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Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

"Tyler has been money for first inning runs but I am down a dime on them for the year, so I will pass which makes it a mortal lock YES F1 RUN"Boy, that is putting it nicely, very diplomatic. Might be sorry you passed on that one.BOL

 

That first inning bet has been so good to me through the years but I have layed 170 x 2 for big bucks and missed both. I like it today but going to take a pass.

Can't put my hand into the meat grinder for the third time....

 

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
1) ADI 45 Wind  out to left 5MPH Pitchers Grade C Over 10.5          16  W
2) ADI 47 Wind In 7 Pitchers Grade B Over 10  9  W
3) ADI 47 Wind in 7 Pitchers B-  Over 11.5         L
4) ADI 46 Wind In 6 Pitchers A Over 10.5           L
5) ADI 42 Wind Out Pitchers A/B Over 10.5        W
6) ADI 48 Wind In 5 Pitchers A Over 10.5 I am playing Under 4 units. W
7) ADI 45 Wind In 5 Pitchers A Over 10.5 Under 1Unit     W
8) ADI 43 Wind Cross to right 10 Pitchers C Over 10.5 Over 4 units    W
9) ADI 45 Wind in 7 Pitchers B- Over 11 DAY GAME-  Over 10.5 1 unit  L
10)ADI52 Wind In 3 Pitchers B (Hellickson much improved) Over 11  1 unit 
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

PTL

My Uncle talks about gamblers being programmed to lose. After pushing three plays yesterday with little insight but just hunches, I feel a little PTL.

Back at it though.

Today is a dreary day in Denver. These days have cost me a lot through the years, as all signs point to an Under but for some reason through the years they have gone over. I am going to play the system as an under but after yesterday and my exerience in the past not bet anything.

 

Down 100

No bet

Lean to Under

Tyler has been money for first inning runs but I am down a dime on them for the year, so I will pass which makes it a mortal lock YES F1 RUN

BirdsOnBat
BirdsOnBat

GL

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
On the other side we get another unknown with ok numbers when healthy, which seems to be rarely. He must have looked good in that last start as they moved him into the rotation.
I feel one of them or both probably have some issues in Coors with two teams that are really raking the ball right now.  Over 50 hits combined in the last two games and Harper is in the zone right now as is Chuck McNasty who has awoke from his early season slumber (thank God)
 
Rockies stink on Sunday for some reason and just feels like a split with a really good Philly team. 2Units on the Phils (to win 3) 200
One unit on the over because I have a gambling issue and I have to take a side. 100
I like the first inning run today too ( which cost me 800 early in the year, a hole I have just dug out of) 300 to win 200
 
Plus 500 on the year right now.

 

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
1) ADI 45 Wind  out to left 5MPH Pitchers Grade C Over 10.5          16  W
2) ADI 47 Wind In 7 Pitchers Grade B Over 10  9  W
3) ADI 47 Wind in 7 Pitchers B-  Over 11.5         L
4) ADI 46 Wind In 6 Pitchers A Over 10.5           L
5) ADI 42 Wind Out Pitchers A/B Over 10.5        W
6) ADI 48 Wind In 5 Pitchers A Over 10.5 I am playing Under 4 units. W
7) ADI 45 Wind In 5 Pitchers A Over 10.5 Under 1Unit     W
8) ADI 43 Wind Cross to right 10 Pitchers C Over 10.5 Over 4 units    W
9) ADI 45 Wind in 7 Pitchers B- Over 11 DAY GAME-  Over 1 Unit
 
Tough game today. Really "normal" Coors conditions at ADI of 45.  We have the enigma of Jon Gray on the mound today. Gray can be a top 5 stopper or can be quite human. He can start a game looking like Nolan Ryan and one little bleeder, a missed strike by the Ump and a passed ball will turn into a quick shower for him and a total meltdown. The problem with Gray is not his "stuff" but the stuff between his ears.Do not let those two West coast starts fool you, they have nothing to do with the Canaveral. 
 
 
 
 
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

You consider Nola a poor pitcher?

 

Yes, based on this year only. I know he was top 5 last year in the Cy Young but so far this year he has been quite human. I would watch him in his next start though, he really struggled again early in this game but after getting out of quite a few jams in the first couple of innings, he settled down in the mid-innings and looked quite good.

 

Crash

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
1) ADI 45 Wind  out to left 5MPH Pitchers Grade C Over 10.5          16  W
2) ADI 47 Wind In 7 Pitchers Grade B Over 10  9  W
3) ADI 47 Wind in 7 Pitchers B-  Over 11.5         L
4) ADI 46 Wind In 6 Pitchers A Over 10.5           L
5) ADI 42 Wind Out Pitchers A/B Over 10.5
6) ADI 48 Wind In 5 Pitchers A Over 10.5 I am playing Under 4 units. W
7) ADI 45 Wind In 5 Pitchers A Over 10.5 Under 1Unit     W
8) ADI 43 Wind Cross to right 10 Pitchers C Over 10.5 Over 4 units
 
No time for write up but the conditions play to the over today with two poor pitchers, wind blowing out, lower pressure and bullpens both bullpens having pitched last night. Larger play today. GL
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

-600

4-13 Winner 200

4-14 Winner 200

4-19 Winner 200

 

Now even

 

One unit today-

Poor bookkeeping (as always) thread is filled with good picks though (rare sight) cool

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
1) ADI 45 Wind  out to left 5MPH Pitchers Grade C Over 10.5          16  W
2) ADI 47 Wind In 7 Pitchers Grade B Over 10  9  W
3) ADI 47 Wind in 7 Pitchers B-  Over 11.5         L
4) ADI 46 Wind In 6 Pitchers A Over 10.5           L
5) ADI 42 Wind Out Pitchers A/B Over 10.5
6) ADI 48 Wind In 5 Pitchers A Over 10.5 I am playing Under 4 units. W
7) ADI 45 Wind In 5 Pitchers A Over 10.5 Under 1Unit
 
Weather is much better today and two good aces on the mound. I think this line should be around 9.5 so the 10.5 is confusing to me. When I think I am getting value, I have learned the hard way Vegas is smarter than me. Huge line swing to Marquez which I cannot blame as the kid is a certifiable ace.
 
I am just going to make a one unit degen play on the Under based on these two pretty good pitchers and only decent ADI. Interesting note to myself, the visual index is really high at 16.5 for both clubs, we will see how that shakes out. 
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
1) ADI 45 Wind  out to left 5MPH Pitchers Grade C Over 10.5          16  W
2) ADI 47 Wind In 7 Pitchers Grade B Over 10  9  W
3) ADI 47 Wind in 7 Pitchers B-  Over 11.5         L
4) ADI 46 Wind In 6 Pitchers A Over 10.5           L
5) ADI 42 Wind Out Pitchers A/B Over 10.5
6) ADI 48 Wind In 5 Pitchers A Over 10.5 I am playing Under 4 units.
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

Thank you Nolan!

about time!

VegasVeteran
VegasVeteran

My humble apologizes to Tiger-

 

 I too thought he was done. Injuries and the lack of good sex seemed to have him in the pits of hell from which a return was not possible.

But in testament to him and the human spirit, the MFer won today in glorious fashion. I was never a fan before today but I am now.

 

Tiger, cheers to you buddy, great round of gold. Welcome Back!

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

Quote Originally Posted by Crashdavis565:

Been doing well and not posting, they way of life on Covers I hate success so here goes. The Rockies are just terrible right now and I mean just terrible. Not just the hitting or the pitching but they lost yesterday in 18 as Iannetta did not have his foot on the plate- What? In Oracle they are on a terrible run. After getting two runs in their last three day visit here, they got blanked in the first game again 1-0 Then yesterday, they squeaked out 2 in 18 innings, both coming after a balk kept the inning alive (otherwise on the play Belt had caught the third out)   For their troubles they get to face Madison, who is not the Madison of old but still should be good enough to beat this lineup that is lacking- 3-4 starters and the rest really are not hitting.   Rox counter with Freelander who is just a simple stud. He got really rocked last out and I think he can bounce back against a very tired Giants team that played until the wee hours last night.   Under for F5- bullpens are suspect after last night.     Crash   Lean to the Giants to take the Rox on an 8 game slide. Over in Cinci wink, wink F5 only Spurs beat the Nuggets tonight- Joker ran out of gas last month

 

Nice day there, especially the Spurs outright winner.

 

The Rox win today, Ace on the mound and Arenado lit into them yesterday. They got the kids off the field and Reynolds is such a huge upgrade at first , with Desmond starting to hit (just a little) and GH rolling some, they win in a almost must-win spot (in April of all things!)

 

Crash

 

No opinion on the over as 7 looks good but small and I mean small lean to the over here or take Rox TT ( I just feel they start to hit today)

 

Tiger to win the Masters (an_roll_laugh)

 

Also, Blazers tonight ML and giving points-

Lightning should come together without their star and finally beat the CBJ

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565

Been doing well and not posting, they way of life on Covers

I hate success so here goes.

The Rockies are just terrible right now and I mean just terrible. Not just the hitting or the pitching but they lost yesterday in 18 as Iannetta did not have his foot on the plate- What?

In Oracle they are on a terrible run. After getting two runs in their last three day visit here, they got blanked in the first game again 1-0

Then yesterday, they squeaked out 2 in 18 innings, both coming after a balk kept the inning alive (otherwise on the play Belt had caught the third out)

 

For their troubles they get to face Madison, who is not the Madison of old but still should be good enough to beat this lineup that is lacking- 3-4 starters and the rest really are not hitting.

 

Rox counter with Freelander who is just a simple stud. He got really rocked last out and I think he can bounce back against a very tired Giants team that played until the wee hours last night.

 

Under for F5- bullpens are suspect after last night.

 

 

Crash

 

Lean to the Giants to take the Rox on an 8 game slide.

Over in Cinci wink, wink F5 only

Spurs beat the Nuggets tonight- Joker ran out of gas last month

Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
Really bad day for me yesterday and per my rules, I am going to not bet today.
Lost a max bet on TT and then the Under here
-600 on the year
Lean to Over with these weather conditions and Rox bats awakening
Marquez though is a certifiable beast
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
1) ADI 45 Wind  out to left 5MPH Pitchers Grade C Over 10.5          16  W
2) ADI 47 Wind In 7 Pitchers Grade B Over 10  9  W
3) ADI 47 Wind in 7 Pitchers B-  Over 11.5         L
4) ADI 46 Wind In 6 Pitchers A Over 10.5           L
5) ADI 42 Wind Out Pitchers A/B Over 10.5
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies – 6:40 MDT - Coors Field         Air Density Index: 42  
Wind: 
WSW 6 mph
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
1) ADI 45 Wind  out to left 5MPH Pitchers Grade C Over 10.5          16  W
2) ADI 47 Wind In 7 Pitchers Grade B Over 10  9  W
3) ADI 47 Wind in 7 Pitchers B-  Over 11.5         L
4) ADI 46 Wind In 6 Pitchers A Over 10.5  
Crashdavis565
Crashdavis565
Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies – 6:40 MDT - Coors Field         Air Density Index: 46  
Wind: 
NNW 6 mph
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