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Thread Author ELDubarino Post Entries
ELDubarino
ELDubarino

2018/19 42.5W / 31L / 7.5P  ( + 9.48u )

OK so heres the deal.  I was really having a hard time finding a play and it started to feel like I was forcing it.  I had covered most of the leagues and saw nothing i liked but when I got to this league I saw a match with Hamburger SV and it made me think that there was a whole category on Jeopardy tonight called Hamburgers where each question was about Hamburgh.  So in a nut shell I felt like this was a sign of some sorts lol 

The handicap of -1/+1 is almost even.  When I see this for the visitor I usually like +1 if I can get it around the even range.  If my hunch is correct than my score line would be 1 to 1 or even nil to 1 for SV Saundhausen.  The door could still be open for the ML to hit for Hamburger but than the +1 becomes a push but the Hamburger ML would hit.  1 nil Hamburg is a possible outcome too.  All my scenarios only have Hamburg scoring a maximum of 1 goal which is why I like 

Hamburger SV TT U1.5 +112 ( 1u to win 1.12u )

I also like to play against a side/total when the juice hits around -133 to 136 which at posting was in play as the TT O1.5 is -136

Should be interesting and of course this play was made after my trip on the balcony.  Take all of this with a grain of salt and remember I'm also crushing a bag of Doritos as I type this.

 

ELDubarino
ELDubarino
****The above write up and play was produced after going out on the balcony ****
ELDubarino
ELDubarino

2018/19 41.5W / 31L / 7.5P  ( + 8.45u )

I don't have any line analysis for this one which is primarily what i like to use for placing wagers.  For this match it is more of a gut feeling.  Newcastle at home is still a tough place to play, the club is well supported and there will be 50k for tomorrows match.  They will not want to get embarrassed in front of their home crowd, I like a scoreline of Newcastle 1 Manchester City 2 or Newcastle 1 Manchester City 3.  Either way I like Newcastle United to at least get a goal tomorrow.

Newcastle United TT O0.5 +103 ( 1u to win 1.03u)

ELDubarino
ELDubarino
****The above write up and play was produced after going out on the balcony ****
ELDubarino
ELDubarino

2018/19 Soccer Overall 40.5W / 31L / 7.5P  ( + 7.45u )

I like this spot when we have the top team going on the road to play a mid table side club.  If the ML odds are usually around -108 to -111 for the top team then I like to make a play on it.  I think this is a 1 nil type scoreline for Racing Club.  I'm not normally strong with any of the South American leagues but I do ok when the scenario mentioned is in play. 

Racing Club ML -110 ( 1.1u to win 1u )

ELDubarino
ELDubarino
Monkee -- its all about the 90 min so I never sweat early goals and I know that goals come in late.  Glad you hit it 


ELDubarino
ELDubarino
39.5W / 31L / 7.5P  ( + 6.34u )

We have both team totals set at 1 and heavily juiced on the under yet the U2.5 total is set at +111.  I like spots like this but its usually the other way around, where the team totals for both are heavily juiced on the overs yet the O2.5 is at plus money.  Ofcourse this is the A League so going with unders is risky but I like the U2.5 in this match.

U2.5 +111 ( 1u to win 1.11u)

****The above write up and play was produced after going out on the balcony ****
jimc0911
jimc0911
Picks from the balcony later tonight 
mr_bollox
mr_bollox
We both make good cases for our plays, different approaches.  Just goes to show that you can take any play and have good analysis made for both sides. 

BOL tomorrow 
ELDubarino
ELDubarino

2018/19 38.5W / 31L / 7.5P  ( + 5.34u )

At first I thought Chelsea ML -154.  That led me to looking at them on the handicap at -1 +121.  I then took a look at the team totals for both.  Chelsea slightly juiced at O1.5 -122 and Tottenham heavily juiced at U1 -246.  This tells me that if we assume Chelsea ML -154 is correct than based on the team totals we are looking at either 2 nil or 2 to 1 Chelsea.  The odds makers dont think Tottenham is going to score tomorrow but couldn't set a team total of 0.5 because everyone would pound the over.  2 nil seems like the correct scoreline but as this is a London Derby I look for Chelsea maybe to lay a 3rd one late

O2.5 -102 ( 1.02u to win 1u)

****The above write up and play was produced after going out on the balcony ****

jimc0911
jimc0911
Gentlemen 
jimc0911
jimc0911
Quote Originally Posted by benhogan76:

Could you imagine the out cry from that Uber loser who petitioned NFL before game to get Ref removed because he was biased against Rams   Worst missed call in history of sports that leads to Evil empire and #TOMTERRIFIC win another SB

Hmmmmm.....worst missed call in sports? Gretzky high stick on Gilmour in the 93 playoffs for me.  The ref and both linesman missed it and that was back in the day when linesman were allowed to assist with high sticking infractions.

Rat boy wanted his precious Kings in the final and by golly he got it. Of course the Leafs could have won game 7 but game 7 only existed because of Rat Boy. 
PeterBlack
PeterBlack
Quote Originally Posted by PeterBlack:

Congrats to BenHogan on staying up!


El Dub  I'm sure we will see you back up!  Keep your eye out for promotion playoff following CPL XVII

Thanks Peter.  Will do. 
PeterBlack
PeterBlack
Quote Originally Posted by ELDubarino:

Sunday 

AFC Asian Cup 

Vietnam DNB +248

Pinnacle 


Sorry this was posted in the wrong thread 
PeterBlack
PeterBlack
Sunday

AFC Asian Cup

Vietnam DNB +248

Pinnacle 

PeterBlack
PeterBlack
Sunday 

AFC Asian Cup 

Vietnam DNB +248

Pinnacle 

PeterBlack
PeterBlack
Saturday 

England Premier League 

Watford TT O1.5 -143

Pinnacle 
PeterBlack
PeterBlack
Thursday missed 

Friday 

England Championship 

Birmingham City TT O0.5 -204

Pinnacle 

PeterBlack
PeterBlack
Wednesday

Mexico Cup

Universidad Guadalahara / Pumas UNAM Draw +250

Pinnacle



PeterBlack
PeterBlack
Tuesday 

Mexico Cup

Chivas Guadalahara / Cafetaleros U2.5 +113

Pinnacle 

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