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Thread Author gollum Post Entries
RBIProducer
RBIProducer
I agree 100% that ESPN overhypes the crap out of all this and it will only get worse when they actually sign somewhere. But I do find it funny that you are telling people they shouldn't invest time worrying about free agency yet have invested your time reading articles about how much everyone cares about free agency. 
revengeissweet1
revengeissweet1
Scheduled to pitch for the Pirates today are RHP Charlie Morton, RHP Brandon Cumpton, LHP Yao-Hsun Yang, RHP Vin Mazzaro, LHP Andy Oliver and RHP Josh Kinney.
revengeissweet1
revengeissweet1
GameHunter
GameHunter
Quote Originally Posted by Coatsy:

Pretty sure it's a good idea to understand the rules before you decide to enter the fray of sports betting.

explain to me how this comment is relevant to anything. Should people have known the rule for play being suspended with 1 out remaining and foreseen it happening? 
GameHunter
GameHunter
Ya what bullshit, they figure braves betters will see the tigers up 1 through 9 and not notice the rule. Time for me to get my money out of there. 
gollum
gollum
based on their rules I believe they braves should be winners because they were winning after 8, but your bet may have been graded a loss both ways!! Definitely complain if you bet the braves, maybe if you bet the tigers too!
gollum
gollum
At betanysports.eu (which I believe is a subsidiary of 5dimes) they graded both the braves and tigers as losses. I know this because I bet the tigers and then bought back with the braves. When I inquired on why tigers were a loser I was told:
Kim: The Detroit/Atlanta game has been called in a rain shortened game in the bottom of the ninth. Atlanta did not complete their final at bat. For betting purposes the game reverts to the last completed inning
I think inquired as to why the braves were also declared a loser to which I was told: 

Kim: you had the braves to win

Kim: they lost by one

Now I'm sure they'll grade one a winner, but be careful if you bet either on betanysports or any subsidiary of 5dimes!!!
GameHunter
GameHunter
At betanysports.eu (which I believe is a subsidiary of 5dimes) they graded both the braves and tigers as losses. I know this because I bet the tigers and then bought back with the braves. When I inquired on why tigers were a loser I was told:
Kim: The Detroit/Atlanta game has been called in a rain shortened game in the bottom of the ninth. Atlanta did not complete their final at bat. For betting purposes the game reverts to the last completed inning
I think inquired as to why the braves were also declared a loser to which I was told: 

Kim: you had the braves to win

Kim: they lost by one

Now I'm sure they'll grade one a winner, but be careful if you bet either on betanysports or any subsidiary of 5dimes!!!
ilovethathook
ilovethathook
this event revolving around an unknown sport will make more money than any UFC ppv ever. 
toddmc9136
toddmc9136
309: mayweather wins without the fight going 12 rounds. 100 to win 571
311: mayweather wins the fight by judges decision (probably only after 12 rounds)
317: mayweather wins the fight, draw or canelo win would be a loss
375: mayweather wins by any decision (unanimous, majority or split) and it will include a technical decision if the fight is stopped early and goes to the judges scorecards.
379: mayweather wins by either a knockout (usually includes KO, TKO, or disqualification) or wins by unanimous decision (all 3 judges have him winning the fight after 12 rounds)
387: Mayweather wins by unanimous decision (all 3 judges have him winning the fight after 12 rounds)

honestly though, if you can't figure these out for yourself you may be better off not gambling on the fight 
gollum
gollum
ya weather didn't really factor into my thought process just thought wet balls may be more difficult to catch, but watching MSU receivers last year dry balls are plenty tough to grab. 
gollum
gollum
Thanks TJ you too 

While you are right WMU did not cover any of those games, they did stay within todays 28 pt number in all of them. The offensive line should be good this year, but I respectively disagree on your Bell assessment. Bell averaged 4.7 yards per carry. That is when the defense knew he was getting the ball. He is also not a speed guy, his long on the season was 40 so that ypc is not inflated at all. Guess what the rest of the RBs combined averaged per carry... 1.35 yards per. That is not a typo, they TOTALED 149 yards on 110 carries. That is when the defense was likely much less focused on them. Bell was a beast, plain and simple, and while the line was decent, it was constantly injured and he dominated by running over and through defenders.  BOL with your bet though I hope you have a winner 
gollum
gollum
Another potential factor leading to the under is that beginning at game time and continuing throughout the game there is a 40% chance of rain and scattered thunderstorms. If mother nature does show her wrath it increases the likelihood of a sloppy and low scoring game.
gollum
gollum
I will be betting Under 45 in this game. Here is why:

Michigan State has a great defense and a completely unproven offense. As most of you likely know LeVeon Bell forwent his senior season to go pro. That is a major hit to the MSU offense. Bell rushed for 1793 yards last year on 382 carries. That was good for 92.3% of MSU's rushing yards. He also hauled in 32 passes good for 5th in receptions on last years team. That is a lot of offense to replace. I do expect the passing game to be much improved from last year (hard to go anywhere but up), but MSU will be missing Starting Right Tackle Fou Fonoti from the starting lineup and will be without their 3rd guard Jack Allen because of injury. MSU will likely be experimenting with a number of RBs and we will probably see Connor Cook following starter Andrew Maxwell at some point in the game. 

On the Western Michigan side let me first say that everything I know about WMU football besides their mascot I learned in the last couple days. That being said, they are missing their top 2 receivers from last year, after posting 41 catches for 629 yards and 5 TDs Eric Monette graduated, and their leading receiver last year, Sophmore Jamie Wilson broke his ankle and will not play in the game. Between the two of them they combined for 40.8% of WMU receiving yards last year and 35.5% of their total receptions. WMU does return their top RB, but as I expect they will be down early they will probably be leaning on their Senior QB to keep them in the game. 

WMU has started their season on the road against big 10 opponents the last 4 seasons. In those games: 
Last year: lost  to Illinois 24-7 (as 10 pt dog and 50.5 O/U)
2011: lost to Michigan 34-10 (as 14.5 dogs and 57.5 O/U)  
2010: lost to MSU 38-14 (as 22.5 pt dog and 50.5 O/U) 
2009: lost to Michigan 31-7 (as 13 pt dog and 53 O/U) 

That shows us that these games tend to be low scoring. All but the MSU game in 2010 went under both the posted number and the lower number of todays game. Notably that MSU team was much more explosive offensively behind Kirk Cousins and the defense was not as good as I expect this years squad to be. 

For MSU in similar games: 
last year they played Central Michigan week 2 winning 41-7 as 18 pt favs and a o/u of 48. CMU's only TD came on a pick six with under 2 minutes left in the game thrown by backup QB Connor Cook. 
MSU also played Eastern Michigan in week 4 winning 23-7 as 31.5 pt favs w/ an o/u of 47.5. That game was extremely ugly don't want to get into it. 
In week 1, two years ago MSU beat Youngstown St 28-6 as 34 pt favs and an o/u of 61.5. 
The next week they blanked Florida Atlantic 44-0 (-32, o/u 49). 
week 4 they beat CMU 45-7 (-21.5, o/u 49.5). 

So as we can see, in the last 2 years when MSU played as big favs against out of conference teams they never yielded more than 7 pts. I expect more of the same tonight. 

I will be surprised if MSU puts up more than 34 pts and if WMU puts up more than 10. Therefore the under seems like a very good play tonight.

BOL to everyone with all your bets. Lets make some 

gollum
gollum
Good luck Crash 
gollum
gollum
dustin johnson +168 over tiger rd 3. Tiger is overvalued, he has not played well round 3 of majors lately. You can't tell me Tiger wins this matchup more than 62.6% of the time. 
LuckyGuy
LuckyGuy
NHL Betting / NHL Wednesday / View Post
Quote Originally Posted by utfootball4:

Come on bro, stop trying to be different with these dogs pod.

Ya bro, we all know only favorites win
gollum
gollum
http://sports.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-%E2%80%93-the-new-way-to-bet-online--161411695.html

just curious if anybody knows anything more about this or has used it yet?
skynight
skynight
Pop doesn't give a garbage about Stern and Miami is the NBAs cash cow 
bleek88
bleek88
Jamal Crawford said he is unlikely to play tonight, but still nothing official yet from the team.

http://www.rotoinfo.com/playerupdate/171261/Clippers-Jamal%20Crawford-G/