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motowner
motowner
What’s the play for the Second Half? Atlanta looks good but can they hold on?
zebrakiller
zebrakiller
This bizarre trend again.

Saints beat it in 2009 and they will beat it 10 years later, I reckon.
scalabrine
scalabrine
HeadOverHeart
HeadOverHeart

Cleveland was Week One when the team was reeling from the Bell saga and in the wind and rain against an unknown quantity in the Browns.  The Browns defense is above-average.

K.C. shocked them for a 21-0 lead and Pitt fought back to lose by 5.  No 21-0 lead and K.C. loses that game and they are the darlings of the AFC.

7-1 odds on a proven veteran team in a conference that doesn't have a clear leader is value, IMO.  The Patriots have fallen off and all the other teams have glaring weaknesses.  Pittburgh's D leaves a lot to be attended too, but it seems like defense has fallen off all across the league as the NFL has turned into Arena League-lite recently.  Look at the Rams-Vikings game.  A pinball game, if I ever seen one.  And both of those teams have "elite" defenses.

HeadOverHeart
HeadOverHeart
*bump

Looking for some insight, guys.

Got2win1
Got2win1
Chargers.  It's who I am going with.

Jags playing a desperate Jets team with extra rest thanks to Thursday Night Football.  Niners just lost JG and Sherman.

Pre-line on Jags game was -10, already -7.5.

Chargers will be hard to trust from here on out.  Have to burn them now.

Good luck!


HeadOverHeart
HeadOverHeart
Is K.C. for real?  They had the exact same record, down to the exact same offensive stats, at Week 3 last season.  They finished 10-6.  Andy Reid is hard to trust, even with the Mahomes show and all of their offensive weapons.

Jags D is for real, but they can't score.

New England looks spent and it seems their run is over.  Their dearth of offensive weapons is killing them and Gronk clearly doesn't want to be there anymore.

Baltimore and Cincy have improved, but aren't complete teams, IMO.

Pittsburgh can score with anybody in the league, already proven against K.C. and TB, and have a serviceable defense.  It seems that through the grind of a long season, where anything can happen, that this veteran team is the best equipped to see it through.  The Bell fiasco might also be a blessing in disguise as this team will gel together with something to prove because of it.

Pittsburgh is currently 7-1 and seems great value.

I know this is very unpredictable and difficult to get a clean shot on, but what do you think?  Looking to hear from others and some other viewpoints on this.

Thanks.
Pendo
Pendo
Other / 3333 / View Post

Tennessee/Florida Under 45.5 looks to be one of the best bets of the night, save for any kick return TDs or defensive scores.

capperchris1
capperchris1

And don't take my hyperbolic posts on AFL matches too seriously.  This is my favorite sport and comes on around the midnight hour where I live, a perfect time for getting into some (or a lot of) drinks and throwing money down on the games.  I have my guilty fun and like to make ridiculous statements before the games.  Hahaha.

If you can't have some fun, then what's the point?  new_laugh_sweat

capperchris1
capperchris1

Well, Richmond showed us why the total was so low.  And why the money was coming in on the Pies late knocking them down to just 15-point dogs from an opening high of 18.5.

I don't think Richmond had more than two players in between either 50 for three-quarters of the game.  Their catch-and-blast strategy obviously failed them on the night, but it also looked mores o like they were spent from a long season, attached to a draining last season, with many expectations.  Similar to when Sydney was blown out in the Finals the last couple seasons.

I rode the train until the tracks derailed, so no regrets for this ride.  Hahaha.

All-in-all, very poor Prelims in the run-up to the GF.  Usually, the Prelims are as exciting as the big game itself.

Should be a good GF with two teams with similar strengths.

HeadOverHeart
HeadOverHeart

Am I wrong?

Dodgers are the lead contenders.

Don't see anyone else.

Where am I wrong?

Bobbys_pregame
Bobbys_pregame
Other / AFL Finals / View Post
Richmond match OVER 160.5.

Richmond TT Over 87.5.

Enjoy your retirement.
capperchris1
capperchris1
Sorry, me maths was slippy.

3 goals and 4 behinds.

Or 4 goals a quarter.

I will watch this match and be shaking my head when this covers easily.
capperchris1
capperchris1
If I didn't have children, I'd reverse mortgage the house and bet the Over 87.5 TT of Richmond.

This is gambling, but the closest thing I've ever seen in any comp to free money.

19 points a quarter?  3 goals and a behind a quarter?

PISS TAKE.

What the hell do the books know that we don't?

This is a free money giveaway!!!!!
capperchris1
capperchris1
Lots of talk in the running of the Pies midfield.  I think that is causing the line to be soft.  I'm sorry.  Yes, on paper, they are better than Richmond's mids, but this is not going to change the fact that dynamically Richmond plows through the centre and destroys you in their forward 50.

Collingwood failed to show dominance against the other final teams and there's no way they all of a sudden turn it on against this reckless;y good Tigers side.
capperchris1
capperchris1
Absolutely shocking.

Richmoind total opened at 89.5.  Which in itself is shocking.  Now down to 87.5.

How in hell is a team favored to win by DD totaled at 87.5?  And against this year's Collingwood, no doubt?

Either the books are taking a big piss take or this is the banker of the decade?

I'd stay off the line and pound the garbage out of the total OVER and Richmond TT OVER.

Anybody looking for a BAIL OUT, this is it!  Stop thinking and lay it on this, whether you follow Aussie Rules or not.

If this doesn't hit, then gambling is dead.

Richmond 90+ for sure.

Total 170+ for sure.

What do they know that we don't?

We know the books don't give away free money but this is the softest line I've seen in years in AFL.  Let alone any sport.
capperchris1
capperchris1

Down to 160.5 now.

I can't explain this.

I have this 95-82, Tigers.  Collingwood scoring the last goal.

???

Dusty will play and he's been banged up for weeks.

Do they expect the Collingwood mids, as nice as they are, to slow down Richmond's bombs-away approach through the midfield?

capperchris1
capperchris1
Please explain to me why the Richmond/Collingwood Total is only 161.5?

Last five matches between these two flew over this. 170’s in both matches this year. Richmond TT is only 89.5. Huh?

How can you not unload the house on this over?

Explain this.
rod_steel
rod_steel

clover, Rod

Skanless1
Skanless1
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