run 10 guys on the filed at any time and will wear you down through the game. Watch out for true freshman Xavier Thomas... .Clemson uses him what they call the " NASCAR " package. They take the big DT usually Dex out on third and medium to long downs and essentially run 4 pass rushers at you....and trust me.... you can't stop it.

4) Running the ball.... at some point in this game both team will have to prove they can run the ball. Clemson is the best in the country at stopping the run and will handle these backs for the most part.... Alabama is always good at stopping the run but Etienne is a different type of back that I don't think Alabama has seen. He can do a lot of things and will stress this Alabama defense.

5) Tua.... If Tua is pressured how will he perform? I don't think he was tested last week against Oklahoma so it's really hard to say if that ankle is " really " healthy yet... He will be hit in this game and he will have to move his feet. If it were me I would send pressure to move him out of his comfort zone and test if he really is able to move around yet. Either way..... Clemson can't sit back and play coverage. They have to send pressure cause if they sit back and play coverage then Tua will kill them.

6) Trevor Lawrence.... is this guy seriously a true freshman? I think this might be the best NFL talent at the QB position iv'e seen in 20+ years doing this. Can he handle " Alabama "....  I think he can. He has an ability to read coverage's and use the cannon for a arm like none I've ever seen.   



Who am I taking? Seriously?

Any questions? I will try to answer. Thanks for a great bowl season men....   




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Quote Originally Posted by Cover34:

Was really nice seeing you back in here Boom. Hell of a bowl run. Best wishes & great health to you and yours in 2019.. 


My oldest friend here on covers... Hope the best for you man. Have a great 2019
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Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Classy guy as always. I taught you well.



Train my man... you, wahoo, doubleup4life etc.... are the heartbeat of this college football forum....

Please fire that idiot at Missouri
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Everyone thanks


bamastump - if all you need is LSU... then yes, always hedge my friend... you can never go broke taking a profit.
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Bowls:

21 - 13 overall  62%

13 - 5 Big Plays  72%


Big Plays went 2-2 yesterday and all plays went 3-3. The over in the Missouri game not covering was the most frustrating thing I've seen all season... Honestly 2 teams that have given me fits through the years are Missouri and G.T.... It doesn't  matter if I bet for/against/over/under on their games.... whatever I bet usually loses. The Missouri HC is a complete moron.. I've seen this idiot make some of the dumbest calls a HC can make maybe ever.... Let's just move on...



Today:

Penn st  -6

UCF  +7.5   BIG

Miss st / Iowa  Over 40

Washington +7  BIG

Georgia / Texas  Over 58.5   BIG



Just a few thoughts :

I have been waiting on this Washington / Ohio st game all bowl season. I want people to understand this is why I think it's important for you to use your eyes to watch the games and not opinions from other people/media outlets etc... If you have watched these two teams you would know Washington has the best secondary in the country. These guys are flat out nasty. The DL is very good and overall, I really really like Washington in this game to not only cover... But I think they win straight UP. I'm not telling you to make a money line play on this game, but I think they beat Ohio st. Gaskin's the RB will have a huge day. HUGE DAY...Ohio st is about to get punched in the mouth.


I know everybody wants UCF to STFU... I get it. But why? All they do is win. I feel certain if Milton hadn't got hurt they win this game straight up.... But I still think they can. Look....LSU doesn't play offense... they never have and that's why they will never be among the elite of college football. I still don't know what the heck coach O is saying.... not some of the time, but ever!!! What the heck kind of language does he speak?? I love the points... give me them points!  


Lastly.... I hope everyone had a great bowl season and even BETTER holidays with your family and friends... This game is special so don't ever forget that... Don't let money and pride ruin that for you. The important things in life aren't money and gambling.... it's about faith and family...enjoy those things first and make your priorities about the " right things in life "....and all those other things will fall into place. I may come back next bowl season and hang out again.... until then


 

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Quote Originally Posted by slomotion:

Boom.... You're just as popular now as you ever were. It's like you never left. Lol. And pretty much without any haters. Great way to end a year and to finish off the upcoming end of another fun ncaa football season. 

Cheers and happy New Year.

Thanks slomotion. I'm being honest when I say i don't care about being popular or views...

What I care about is the that story Dubleup4life told me about his cousin.... That's what I get a kick out of.

Money is nice... But as I said for many years on here I care about this game... I love it. If I can honestly help or share something I care about with others and it benefits them... then great. The advice I have gave guys on here for years is to love the game.... Love it... Watch it and use your eyes... Block out any bias you hear or see....Once you Love this game and really follow it... Picking these games comes easy. Don't love money.

That's not lip service either... I mean that.

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Final 2 plays:

NCST / Texas A&M   Over 57.5   BIG

Utah  -7


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Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:



Just wanted to say thanks Again.  
MUCH RESPECT   
 

My Cousin was on tough times after getting laid off ( now until April ) Works another job offer the books , but its probably 1/3 of his normal pay ...
 
He started the Bowl Season betting $50-100 a game , mostly tailing my picks ( mine were coin flips at best) , when he came across your thread he decided to BLIND TAIL all your BIG PLAYS for $300-$1000 per wager .. 

Heading into Saturday he was up $2200 , Virgina was a $800 play , he then read your whole thread again , and decided to let it all ride on Clemson -10 and Alt line -20 ...

Wish I could post the video of him diving in the Snow wearing only Basketball shorts after Clemson covered Easy.    

He entered the Oklahoma Bama game up 6,550 , he Tailed your Oklahoma and parlayed it with Over 78.5  ..
Ended the week up +$7,900+ 

I just called our local to see where I was at  , My Cousin paid off MY $712 balance   ... 


THANK YOU VERY MUCH BROTHER ... 
IF YOU EVER COME UP TO WNY , PLEASE LET ME KNOW , Would love to send you and Yours out for  a Fantastic dinner.    


Wow... Such a humbling moment reading this. I hope the best for you and your cousins. Tell him to pocket that money... Keep it. The smart play is to KEEP that money. If he wants to play a few small plays... do it. But KEEP the majority of it. Tell him he can't lose what he doesn't put in the pot ( Rounders). 

Again... just humbled to hear stories like this. Don't know all his circumstances... But great for him.




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Bowls:

18 - 10 overall  64%

11 - 3 Big Plays  75.5%



Today:

V.T  +6.5  

Pitt +4.5  BIG

Oregon / Michigan st   Over 47  BIG

Missouri / Oklahoma st  Over 72  BIG



 I will post the other 2 plays later... Have a great New Year's
 


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Quote Originally Posted by barbco:

Boom
 Thanks for the winners buddy. Don't know if Clemson can beat Bama. But I will be pulling for them.

It will be a tough task for sure.... Bama is incredible...


But if Clemson weathers the storm early... I think they will beat Bama.
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Quote Originally Posted by slomotion:

We almost got through this bowl season without any arguments so let's keep it going. 


On another note.... reffing was horrible in the Bama game. No question. 

Good work Boom. Much appreciated 

I know right....


The officiating was horrible.... Alabama seems to get away with tons of stuff all the time... not just this game... but every game.

even at the end the officials were hesitate to throw that flag when the Bama DL took his helmet off and acted a fool.... any other team in the country that player is flagged immediately.

The corners CLEARLY should have been called for PI several times.... but just didn't. I've noticed for years the corners get away with this..
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Quote Originally Posted by Buddhaguy:

Please just stop using this phrase Boom -- "it's not even close"

Quote Originally Posted by Boom_Boom:

Oklahoma has the BEST offensive line in the country and it's not even close... so they WILL rack up some running yards with the backs and Murray.

The BEST OL in the country (and it's not even close) can only make way for 163 yards on the ground and give up 3 sacks and 4 TFL.

Your bias is kinda showing . . . and it's not even close . . .

 


Let me break this down for you and hold your hand like a little child...

When a team is down 21 points.... they tend to get away from the run game....

The run game was still solid for Oklahoma.... Had Bama not come out the gates with a huge 1st quarter... then yes... Oklahoma would have run for 200yards +

Still 163 or whatever it was is pretty solid against Bama...


So lesson of the day:

Take this with you so you will understand how to correctly watch a game from this point on...

When a team is down 20+ points... they tend to abandon the run game.

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Bowls:

18 - 10 overall  64%

11 - 3 Big Plays  75.5%


Big Plays were 4 - 0 today....





Quick thoughts:

Clemson dominated like I thought they would. They're just so deep at every position..... N.D losing like this again will only hurt them moving forward in years to come. Lawrence and the young WR are freaks... the whole offense is freshman and sophomores....


Alabama does one thing better then any team in the country.... They come out and knock you in the mouth... They do it every game... I thought for most part the game was even or slightly in favor of Oklahoma outside of the 1st quarter...

Look... Hollywood Brown was not healthy. Would have been nice to see him 100%... Don't say it wouldn't have mattered.... cause it would have.

If Clemson can withstand that first 10 minute power punch next Monday, they will beat Bama.... But that's what Bama does...


also....... I find it odd how Bama seems to get away with so many questionable roughing the passers and clear PI on WR.... They committed I know 5 PI in that game where it wasn't even close... but yet the just seem to get away with it. The power drive by the big DL..... just nothing, any other team gets the penalty and the player is probably tossed.

We're headed for a big one next Monday boys.... Get ready     
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Quote Originally Posted by YucatanDan:

Boom, would you say your confidence level is very high on Michigan, and Virginia today ? Totally agree with you on Clemson, and Oklahoma covering.


Virginia  yes...


Don't know about Michigan... Michigan is the right side IMO... Like I said earlier... we will know early on Michigan.
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