College basketball odds, picks and predictions: No place like the road for Kansas

Feb 10, 2020 |

Kansas has been terrific on the road but will be tested against West Virginia on Wednesday, while undefeated San Diego State looks to lengthen their win streak on Tuesday. We break down the college basketball odds for those games and much more as we bring you the best betting notes, picks and predictions across the NCAA.

RADFORD HIGHLANDERS AT WINTHROP EAGLES

This Big South matchup might not look like the sexiest game on Monday's card (although we also have a betting preview for Duke-FSU if you'd prefer), but it could prove very profitable for Under bettors. Winthrop has surged to a 18-7 record thanks to a high-scoring lineup that is averaging 80.6 points per game. But the Eagles have gone cold over their last two games, averaging just 66 ppg. 

Radford is solid on the defensive end of the floor, holding opponents to 65.3 ppg on 40.6 percent shooting, and the Highlanders play at one of the slowest paces in the country. These teams combined for just 117 points when they tangled three weeks ago and we like the Under 142 to hit on Monday.   

NEW MEXICO LOBOS AT SAN DIEGO AZTECS

The Aztecs remain the only undefeated team in the country. San Diego State is 24-0 and has covered the spread in each of its last three contests (winning every game by at least 12 points).

On Tuesday the Aztecs host the New Mexico Lobos who are 19th in the country in scoring and 10th in field goal percentage. But don't expect the Lobos to score like they usually do against an Aztecs team that limits opponents to just 58.3 ppg on 37.7 percent shooting. Especially when you consider that SDSU crushed New Mexico by a score of 85-57 just two weeks ago in Albuquerque.

With San Diego State clicking on offense lately - putting up at least 80 points in each of its last three games - look for the Aztecs to cover the spread. 

 

NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH AT VIRGINIA CAVALIERS

The reigning National Champions have the top scoring defense in the nation but Notre Dame might be up for the challenge on Tuesday night. The Fighting Irish have scored at least 80 points in five of their last six games.

The Fighting Irish have the outside shooting needed against Virginia's pack line defense, ranking ninth in the country (and third among Power Six conference schools) in 3-pointers per game with 10. They are also very careful with the ball, committing just 9.9 turnovers per game, third-fewest in the country.

Even with Virginia's notoriously slow pace and tenacious defense, Notre Dame should be able to go Over what will be a very low team total.

KANSAS JAYHAWKS AT WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS

We've got a battle between two of the best teams in the Big 12 on Wednesday as the Kansas Jayhawks take on the West Virginia Mountaineers. The Mountaineers are coming off a 10-point loss to Oklahoma and will hope to bounce back against No. 4 Kansas who has won eight games in a row.

Easier said than done against the Jayhawks who match up very well against WVU across the board. Kansas' 270-pound center Udoka Azubuike (13 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.6 blocks per game) should be able to handle the Mountaineers down low, while guard Devon Dotson (18 points, 4.4 assists and 2.1 steals per game) will find his spots against a tough WVU defense. 

The Jayhawks have been terrific away from home, posting an average scoring margin of plus-13.9 ppg on the road. In five road tilts in conference play, Kansas is 5-0 SU and ATS. Back Kansas on the spread.

MID-MAJOR TO WATCH: HOUSTON COUGARS (19-5, 14-10 ATS, 10-14 O/U)

The Houston Cougars have been in the Top 25 of the AP polls for weeks but it was still a bit of a shocker (pun definitely intended) to see them stomp Wichita State 76-43 on Sunday.

The Cougars have been one of the best teams in the country on defense and on the boards, leading the nation in rebounding rate and holding foes to 37.7 percent shooting from the field. 

On Wednesday the Cougars head to Tampa to take on the South Florida Bulls who they defeated by a score of 68-49 earlier this year. USF ranks outside the Top-300 in scoring and field goal percentage and looks like a good bet to be held Under their team total. 

 

NATIONAL TITLE ODDS

Baylor has maintained its stranglehold on the No. 1 ranking in the AP poll after two more victories last week but the Bears still offer massive value on the NCAA futures odds board, valued at anywhere from +1,000 to +1,200 to win the national championship. 

The Bears face the Texas Longhorns on Monday night as 6-point road favorites. Although they failed to cover the spread in either of their games last week they look like a good play on the spread against Shaka Smart's squad. Since Jan 1, Baylor has gone 5-0 ATS in games where they were either underdogs or favored by six or fewer points, They also crushed Texas 59-44 a month ago.

BETTING TRENDS

• Despite boasting very experienced squads, both Michigan and Michigan State have struggled on the road going a combined 2-11 ATS. The Spartans are on the road against Illinois on Tuesday while the Wolverines travel to Evanston to take on Northwestern on Wednesday. 
 
• The New Orleans Privateers have been the best Over bet in the country going 15-3 O/U and cashing the Over in each of their past five contests. A big reason for that has been their pathetic defensive play, with the Privateers outside the Top-300 in scoring defense. On Wednesday they face Central Arkansas who is actually even worse on D, surrendering 83.8 ppg. 

• Underdogs came to play over the last seven days, going 169-138 ATS (55 percent). Home dogs did even better, covering the spread at a rate of 56.5 percent. 

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