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The Hawk
The Hawk

Due in large measure to Anothertwistafate's iffy Kentucky Derby points situation following his defeat in the Lexington, he exits my Top 10 this week. His defection opened the door for Fountain of Youth Stakes winner Code of Honor to move back onto the Top 10 at No. 9. Code of Honor will be going into the Kentucky Derby off a third behind Maximum Security and Bodexpress in the $1 million Florida Derby at Gulfstream on March 30. 

“Long Range Toddy ranked No. 7 last week, but he tumbles to No. 10 this week after he finished sixth, nearly 15 lengths behind Omaha Beach, in the Arkansas Derby. I did not drop Long Range Toddy off the Top 10 this week because there is a possibility he just did not care for the sloppy track in the Arkansas Derby. He had never raced on a wet track before. Long Range Toddy did show what he's capable of doing on a fast track when he won a division of the Rebel by a neck over Improbable. 

“Because War of Will had a terrific workout last Saturday at Keeneland, five furlongs in a 59.00 seconds, fastest of 44 works at the distance, I have moved him up a notch this week to No. 4. Trained by Mark Casse, War of Will finished ninth as the 4-5 favorite in the $1 million Louisiana Derby on March 23. War of Will abruptly lost his footing behind in the first few strides of the Louisiana Derby, then came out of the race with a strained patellar ligament, according to Casse. But War of Will now has had two sharp workouts since the Louisiana Derby. He also worked four furlongs in :48.80 at Keeneland on April 6. 

“Prior to War of Will's Louisiana Derby debacle, he had never been beaten when racing on the dirt. He won a maiden race on the dirt at Churchill last Nov. 24 when the track was sloppy. War of Will then took a pair of stakes races on the dirt in New Orleans. He won the Lecomte by four lengths on Jan. 19 and Risen Star by 2 1/4 lengths on Feb. 16. Two of his victims in the Risen Star were Owendale and Plus Que Parfait. Owendale finished eighth in the Risen Star before winning the Lexington. Plus Que Parfait finished 13th in the Risen Star, then won the $2.5 million UAE Derby. 

“Here are this week's rankings, courtesy of Xpressbet: 

1. Omaha Beach (1)
2. Maximum Security (2)
3. Game Winner (3)
4. War of Will (5)
5. Roadster (4)
6. Improbable (6)
7. Tacitus (9)
8. Vekoma (10)
9. Code of Honor (NR)
10. Long Range Toddy (7)”

ENJOY, B*STARDS!

The Hawk
The Hawk

“The very instant the Arkansas Derby was over, speculation commenced as to whether Smith would opt to ride Omaha Beach or Roadster in the Kentucky Derby. Omaha Beach is Smith's choice. For Omaha Beach to have ‘Big Money’ Mike Smith aboard in the $3 million Kentucky Derby certainly is a big plus. Meanwhile, Baffert has named Florent Geroux to ride Roadster in the Run for the Roses. 

“The 35-race series in which horses earn qualifying points for the Kentucky Derby concluded last Saturday with the Arkansas Derby and Keeneland's $200,000 Lexington Stakes. Owendale won the 1 1/16-mile Lexington, defeating runner-up Anothertwistafate by 1 3/4 lengths. Sueno finished third. 

“As of today, no one from the Lexington has enough points to start in the 1 1/4-mile Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 4. Anothertwistafate has 38 points and Sueno 32 points to rank 23rd and 24th, respectively, on the Kentucky Derby points standings. Owendale is 29th with 20 points. 

“The number of points required at this time to start in the Kentucky Derby is 40. Spinoff and Bodexpress each have 40, but Spinoff gets preference to start because of his $224,000 in nonrestricted stakes earnings compared to Bodexpress' $188,000. Since the points system was instituted in 2013, Mo Tom's 32 were the most points required to start in the Kentucky Derby. 

“Spinoff currently is No. 19 on the Kentucky Derby points standings, while Bodexpress is No. 21. In addition to the 19 horses who have qualified to start in this year's Kentucky Derby because they have accumulated the most points, the 20th and final spot goes to Master Fencer, who qualified via what is called the Japan Road to the Kentucky Derby. 


The Hawk
The Hawk
 

 

 JON WHITE’S KENTUCKY DERBY RANKINGS

Time to turn our attention to the Kentucky Derby. As always, we’re lucky to have top expert Jon White take a look at what’s happening there. Jon makes the morning line at Santa Anita, he’s a licensed steward and he’s the preeminent historian on racing. We’re lucky to have him. So, here’s his Kentucky Derby rankings, brought courtesy of Xpressbet.com: 

“In the Feb. 8 edition of this newsletter, Omaha Beach debuted on my Kentucky Derby rankings. At that time I wrote: ‘The newcomer to the Top 10 this week is Omaha Beach at No. 9. After finishing second in three straight starts, the War Front colt won a seven-furlong maiden race in the slop by nine lengths at Santa Anita last Saturday. Not only was it a visually impressive performance, his final time was an excellent 1:21.02.’ 

“On March 16, Omaha Beach won a division of the Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park by a nose. Finishing second was Game Winner. Going into the Rebel, I had Game Winner ranked No. 1. Omaha Beach was No. 8. 

“In the March 22 edition of this newsletter after the Rebel, Omaha Beach rose to No. 1 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10. At that time I wrote: ‘My rankings are a reflection as to how I view a horse's chances to win the Kentucky Derby. Right now, the horse I personally think has the best chance to win the roses is Omaha Beach, which is why I ultimately decided to move him up to No. 1 this week. But let's just say Omaha Beach is in the top spot by only a nose over Game Winner.’ 

“After Game Winner's narrow defeat in the Rebel, he would go on to finish second to Roadster in the $1 million Santa Anita Derby on April 7. Following Game Winner's loss in the Santa Anita Derby, he moved down a notch on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 to No. 3. 

“As for Omaha Beach, he won last Saturday's $1 million Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn to strengthen his No. 1 ranking on my Top 10. 


TO BE CONTINUED...

mikeyp1
mikeyp1

Tremendous write-up/info.

Won some money with an Exacta Box, and a Tri Wheel.

Didn't see Laughing fox, or I could have turned a dime into 31.44. That's literally a 10-cent superfecta, har-har.

See you at The Derby. Hard to wheel a 20-horse field, that's for surean_horse

 

Moosecityusa
Moosecityusa

Yeah, it's CRAZY how a NO. 1 SEED WON. I mean, who would have thunk it, right?

And, Virginia MAKING 12 OF 12 FREE THROWS PROVES HOW IT WAS RIGGED! You don't think they can actually shoot that well, do you? Or did you not notice whenever UVA shot a free throw, the ref gave him  NERF BASKETBALL, which is much smaller than a regulation basketball, and easier fit for a regulation rim!? I'm shocked, shocked, I tell you that more people didn't notice...an_eek2

veronica27
veronica27

You cannot tell me this is not drug induced gibberish. The verbal diarrhea of this moron is incredible.confused

scalabrine
scalabrine

9 is a b*stard number for LSU....

HockeyTeeth
HockeyTeeth

ILBT

mikeyp1
mikeyp1

i had Bourbon War. For second, the hockey guy, Eddie Olczyk, had Bodemeister SECOND. He called it, and IT HAPPENED. That 30-1 shot (60-1 at post time) sent exactas, and trifectas through the roof! Wished it could have been mine....an_horse

Daddy_Freddie
Daddy_Freddie

My late brother. Was 18 when he died. I was 20. Man, I don't know about you, but I gained a considerable amount of "experience" during those years. Which he never got a chance for. Pity.

Kidbooo
Kidbooo

Crack makes people do funny things.....

jflydaddy
jflydaddy

Spartan by marriage...thumbs_up

THEMUGG
THEMUGG

Good callthumbs_up

undermysac
undermysac

Guess that 3-yr for $48 mil the Steelers offered wasn't enough. Nice going, stupidan_clap

zebrakiller
zebrakiller

`1968 chevy impala. The back seat on that one was like a couch...an_wink

cash8037
cash8037

Sadly, I've posted this one before. March Madness staying in Reno (living in N. California at the time), bet 9 NCAA games, and 3 NBA games. LOST THEM ALL. I mean, that is practically statistically impossible! F!angry

zebrakiller
zebrakiller

Tail-gate

HockeyTeeth
HockeyTeeth

Santana Abraxus was pretty groovy in its day...

Sgt. Pepper backstory. If you notice the fancy uniforms, there is a patch on Sir Pauls arm that says, OPD.

That's because it was for the Ontario Police Department.

But there was a "Paul is Dead" theory going on then, and that cult thought it meant Officially Pronounced Dead....peace

Lippsman
Lippsman

My goto site for college football injury updates....

strippersnbens
strippersnbens

What, no born on date?

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