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Thread Author packersbackers Post Entries
smacksmiter
smacksmiter

Smack...i have bookmarked this thread and will read it later and refresh it over time. an_cheers

Also, i would add that covers has a few hidden gem cappers all over this site...the trick is to find them, befriend them, and learn from them...everyone here can learn how to improve at sports capping once they remove all ego driven motivation, and accept the humility of taking a total misread losing wager, amd trying to understand what went wrong, if anything, so that we dont repeat the same mistakes in the future.

Great thread buddy...a lot of wisdom will come out of this space over time. 

packersbackers
packersbackers

I should have seen this result coming well before placing my bets, and taken the dog to win the 1st set...but alas, thats just not my wagering style.

Oh well, atleast the cap itself was spot on...thats good for confidence moving forward.

packersbackers
packersbackers

Kontaveit +3.5 games...4u

Kontaveit +175 ML...1u

 

This is a play against the kid who's arm looks like its about to fall off from over usage these past few weeks...her fight and heart are undeniable, but shes still just a regular human who's body looks to be on the verge of physcial breakdown...these odds are whack in my opinion, but recency bias is a tennis oddsmaker #1 factor.

clover

packersbackers
packersbackers

The draw has opened up nicely for Shapo too...maybe a run to the semis?

an_popcorn

packersbackers
packersbackers

Locked in:

Harden to win MVP +150

Pure hedge on the amount spent on Giannis wagers...i dont like how the media are spinning Hardens offensive #s this past week despite his team losing...that 61pt effort will be fresh in the voters minds  angry

packersbackers
packersbackers

Locked in:

Aliassime ML +130...could be a classic letdown spot here for HH following the biggest win of his life.

 

an_laugh Kerber: 

https://www.google.com/amp/s/tennistonic.com/tennis-news/59180/andreescu-insulted-by-kerber-after-an-incredible-win-at-the-miami-open/amp

packersbackers
packersbackers

FAA now with a legit shot to make a run to the semis here in Miami with Hurkacz taking out a tired Thiem...and can Bianca's Battalion will her to another upset win vs Kerber in back to back weeks?

an_popcorn

BIGDTITLE
BIGDTITLE

How many Andreescu - Anisimova slam finals are we going to see?

an_tongueout

OlDirtyBaztid
OlDirtyBaztid

new_praise

packersbackers
packersbackers

Pindex theres mainly 2 things that i think will be significant factors for todays final.

Fed having the day off yesterday cant be overstated just how important that will be for him here, and his total dominance vs Thiem on hard courts (small sample size yes, but this is the Goat here vs essentially a clay courter who has indeed been overachieiving on the hard stuff as of late).

I watched the Roanic Thiem match, and the entire time im thinking to myself just how pathetic a server Thiem really is by just spinning and kicking it in, and what an even bigger loser Milos was for not even sniffing a break point until the very last game of the match...Roger should be able to take apart Thiems serve today...i would say 62 64 is very possible here.

packersbackers
packersbackers

Fed vs Thiem

Strong lean:

Fed to win 2-0 sets (-138)

packersbackers
packersbackers

Rafa needs to save his knee for the French...this match today is meaningless for him in the big picture...i can easily see him retiring after the 1st set if he loses it 64 and just walk away blaming his knee rather than taking a 2 set beating to his biggest rival.

packersbackers
packersbackers

Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Fed2.0 has arrived...earlier than most people predicted, however i was one of the first here to make reference to this guy early last year before he started winning multiple challengers...as a 16yr old, Roger took him under his wing for several months during Feds offseason training schedule in Dubai and brought FAA in as a daily hitting partner...just a year later after making waves on the challegers as a 17yr old, here he is making a name for himself in early 2019...amazing story, amazing kid, humble as fuk, and the potential for him as he matures into his frame could be epic...get ready for the Canadian wave of future tennis stars...even Andreescu has proven herself 100% committed to getting into top physcial conditioning and now her talent and hunger and desire to be the best are beginning to shine. I also touted Sabalenka this time last year as a sleeper...so yeah, i love tennis, i love scouting new talented dogs, i love spotting value wherever i can find it...but now its all about watching the evolution of the young guns take the torch and run with it. The real tennis season has begun, and Indian Wells will finally give us some real data and match play to determine where to bet in the upcoming weeks and months to come. Good luck fellas, i will be capping tennis again very soon...lets have another profitable and enjoyable tennis season on this forum and work together to collectively beat our respective books!

Wheres that "patting yourself on the back Barry Horovitz" emoticon when you need it?

With all due respect to Bianca's enornous achievement here, how pathetic is the wta at the moment? The suits behind the wizard of oz curtain must be shitting bricks knowing that their sport and viewership are going into the toilet...soon there will be a bubble point where the sponsors will begin to pull out and equal pay for equal play will be a thing of the past, and the womens game will be looked upon and treated like the LPGA...the entire tour right now is a sham and its likely going to get a lot worse before it ever gets back on the rails.

Now, who's ready for Roger Rafa Chapter 39? 

packersbackers
packersbackers

Giannis now -200 an_horse

packersbackers
packersbackers

Euro my pal...can i vicariously live thru you? My life is all about diapers, feeds, laundry and bathtimes since my little buddy popped out back in October....i have not followed college hoops for basically the entire season...i focused all of my attention on the nba early on this year and have been on a roll ever since.

Looking at tennis more this month.

Have a great time out there peace_5

packersbackers
packersbackers

Quote Originally Posted by tenniscapper41:

pack u know i have to give u shit;-) love u man but i keeps it real man. so i must ask: what about danilovic? lol . you touted her hard too;--)  I know you are about to say what you always say when someone disagrees w u "get lost" lol

I am more mellow nowadays peace_5

Danilovic was on the upswing when i was touting her as a next gen player, but with so many of these "social media princess" wannabes, she likely is making more $$$ off the court modelling and sponsorships so where is the true desire and motivation to make money on the court based on winning...i feel the uglier the player, the better the chance they have to remain motivated even if they are winning becuase the off the court instagram fame and dollars just isnt there for the butch girls.

Danilovic is only 18 so theres plenty of time for her to get the right coach, commit to fitness and work on improving...but as of now, shes just going to be a random top 50 type player if things dont change

packersbackers
packersbackers

I do think he wins, however at -163ML its too steep for my liking

packersbackers
packersbackers

Fed2.0 has arrived...earlier than most people predicted, however i was one of the first here to make reference to this guy early last year before he started winning multiple challengers...as a 16yr old, Roger took him under his wing for several months during Feds offseason training schedule in Dubai and brought FAA in as a daily hitting partner...just a year later after making waves on the challegers as a 17yr old, here he is making a name for himself in early 2019...amazing story, amazing kid, humble as fuk, and the potential for him as he matures into his frame could be epic...get ready for the Canadian wave of future tennis stars...even Andreescu has proven herself 100% committed to getting into top physcial conditioning and now her talent and hunger and desire to be the best are beginning to shine.

I also touted Sabalenka this time last year as a sleeper...so yeah, i love tennis, i love scouting new talented dogs, i love spotting value wherever i can find it...but now its all about watching the evolution of the young guns take the torch and run with it.

The real tennis season has begun, and Indian Wells will finally give us some real data and match play to determine where to bet in the upcoming weeks and months to come.

Good luck fellas, i will be capping tennis again very soon...lets have another profitable and enjoyable tennis season on this forum and work together to collectively beat our respective books!

clover

packersbackers
packersbackers

Tootskie...i totally agree peace_5

Fishmac...nicely done sir peace_5

CircusB...i think they are treating this entire season as a make shift experiment to truly understand what will work for them best in these similar spots come playoff time...Coach Nurse has a special sense of this team...being the chief assistant coach last year in charge of their offensive has really worked out well for him this year...i was a doubter at first, but he looks like hes going to be a very competent HC at this level. peace_5

Miracling peace_5

packersbackers
packersbackers

Raps to win division now -6600 an_horse

GreekFreek to win MVP now -163 an_horse

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