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donny300
donny300
not much to add, but as a longtime Dolphin supporter, the reason the rest of the division stinks is because the Patriots have destroyed them. These teams haven't always sucked. Buffalo even made the playoffs last year. Miami the year before. But being constantly outmatched for at least a decade has had an affect on these organizations. they hire and fire coaches willy-nilly. they draft poorly. the patriots have broken these teams. they approach the game like losers. the patriots deserve credit for their domination of the division and for the virtual destruction of these franchises. it's one of the major reasons for their success.
Skipster
Skipster
domestic violence. maybe nowhere
Skipster
Skipster
Taggart vaguely suggests issues with conduct.
NinjaNight
NinjaNight
add a full quarter of football in the playoffs. 15 mins. same rules. games decided by coin flips are bogus.
Skipster
Skipster
Lots of talk today about the Saints getting jobbed, but how about that slap on Brady's shoulder pad being called roughing the passer? Would have been 3rd and 10. Horrible call.
Digitalkarma
Digitalkarma
Quote Originally Posted by Digitalkarma:


lol, they are. but not true underdogs in a sense. first time underdogs all season? dosn't count haha. they have to be at least a 7 pt dog once or twice this season to count. plus i don't like that team and some of the personalites on their esp on defense. only thing they have going for them is Todd Gurley and McVay is a cool guy. Wade Phillips is cool in my book too. still not sold on Goff yet.

Promise i won't tell Aaron Donald and DonkeyKong Suh that you don't like them. I think they're going to become very well acquainted with Drew Brees on Sunday. My opinion only.
Havelin
Havelin

NinjaNight
NinjaNight
what happens to foles?
Digitalkarma
Digitalkarma
Rams are underdogs, right?
buffer
buffer
NinjaNight
NinjaNight
great thread. thanks. ignore the idiots. it's your thread. post what you want.
Skipster
Skipster
Quote Originally Posted by Skipster:

Of the last 24 SUNDAY wild games, 17 went under the total.

Last 6 years, under is 17-6-1 for both Sat. and Sun.

When road team won outright, under is 14-3-2 last 8 years.

Remember, these are just trends. Make sure you're asking the right questions in the playoffs.


75% unders again. if Janikowski not injured, it would have likely been 4/4.

Road winners both hit under.


Skipster
Skipster
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Without knowing the final stats postgame, how does this trend actually help anyone looking to place a bet pregame?

Anyone who specializes with ingame wagering, this trend is definitely noteworthy for a potential halftime wager peace_5


your point is well taken. trends are only useful as a piece of the puzzle. game plan it out and make your best conjecture. it's perhaps useful to note that Dallas outrushed Seattle in the last two meetings. but they lost both. so there you go. I think the defensive trend listed above may be slightly more predictive.
Skipster
Skipster
Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

"That gain more rushing yards" when?

In the WC game played? Or avg rush yards over the first 16 games of the regular season? Or just the most recent 3 or 6 games before the WC game?

Teams comfortably ahead in any NFL game tend to have a ton more rush yards since they rush more in the 3rd and 4th quarters to run the clock.

 

Thanks for this thread thumbs_up


right. yards gained DURING THE WC GAME. So the only way this trend is helpful is for us to evaluate what the most likely game script might be.

Indeed, the only trends I can see that are in any way predictive using regular season trends are the Defensive ones. Teams that allow fewer yards per rush during the season are 25-13-1. Suggests potential plays on Dallas, Balt, Hou, chicago. For what it's worth.
Skipster
Skipster
Quote Originally Posted by DefinitelyDogs:

Great info from Vegas Insider I read
More people love the overs
Sat 2nd game Seattle @Dallas L14 yrs 3O11U
Sun 1st game LAC @Bal L 14 yrs 3O11U
Avg 1O3U last 6 years wildcard weekend 
Sun 2nd game is 3O3U last 6 yrs
I will play this weekend 
Ind @ Bal - Under
Sea @ Dal - Under 
LAC@Bal - Under (Best play) 1 team barely reaches 10 pts
Prediction LAC 27-10
Phi@Chic - Over (see more of a shootout) Chic Win/cover easily 



Skipster
Skipster
Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629:


That may indeed be the case but how will Jackson fare in the red zone, in a big playoff game? The dude is a turnover waiting to happen. You can’t for one minute think LA will approach the Ravens the same way as they did about a month ago. Tight game, under 10 minutes to go....who you picking? Rivers or Jackson? These are legit questions imo.

I have a play on the Chargers. Also, thinking i might play the Under in Dallas. Lots of running. Lots of Defense. everyone careful to not turn it over. might work.
Skipster
Skipster
Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

This trend would seem to favor Houston, Seattle, Baltimore, and Chicago in this week's action...


Interestingly, Cowboys outrushed Hawks in 2 previous meetings. this season and last. both losing efforts. for what it's worth.
Skipster
Skipster
Of the last 24 SUNDAY wild games, 17 went under the total.

Last 6 years, under is 17-6-1 for both Sat. and Sun.

When road team won outright, under is 14-3-2 last 8 years.

Remember, these are just trends. Make sure you're asking the right questions in the playoffs.

lancer89074
lancer89074
Quote Originally Posted by Goat_12:

LJackson's Passer Rating last 3 games:

91

101.3 (vs. Chargers)

81.8

 

PRivers Passer Rating last 3 games:

89

51.7 (vs. Ravens)

60.4


that may be telling. it may not. compare Rivers long experience as an NFL QB vs Jackson's 15 minutes of fame, for instance.
Skipster
Skipster
Quote Originally Posted by lancer89074:

This trend would seem to favor Houston, Seattle, Baltimore, and Chicago in this week's action...


Maybe. I can imagine a scenario where Zeke outrushes Seattle for instance. Houston's run D is solid for sure, but Mack has been running pretty good. If Colts were to jump out to a lead, would Texans be forced to abandon the run?

But it may help us as bettors to ask the right questions before laying the wood.
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