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Thread Author Crashdavis565 Post Entries
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
Seems like it is there and sticking for now.
Hmmm....

Surprises me, do you all view WH as sharp?
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
Covers shows WH at 2.5 -110?
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
Quote Originally Posted by incognegro:

It reached three at several Shops on Saturday. Most have gone back to 2.5. William Hill still has 3 though. 

I would love to get there and take it for a dime....
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
I have no idea how these defensive coordinators think they can beat the Patriots playing like they do. The Patriots are all quick plays and reads, you must jam them and trust they will not beat you over the top. If they do good for them. At times in the KC game, the safeties are not even in the camera angle pre-snap?  Which one of those Patriots receivers are they sooo scared of?

Wade is a genius and I think he can figure this out. He gave Brady fits in that game with the Broncos a couple of years ago but Brady was, as always, charging at the end.  I am not sold on the Rams CB and the whole game to me will come down to their play. If we get the old Peters, Talib, this thing will be a rout. If we get this year's older version though, Brady will shred them.
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

I don't think so. Just my two cents but I know there are literally thousands of us waiting for three and all the Joe money is dumping in on the Patriots. I see the opposite happening come game time. The Pros will want three and then not get it, this will start a rush and it may even go to 1.5 or 1 for the Patriots come kick off.

I would love to get 3 but I just don't think I will. But, I am still waiting with everyone else, meanwhile all the Pats money is pouring in before it goes to 3...

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

    [/Quote]Pats still have a better defense and running game[/Quote]

 

Agreed-

 

Chiefs do match up well though on D and Chiefs will have Home field where they play a little better and Pats splits on the road are not nearly as good.

Finally, Chiefs get back Berry today and that should make a big difference if he is healthy....

Bandit7
Bandit7
I look at it this way-
Almost all the greats lose their last fight/game etc. They have to lose to figure out the jig is up (One notable exception being from Denver like you is number 7).
Those last game losses usually cost the public a lot of money because they remember all the previous great games and forget that Father Time beats us all.
FOR ME and this is just for me- there is a strong chance that on that field today, at this point in time, Mahomes will be the better QB. The implications of that hit me as I type it, for as much as I dislike him, I concede that TB is the greatest of all time. 
One last thing, if the Chiefs can win  today, there will be some talk about how the Pats have benefited from a weak division and a strong home field advantage through all these years. The Patriots will go to 0-4 for on the road AFC championship games and again, that will create some discussion. I feel it will have some validity but who cares, what are they supposed to do, you can only play the teams in front of you. In the late game, I am taking the kid as maybe the sun is setting on the GOAT

Crash
rush
rush

Rush sighting-

 

Why Covers used to be cool with great Cappers sharing picks. No crazy boasts but a subtle, been cold lately.

 

GL today I am on the other side but I wish you well

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

Jam em,  8 in the box football. The Pats are all about timing and short dunks. If you are going to beat Brady, make them take the top off of the field. They have NO deep threats without Gordon and Brady has lost a little zip at the deeper levels. If you play back and let White have all those long handoffs you are screwed.

Gronk does not look like the 2012 version. He has really lost a step and for the first time in forever, you may be able to actually cover him with a LB. 

On offense, the same thing applies. Over the top, over the top, over the top. The Pats are slow on the backend and Hill should be able to burn them deep. Let the young kid with the arm candy do his thing and run all over the place floating dimes in from the heavens.

 

I am breaking Crash's rule number 1 today which is never bet against the Patriots but off of that big win against a totally flat SD team and on the road in a hostile environment against a coach who seems on the precipice and definitely has a better team, I am laying the points.

 

Go Chefs

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

Quote Originally Posted by Olop:

Quote Originally Posted by Crashdavis565:

Quote Originally Posted by Olop:

line movements are based on money not how many people are on the pick fyi
Yes, my point. Public betting Birds but line going the other way, that would be the big money players, like me.   GL
  I don't think you comprehend what im saying.  if 100 people bet 1 dollar on eagles and 1 person bets 200 dollars on washington the line will move. it doesn't matter how many people are on it its the money what moves the line.   I'm not saying eagles are gonna win either, but i doubt they lose.

 

I got you exactly- the idea is that the public makes the 1 dollar bets and the smart people make the 200, who do you want to be with? Public or whales?

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

Quote Originally Posted by primetimeMEATS:

Stupid move

 

Now I know that it is the right play-

Doubling Down.

 

moneyeyes

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

Quote Originally Posted by Olop:

line movements are based on money not how many people are on the pick fyi

Yes, my point. Public betting Birds but line going the other way, that would be the big money players, like me.

 

GL

LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper

Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:

Bears fans, take a very deep breath...your team is way over rated...the offense is very unreliable and even the defense can be had against steady offenses they will see in the playoffs...the Giants game showed this is far from the Seahawks of the mid decade...frankly I'm sick of this drooling over that unit..it is good, not great, but more importantly, in LA or NO, you'll be in deep trouble trying to keep up...and if anyone besides Cousins was the QB next week, you'd be in trouble at home

 

Bears do not look good but sure seem to win and cover most weeks...

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

70% of the public on the Eagles, line has moved the other way. Eagles have burned money all year.

Give me the Skins.

LeagueCapper
LeagueCapper

From the Covers expert on the Celtics game.

 

The Philadelphia 76ers have lost nine of their 15 road games but are still ten games above .500 overall. They are coming off 126-101win over Toronto. Joel Embiid had 27 points and grabbed 11 rebounds in the win. 
The Boston Celtics are six games above .500 overall and in fifth place in the conference standings. They are coming off a 119-103 home win over Charlotte. Kyrie Irving had 25 points.

The 76ers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games.while the
Celtics are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 home games.

Philadelphia does not play great at the Boston Garden. Boston has struggled this season and doesn't look like the favorite in the East as projected before the season started. I like Philadelphia to win outright in this one.
Play on Philadelphia. This is a 1* free play.

What? paint_help

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

Rams with Cardinals and 49ers (at home) I guess strange things do happen but as a player or a capper, I expect the Rams to win out....

 

 

Bears cover

Ravens cover

 

again and again and I did not make any money on either but I DID LEARN A LESSON!

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
So, just got back from the MGM. I have always looked up at those boxes and dreamed of one day being in them. I flashed my new Platinum card and the key to the kingdom opened. I did not get a private box though but there is a large box in the center that you share with the other wannabees. 

The front row is ok but other than that, you are too far back to really see and there is not a buffet or even free drink service for that matter, just the same cocktail waitress from the floor comes up once an hour or so.

Compared to Westgate and Caesars the TVs are so old in the MGM as to make it unpalatable at best.  

So, I have now sat in the skybox and it was like screwing the prom queen but finding out she is a dead fish.....

Along another note, I will be back 1-5 for a weekend and I am able to get free room at Mandalay Bay and nowhere else, has the shooting brought it down this much? Used to be a pretty good place....
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
and I did it again....

What a win by the Ravens!
theclaw
theclaw

Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

Quote Originally Posted by Crashdavis565:

I am going to disagree with you one one pointI think the biggest game of the week is Seabirds/Chefs.Does Reid choke again at the end of the year as is the norm? This is looking like the good old Chefs- start high and then die.I think that Russel and Pete upset the Andy and the Chiefs go in as the wildcard, while the Bolts steal home field advantage.Lamar on the road against the Bolts, to me, has way less chance of winning than Russel at home in prime time.
I agree that game is interesting as well but Ravens with Jackson starting and what he has done running the ball is crazy and makes it the most interesting game.

 

In that I was totally wrong on the Ravens and Jackson, I hate to jump to hyperbole but Lamar Jackson may change the NFL game. We may usher in the multi-threat QB and see the end of the great pocket passers......Along those lines, we know these QB's will be hurt so we may see 3-4 on a team going forward. Just my two cents

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
Good point on Da Bears-
They will probably mail this one in, as they are really locked into the 3-4 spot it would seem.
Defense is effort and this would seem to be a huge letdown spot for them after FINALLY beating the Packers....

Crash
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