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Thread Author snuke Post Entries
snuke
snuke
Just curious, did Covers get rid of team experts based on contest picks?
snuke
snuke
King of Covers / Server Error / View Post
Anyone else getting a server error? I'm trying to join the nba king of covers league and it keeps giving me a server 500 error.
gamblerdevil911
gamblerdevil911
I love the Rangers but I get the feeling that Henrik is already preparing for his post-NHL modeling career. The quality of his play in the net has been seriously declining over the last year and a half. This game alone he has allowed to very questionable goals.
Covers
Covers
Quote Originally Posted by NashvilleScott:

The Over/Under is 220????
  Must have been an data entry mistake.  I took the under, of course!
Covers
Covers
GS +8 without blinking
snuke
snuke
Quote Originally Posted by itagent:

No offense, but as far as your statement that nobody should be below 60%, you'd probably be best served on another site because you certainly don't know much about this stuff.


And like I said from the beginning, when I get to zero, sometimes I'll make a pick based on minimal research at best, because you have nothing to lose once your back to zero.  That alone eats into your overall percentage.

Anyway, I just got back to .500 on a 5 game win streak (631-631-44).....so I'm guessing I'll lose my next 7 picks now, hehe.
Seriously though, I've been researching my picks even at zero now since I really wanted to get back to .500.  Now if I can just stay there....
snuke
snuke
I'm so close to getting back to .500.  Really need to stop making quick picks after a loss.
snuke
snuke
NBA Betting / Knicks-Heat o/u / View Post
snuke
snuke
NBA Betting / Knicks-Heat o/u / View Post
Looking good for the over so far.  BOL to everyone!
snuke
snuke
Quote Originally Posted by itagent:

68 games over now (629-561). Still only a tad under 53%, so not that great.

That's really pretty good.  If any of the picks you make when you are back to zero are just on a whim (like I do sometimes) that may skew your percentage down a bit.
snuke
snuke
Knicks-Heat OVER 201


GL!

Pick Record this Season:
11/24 Cavs-Heat OVER 196.5 -> WIN
11/23 Knicks-Rockets OVER 198 -> WIN
snuke
snuke
11/24 Cavs-Heat OVER 196.5

GL!

Last Pick:
11/23 Knicks-Rockets OVER 198 -> WIN
snuke
snuke
Over 198

Lots of shots in this one.

GL!
Covers
Covers
Wow, NW is going to choke this one away.  Their defense completely collapsed.  Terrible job.
snuke
snuke
Quote Originally Posted by brent0887:

298-288-10
best streak 9


Brent, from your avatar it appears you put the hat from your 9 game win streak to good use!! 

Awesome dog!
all-balls
all-balls
Gotta hand it to Harden.
Randisist
Randisist
snuke
snuke
Chad Fairchild is the HP ump in this one.  He has the lowest called strike rate on pitches outside of the PitchFX strikezone since 2011 (6.5%).

This favors the OVER as pitchers will not be getting those extra strikes, meaning more walks.  Batters will be able to be more selective.
snuke
snuke
*Tim Welke
snuke
snuke
Time Welke is scheduled to be behind the plate for tonight's games.  Since 2011, he's had the highest called strike rate among all umpires on pitches outside the PitchFX defined strike zone (12.4%).

However, he's also had the LOWEST called strike rate on pitches inside the strike zone in that span (75.4%).

So basically he has a very expansive strike zone but fails to consistently call strikes inside the strike zone.  Essentially he's the worst HP umpire in the game right now. 

Normally his inconsistency would make me side with the over.  But with it set at 9 and with Westbrook and Kennedy on the mound, go with the under.  Welke's tendency to expand the zone will probably do more for these control pitchers.