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LB_Dirtbags
LB_Dirtbags

And Kentucky is already up to -4.5...

like I said fellas that -3, -3.5 line was nuts...

Wouldn't surprise me if it ended up -5.5 or -6

LB_Dirtbags
LB_Dirtbags

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

If there ever was a year for Duke to lose to Izzo...This is it...

I would have thought the $ comes in on Mich State given recent history, but the line's headed TOWARDS Duke, up to 2 and 2.5 already from 1.5 and 2

Kentucky already up to -4.  Line was nuts at -3.5 not sure what anybody was thinking.

Crazy stuff.  Unlike today's games, where the lines are pretty much set since the start.

VegasVandal
VegasVandal

Quote Originally Posted by VegasVandal:

William Hill doesn’t cancel lines , maybe some offshore unregulated garbage book . This is the line they posted and there is no “clear” mistake as you state . The NGC would be on my side if they decide to just take the line down and cancel a legitimate bet but a regulated book would not do that

Yes you are 100% correct and I am very surprised they're putting up -3.5's.  If it's William Hill, no question.  Not my favorite book, they're a monopoly and limit people, but they don't make mistakes, they are certainly as you say anything but a garbage book.  They are establishment.

Unbelievable line.  Been around a long time, this one definitely surprises me.  Auburn's leading rebounder out for the game.

Circus_Bettor
Circus_Bettor

Quote Originally Posted by Circus_Bettor:

...Flo St did NOT have a down game or off shooting night. They played well enough to win, and yet couldn't even cover 8 points.

 

Koumadje on the bench was huge that game.

Foul trouble all game.  Played only 11 minutes.  When he was in there, Gonzaga had trouble with his size.  They couldn't rebound or get shots in the paint.

buffer
buffer

Certainly not the most impressive, but may qualify for dumbest.

Amazed at how many times Michigan State players were wide open without guys within 5 yards of them.

Amazed and how many stupid shots they put up.

Should be amazed these guys were able to enter college, but you know how it goes there.

Lots of talent, no brains, from player on up to coach. 

Game was the definition of getting outcoached and outplayed, despite having superior talent.

VegasVandal
VegasVandal

yeah if it's kentucky -145 against auburn, then by all means...that's a mistake.

my guess is they'll cancel the ticket, so you're better off holding off.  the books don't like players using obviously bad lines to get an advantage.

GUnit4Ws
GUnit4Ws
College Basketball / UK -2 / View Post

Quote Originally Posted by Circus_Bettor:

Looked to me as though the Houston player was fouled on his drive to the basket. He was ot allowed a free lane there. NO CALL. Yet two fouls on Houston had two players foul out, and none more costly than the 3 pt play late to tie the game on PJ Washington.  Refs certainly favored UK late in this one, if you just count # of whistles and FT benefits. Just a hard game to take in. Bad play calling. Bad officiating. And just plain luck by Herro. Both games had horrific endings, just bad UNCLUTCH shooting by the underdogs who could have taken down storied programs.    AWFUL.

Agree the refs favored Kentucky.

The game was played in Kansas City and certainly there were more Kentucky fans than fans making the trip from Houston.

Reminds me of the Duke game against UCF, certainly the refs favored Duke in that one, but UCF should have won the game anyways.

Is what it is.

LB_Dirtbags
LB_Dirtbags

bookmaker is putting up duke at a soft 2 (-105) and -1.5 (-110), bouncing it back and forth looking for action.  That's what Bookmaker likes to do sometimes...

LB_Dirtbags
LB_Dirtbags

kentucky-auburn spread might be delayed due to the okeke injury.  that was tough to watch...

there is no way it's -2.5.  if i had to guess it's -7

LB_Dirtbags
LB_Dirtbags

Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

Kentucky -2.5 vs Auburn....

That's it?  With the Auburn player injured?  I'd like to see if that's the case...

Izzo 1-11 against Coach K probably going to be brought up often.

GUnit4Ws
GUnit4Ws
College Basketball / UK -2 / View Post

Quote Originally Posted by Circus_Bettor:

UK and DUKE were NEVER threatened to lose these games.   The QUANTUM effect has these two GUARANTEED to win.    The massive viewership with expectations drives the outcomes.   That Va Tech player didn't miss the shot. The viewers watching somehow made that miss happen. The miss by the Houston player, down just 1 pt, THAT too was a "block" by the viewers.   Look up QUANTUM REALITIES and you may come to agree with this freaky scientific FACT.

 

Well I'll take quantum mechanics, luck, symbolism, anything you want to call it.

Been doing this a long time, I'd rather have that than good 24x7.  It's like throwing dice.

Sometimes you make the right pick, sometimes the wrong pick, this Kentucky-Houston game was just a roll of the dice.

LB_Dirtbags
LB_Dirtbags

Superbook has Duke -2

To me the line is a sleeper.  Pretty much what everyone expected.

GUnit4Ws
GUnit4Ws
College Basketball / UK -2 / View Post

Quote Originally Posted by Circus_Bettor:

  That 3 pointer by Herro cost me over $700.   Houston had to win this "gut check" moment. But the QUANTUM effect of viewers with expectations seems to drive many close outcomes. This is why Tom Brady has 6 rings. Viweres are DRIVING the end results by their expectations as they view these games.    There is no other explanation. Choking? I don't buy that anymore.

Houston was incredibly unlucky.

A foul on a missed 3 pointer, a tip to a teammate that went out of bounds.

Certainly Kentucky had the crowd.

If you want to talk about choking, I think Kentucky giving up a 13 point lead in the 2nd half was a choke.  Give Houston credit.

That was an unbelievable game could have gone either way.

LB_Dirtbags
LB_Dirtbags

Greek opens Duke -2.5

I don't know where you got your -1

GUnit4Ws
GUnit4Ws
College Basketball / UK -2 / View Post

These Kentucky kids, freshman and sophmores, had the gut check of their lives against Houston tonight and came out aces.

Unbelieveable.

I normally think of the young as soft, but Kentucky showed monster will to win that game.

Houston was up 3 under 2 minutes left, I thought it was over.

PublicJoe
PublicJoe

8 is short....if we're talking about a 12 seed vs a 1

Then again, Oregon has won 10 in a row, including 10 in a row ATS..crazy.  And most of them they destroyed the spread, including 2 in a row

Imagine a #1 like Duke or No Carolina being -8 against a 12 seed...the books would have to load up extra trucks for the cash coming in

I guess it's because it's Virginia we're talking about here vs a red hot Oregon team.  Should be interesting to see how the public and sharps play this game

The game is in Louisville, which doesn't give an advantage to no one...too bad this is the 2nd game, because the Purdue and Tennessee fans would have been rooting hard for Oregon the dog

jflydaddy
jflydaddy

Read this about Holtmann...

"Holtmann, who attended a Christian college and keeps his profanity to a minimum, believes that blessed are the peacemakers."

These religious people, they always have this stupid twinkle in their eye, knowing that when they die they'll just go to heaven.

I'm sorry, but when I looked at the guy I thought something's wrong with him. He's too content.

Tedcyclone
Tedcyclone

Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

Zero buzzer beaters where 1 team was down and the other team win at the buzzer or last few seconds.

True not one buzzer beater...

Of all the games this one was the closest

Get this

"Favorites went 16-0 straight up in the Round of 32, which is the first time that the favorites did not lose a game in the Round of 32 since the NCAA Tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985."

16-0!

Crazy.

Tedcyclone
Tedcyclone

Also all the favorites won, but only 4 of them covered...

It's been a tournament of dogs rarely winning on the ML

Tedcyclone
Tedcyclone

Quote Originally Posted by Slowbalt:

Its great. I am glad all the shit teams are gone from the tourney. Send them back to their shit conferences.

Supposedly only 5 one-possession games in the first 48, which is the worst in history

Seems they're no longer fixing games for ratings...

 

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