The Washington Huskies head to Corvalis to take on the Oregon State Beavers on Friday night. The Huskies are 10-point favorites despite sitting behind the Beavers in the conference standings.
Washington has lost it's last two games to fall to 5-4, while the 4-4 Beavers are coming off back to back wins on the road against Cal and Arizona
We break down the odds with our best bets and predictions for the latest rendition of Pac-12 After Dark.
WASHINGTON HUSKIES AT OREGON STATE BEAVERS (+10, 65 @ BETAMERICA)
The Washington Huskies get off to fast starts, averaging 10.4 ppg in the opening quarter, the seventh-highest total in the FBS.
While Oregon State's offense also comes to play early, putting up 8.4 ppg in the first quarter, it's defense does not. The Beavers allow 6.9 ppg in the first quarter. The Huskies, on the other hand, have the fifth-best first-quarter defense in the country, allowing just 1.6 ppg in the first 15 minutes.
Take Wash on the 1Q spread.
PICK: First quarter Wash -3.5 (-105)
FIRST HALF BET
Both these sides can score, and can score early. Washington averages 18.4 ppg in the first half and Oregon puts up 17.1. The Beavers also give up a whopping 19 ppg before halftime which ranks outside the top-100 schools in the FBS.
Oregon State has had problems in their secondary all season and give up 273.3 passing yards per game to FBS foes. That's bad news against a Washington attack led by quarterback Jacob Eason (2,297 passing yards and 20 passing touchdowns). We like the Over on the first half total.
PICK: First Half Over 33.5 (-110)
While we're not sure if Washington can cover this spread (read below for the full breakdown of that wager) we are confident that they can win the game outright. Although the Huskies have lost two in a row, keep in mind that both games came against ranked opponents Utah and Oregon that are a combined 16-2. And they were very competitive in both contests, losing by four points to the Ducks and by five points against the Utes.
Oregon State, on the other hand has yet to play the Ducks and got crushed 52-7 at home against Utah on October 12. A matter of fact the Beavers are still looking for their first win of the season at home against an FBS opponent, with their lone victory at Reser Stadium coming against FCS Cal Poly.
The Huskies also have a first-half scoring margin of plus-7.6 ppg, while the Beavers are minus-1.9 ppg. Take Washington to win both halves.
PICK: Double Result - Washington/Washington (-143)
FULL GAME TOTAL
These teams aren't just about first-half scoring, they continue their offensive fireworks throughout the end of the game. The two sides combine for 65.4 ppg against Div-1 opponents (Washington with 33.4 ppg and OSU with 32) and wouldn't you know it, the total for this game is set at 65.
While Oregon should have a hard time limiting Washington's passing game, the Huskies aren't going to have an easy time against the Beavers offensive weapons. Oregon State is led by a two-headed rushing attack with Artavis Pierce and Jermar Jefferson (combining for 1098 rushing yards and 5.8 yards per carry). But don't sleep on their passing game; quarterback Jake Luton has thrown for 1930 yards and 19 touchdowns against just one interception, while WR Isaiah Hodgins leads the conference in receiving with 895 yards and 12 TDs.
This isn't the same dominant defense the Huskies had last year. This season they are allowing 392.2 yards per game versus FBS foes, a number which places them at a very ordinary 56th in the country. With the Over 5-2 in the Huskies last seven contests, we like it to hit again.
PICK: Over 65 (-110)
FULL GAME SIDE
While Washington has the better team on paper, they could have a difficult time covering this spread on the road. These teams are seemingly moving in opposite directions, with Oregon State going 3-1 in their last four games while Washington is 1-3, and there are a few reasons why OSU can keep it close.
The Beavers are the best program in the country in terms of playing mistake free football, turning the ball over just twice all year. They have yet to lose a single fumble and Luton has thrown only one interception on 255 pass attempts (backup QB Tristan Gebbia threw the other INT).
Oregon State also has one of the best offenses at converting on third down, ranking 10th in the country with a 49 percent conversion rate against FBS opponents. Washington ranks outside the top-100 in that category, converting on just 33 percent of third-down opportunites.
By playing their typical mistake-free style of football and sustaining drives, Oregon State should be able to cover this line.
PICK: Oregon State +10 (-110)