PM JackBauer


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5 Dimes has been around for a long time. I have bet there since 2005. Their cashout process is kind of lame ( you have to go through a phone call and email verification), but they pay. They also have lines on just about anything. 

The website is definitely dated, but overall, a very solid book. 


I opened an account at Heritage a little over a year ago, and recently requested a withdrawal. I was told I needed to be "verified" and that I must provide a copy of my identification (front and back) and a utility bill, and also a credit card even though I deposited using Bitcoin. My initial thoughts screamed scam, as why the hell do they need that? 

I recently withdrew funds from 5Dimes and had to go through the BS phone and email verification, but they never asked for ID, utility bill, or credit card, and as both are in Costa Rica I must assume it isn't a law. (As if there were such things in Costa Rica)

Is this normal procedure there? Has anybody had difficulty getting their funds from Heritage? 

With identity theft as rampant as it is, this gives me serious pause. 

Appreciate any thoughts on this matter.

I use a similar formula to get a base line number. VGPOP adds some very valuable information to the base number. You need to come up with values for each of those variations to round your number into form. 

Just remember these factors are also built into the line LVSC puts out. 

I would also recommend using your own power ratings to come up with a line. I use a similar pace-formula and compare it with my power ratings in order to come up with several lines. 

These are then compared with the posted numbers, and when my lines agree,  and IMO are sharper than theirs, it is a play.
JackBauer replied to Butler to Philly
in NBA Betting

I see the Sixers turning into the Wiz. Plenty of talent, no chemistry. I guess we shall see.

JackBauer replied to folks buying in for the min
in Poker
Players that don't trust their skills tend to limit their losses by buying in for the min. Kind of their own stop-loss strategy. 

I don't understand it either. They are better off playing a $50 SNG. 

But hey, it's great for the good players at the table, just keep whittling them down.
JackBauer replied to Bovada SnG's and Tournaments
in Poker
Quote Originally Posted by DizBSpeedy:

Bovada poker is legit. Me and alot of people i know play on there. not the best poker site but what hey what can ya do? cant play on tilt or stars any more. Good luck

Agreed. Play on any site, or play live long enough you are going to see plenty of crazy stuff happen. 

It's sickening that in the USA (allegedly the land of the free) that we aren't free to play on any poker site, or have legal poker rooms in every state. I live in Texas and I can't legally play Texas Hold'em for real cash (charities not-withstanding) so Bovada it is!
I like the Rebels in this spot as well. TCU is only favored because the masses fell in love with them this season. This should be a pick-em or Ole Miss -1. Good luck.
JackBauer created a topic Week 3 Early Leans
in NFL Betting

Been a long time since I posted anything on this forum, but it's still here, and so am I so.....

Houston @ NY Giants +2

The Giants have been inept in their first two games this season whereas the Texans look like they are back in their playoff form from a couple years ago. Of course my mantra in the NFL is: 'No team is as good or as bad as they looked the week before." This is a terrible spot for Houston however. A road trip to Oakland last week, then a trip to the east coast this Sunday to face a humiliated team coached by Tom Coughlin. I believe there is a good chance for a Houston letdown.

Lean NY Giants +2 ( If the number doesn't get to 3, I'll be on the ML)

Indianapolis @ Jacksonville +7

The Colts have faced some serious competition in their first two games against teams that will most likely both win their divisions. Now it's time for the hapless Jaguars. Laying 7 on the road in the NFL is about as smart as slamming your d%&k in a car door, but is there any reason Andrew Luck won't take out his frustrations on the Jags secondary?

Lean Indianapolis -7 (Somebody please talk me out of this....)

Kansas City @ Miami - 4 1/2

The Chiefs can't be as bad as they've shown in their first two weeks can they? Smith got rattled in Week 1 by the Titans, but showed some spark against the mighty Broncos. I don't like the fact that they have to travel to Miami a week after being in Mile High, but I just don't see the Chiefs starting 0-3.

Lean Kansas City +4 1/2

As of now, these are just leans I have from looking over this week's card. Still waiting on a few lines, and I may post some more later.

Any information, objections, and general harassment are welcome here! GL

Just when I thought it was over, Pitt takes it away! What a game!

And what was Ed Reed thinking coming out of the end zone with that pick?

Oh yeah, it was Pittsburgh!

Charlie Batch is so, so bad....

As I sat at Boomer Jacks watching my Giants ticket burn in flames, draining Dos Equis and munching on coconut shrimp with my brother 'n law I posed the question: 'Why do I continue  to back these donkeys?'

His answer: 'Stay the course, this was a blip on the radar. How would anybody think that the Bungles would house the Giants?'

Good advice. Here are some of the games that surprised me....

NYG@ Cincy: As stated before, WTF?

NYJ@ Sea: Not a shocker, but where is Tebow? We need Tebow!!!!!!!!!!!!

Buf @ NE: I actually thought my Pats were going to lose this game. They just refuse to play defense....

As we head into the night game, give me your best/worst plays and the thought process behind them. This is an extremely helpful/unappreciated tool in the handicapping process!




I made the Jags a one point fave here. The week after Indy's win over Green Bay and the whole Chuck Strong drama the Colts got boat-raced by a weak Jets team.

Enter an emotional win and speech from the coach, a short week, and a massive letdown should ensue.....

Good luck. I'll be on the Jags with you.

JackBauer replied to some help
in NFL Betting

Ask a mod, given the circumstances, I'm sure they'll allow you to change it.

Have to agree rosaritoking. Nobody wants to coach the Cowboys, and Jerra may just know that.

It depends on several factors.

What is your personal risk aversion? If you lose 50% of your bankroll in a single day, can you reload?

You are better off risking less (say 1-2% per play). This way you won't be risking a large percentage of your bankroll at any one time, and you will not be limiting the amount of plays that you feel you can make money on.

As far as changing the size of your bets, take a look at some Covers alleged 'experts'. I recently looked at one of their "last 10" results:

7-3 up 1.85 units....that is ridiculous. He should have been up over 3 units, but by betting a 1-10 star system (absolutely idiotic btw) he hadn't cleared 2 units going 70%!!!

I am not however saying that you should not increase or decrease the size of your bets depending upon expected value. What I am saying is that if you're prediction gives you a 60% EV on Team A, and a 55% EV on Team C, it would be inane to bet Team A at 10 units, and Team C at 5 units. Your EV is only 5% different!!!


Check out great site for basketball, contains some excellent information on developing your own formulas.

Read Michael Murray's Betting Baseball.

Be really good with excel!


Quote Originally Posted by OnlyGod:

Sure I'll wait I got nothing better to do for a little while.  Do you have some figures Mr. ?

Here are some of figures....I will post more as you digest them...I'm assuming you meant Alberta correct?

As an affluent, high-tech industrial society in the trillion-dollar class, Canada resembles the US in its market-oriented economic system, pattern of production, and affluent living standards. Since World War II, the impressive growth of the manufacturing, mining, and service sectors has transformed the nation from a largely rural economy into one primarily industrial and urban. The 1989 US-Canada Free Trade Agreement (FTA) and the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) (which includes Mexico) touched off a dramatic increase in trade and economic integration with the US, its principal trading partner. Canada enjoys a substantial trade surplus with the US, which absorbs about three-fourths of Canadian exports each year. Canada is the US's largest foreign supplier of energy, including oil, gas, uranium, and electric power. Given its great natural resources, skilled labor force, and modern capital plant, Canada enjoyed solid economic growth from 1993 through 2007. Buffeted by the global economic crisis, the economy dropped into a sharp recession in the final months of 2008, and Ottawa posted its first fiscal deficit in 2009 after 12 years of surplus. Canada's major banks, however, emerged from the financial crisis of 2008-09 among the strongest in the world, owing to the financial sector's tradition of conservative lending practices and strong capitalization. During 2010, Canada's economy grew only 3%, due to decreased global demand and a highly valued Canadian dollar.

You guys rock!!!!

More stats forthcoming!!!


Quote Originally Posted by picc818:

unfortunately eBay has succumbed to corporate greed and rapes the sellers with exorbitant fees. add the paypal (also owned by eBay) fees and it is difficult to be successful. the other challenge is finding a product that people want and sell it at a competitive price. finding an offshore wholesaler is a good idea but you really need to find one that is reputable.  if you're serious about this, you may be better off investing in your own website. but the product is essential. do your homework before making the investment.

Good points all, let me add that since 2008 sellers cannot submit negative feedback to buyers. Talk about a kick in the shorts. So lets get this straight, the sellers, (that pay all of eBay's exorbitant fees BTW) have almost no recourse if a buyer decides to leave negative feedback.

All that said, eBay still has 92 million users. (figures actually taken from the wsj) which means they are a viable candidate to market your product.

If your product is an original, use eBay as cheap advertisement. Link your website to your eBay store and sell the products for 5% less than you would on eBay.

The Hawk,

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